Page 1
Page 1
Started By
Message

April 2011, the most active month for severe weather in history

Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:16 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54058 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:16 pm
We all know and talk about April 27, 2011, and deservedly so. But, the whole month of April that year was just non-stop severe weather across the Eastern half of the country.

This is a synopsis of the overall pattern that was present during the timeframe, and what was expected and ultimately became of it:
NOAA - National Centers for Environmental Information

quote:

National Overview:

The weather pattern over the contiguous United States during April 2011 consisted of a westerly flow with strong low pressure waves or troughs embedded in the flow. Some of the troughs formed deep low pressure systems with slow moving cold fronts which generated heavy rain and severe weather, especially in the Midwest to Southeast. According to preliminary reports, April had 875 reports of tornadoes which caused over 350 deaths. The National Weather Service expected the confirmed tornado count to exceed 600, which is a record for any month. There were over 2000 preliminary reports of hail damage and more than 3200 wind damage reports, with most of the damage occurring from the southern and central Plains to the Atlantic coast. Tornadoes were observed on two-thirds of the days of the month, with the biggest tornado outbreaks reported on the 14th-16th and 25th-27th.



quote:

The storm track repeatedly tapped Gulf of Mexico moisture in a southerly surface airflow that generated storm systems week after week over the Midwest. The resulting well-above-normal rainfall culminated in widespread record flooding in the Ohio Valley by the end of the month. Some areas received up to 20 inches of rain during the month, which is nearly half their normal annual precipitation. Six states (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia) had the wettest April on record.


The first widespread severe weather event of the month was the April 4-5 Tornado Outbreak/Derecho. Tornado, wind, and damage reports stretched from East Texas, much of Louisiana, the Deep South states, and all the way to Maryland.

@JosephPattonWx


From a NWS report on April 6, 2011:
NSSL News

quote:

A truly remarkable number of wind events did occur in this recent event. In fact, while the number of wind reports across a 24 hour period remain preliminary and will need to be further reviewed by NWS meteorologists in the affected areas, it is likely that in the final analysis, the wind reports numbers alone will far exceed any other severe weather outbreak in the official records of the NWS.



NOAA.gov Final Report

quote:

As previously mentioned, the April 4-5, 2011 derecho was responsible for a record number (1096) of non-duplicate damaging wind reports in a 24-hour period. Yet, as shown in Figure 5, only six officially observed wind gusts meeting the National Weather Service definition of "severe" (greater than or equal to 50 kts (58 mph)) were recorded, and only one "significant" (65 knots (75 mph) or greater) gust was observed --- despite the relatively high density of observing sites in the path of the storm. This illustrates one of the difficulties involved in using wind reports alone to place a given derecho in historical perspective, or to assess its meteorological significance. Because of the many trees and man-made structures present over the southern and eastern United States relative to some parts of the country (e.g., the Rockies and northern Plains), and because of the sizable population density in those regions, the southern and eastern states are especially vulnerable to the hazards posed by derechos. But does this mean that derechos necessarily are more common there?








Weather.gov - NWS storm surveys for Arkansas and Lousiana from April 4, 2011

Same for Georgia

Wikipedia with a complete list of all 46 tornadoes and a decent breakdown of the event


My hope is to use this thread to talk about other severe weather events in the month of April 2011 as those anniversaries come, including April 27, 2011.

This post was edited on 4/5/21 at 1:38 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41596 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:21 pm to
I'll await the Weather Channel's inevitable week-long special covering the anniversary along with a bonus special about global warming.
Posted by Y0TE
Member since Jan 2021
107 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:27 pm to
Impossible. Trump wasn’t in office back then.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

@JosephPattonWx


Louisiana baw.

quote:

My hope is to use this thread to talk about other severe weather events in the month April 2011 as those anniversaries come, including April 27, 2011.


Cool. Want any help? I might try to dummy up some case study breakdowns. I mean, I'm not what you'd ever call "reliable" but this seems like an interesting undertaking.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54058 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Cool. Want any help? I might try to dummy up some case study breakdowns. I mean, I'm not what you'd ever call "reliable" but this seems like an interesting undertaking.

Of course! Help would be great.

That is, if you can break away from the baby and skiing!
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83571 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:39 pm to
didn't Louisiana also have like 35 straight days in triple digits in 2011?

2011 kinda suck weather wise
Posted by foj1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
3745 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:42 pm to
As a result Mississippi River hit record high
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

Of course! Help would be great.


Just post what you might want me to dig into.

Posted by dukesilver72
Texas
Member since Feb 2015
916 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

I'll await the Weather Channel's inevitable week-long special covering the anniversary along with a bonus special about global warming.


You left out the MAN MADE part they'll throw in constantly
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54058 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

Just post what you might want me to dig into.

The overall setup for that month is interesting. I've never really thought about how it led to each event. I imagine there's plenty of climo research out there, but understanding some of that is rough.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65680 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

We all know and talk about April 27, 2011, and deservedly so.
No WE don't.
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
66436 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:16 pm to
Those were some wild threads. I remember that well.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

I've never really thought about how it led to each event.


The long term patterns position the players.

So the story was zonal flow across the country, leaving a cold north and a warm south. Thermal clash sets up roughly over the Ohio valley for most of the month, evident by the record rainfall up there. There's your storm path roughly with systems riding the zonal flow across the west and Rockies. Kept the gulf moisture mostly bottled up in the SE and Ohio Valley, with Texas being dry as naked balls in Death Valley that April.

Without looking, you'd expect surface lows to develop and strengthen as they hit the Mississippi as you would build up the best heat content east of the there. Better thermal gradient, better surface low. Also, I do wonder if the air being advected at the mid levels from the west wasn't drier than normal. Drier air aloft leading to steeper environmental lapse rates over the SE.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54058 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 11:00 am to
Another example of how active April 2011 was that puts the month in perspective:

@Jacob_Feuer

quote:

Ten years ago today, a cold front had successfully scoured the CONUS of appreciable moisture, limiting support for convection. The result was a blank storm report map.

Between 4/6/11 and the next time "no reports received" was posted, on 5/4/11, there were 812 tornado reports. LINK

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98775 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 11:16 am to
quote:

April 2011, the most active month for severe weather in recorded weather history


Reliable records on weather/climate go back to the 1880s. Not downplaying 4/2011, but it is statistically likely there have been worse weather months in North America.
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65086 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 11:20 am to
quote:

but it is statistically likely there have been worse weather months in North America


Oh, definitely. But it's clear that April 2011 was an anomaly going by any statistical measure. Outbreaks like 4/27/11 are even rarer when you consider we've only had one other outbreak like it since records began being kept.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54058 posts
Posted on 4/6/21 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Reliable records on weather/climate go back to the 1880s. Not downplaying 4/2011, but it is statistically likely there have been worse weather months in North America.

Of course, but it safe to say that a single month of severe weather, on record, has never been more active than April 2011. It is also safe to say that single month of severe weather likely directly impacted more people than any month on record, being that population density in the impacted areas was much higher than any period dating back to 1880 (your date, not mine).
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram