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The Redskins had a 99.5% chance of winning at one point yesterday
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:54 am
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:54 am
According to ESPN's Win Probability chart, when they went up 31-16, the Redskins had 99.5% chance of winning.
LINK
Really have to give credit to the Saints for never giving up and never quitting. They truly are a complete team and believe in one another.
Any Kamara just continues to impress me every week. He is absolutely dynamic.
LINK
Really have to give credit to the Saints for never giving up and never quitting. They truly are a complete team and believe in one another.
Any Kamara just continues to impress me every week. He is absolutely dynamic.
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:55 am to LSUZombie
So you're saying there's a chance...
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:58 am to liquid rabbit
It's even crazier looking when you say the Saints have a 0.5% chance of winning
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:11 am to LSUZombie
well for starters there is a correlation between winning turnover battle and winning. net passer rating has the highest correlation and up to that point they were owning it.
then throw in needed to be achieved for the saints to win
the probability of getting a touchdown x the probability of getting a stop x the probability of getting a touchdown x the probability of successfully converting x the probability of getting another stop * the probability of winning in OT.
then throw in needed to be achieved for the saints to win
the probability of getting a touchdown x the probability of getting a stop x the probability of getting a touchdown x the probability of successfully converting x the probability of getting another stop * the probability of winning in OT.
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:12 am to LSUZombie
wonder how that translates into odds of winning at that point, 1000-1, 10000-1
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:13 am to LSUZombie
quote:
Any Kamara just continues to impress me every week. He is absolutely dynamic
agreed I didn't like the bobble pass he scored on though that was a lucky bounce.
Our offensive backfield is lights out. Drew lead the comeback going either 11 for 11 or 12 for 12 to close the game. Kamara with the touchdown and 2 point conversion to tie the game. Ingram ripping off two monster runs in OT put us in field goal range. That was just a joy to watch.
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:22 am to LSUZombie
.5% chance
Saints, think of a number between 1 and 200.
If you get a right you win, if not you lose.
Holy shite
Saints, think of a number between 1 and 200.
If you get a right you win, if not you lose.
Holy shite
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:25 am to Cow Drogo
quote:
.5% chance Saints, think of a number between 1 and 200. If you get a right you win, if not you lose.
9
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:26 am to LSUZombie
At 5:05 left it hit 99.6%.
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:29 am to mindbreaker
quote:
agreed I didn't like the bobble pass he scored on though that was a lucky bounce.
Funny thing is if he doesn't bobble it, I doubt he scores. Because he bobbled it, the CB most likely thought he had to pull up to avoid getting flagged for hitting a defenseless receiver. He was in place to nail Kamara for the tackle; I'm sure they still score but you just never know.
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:33 am to Weekend Warrior79
I agree. It confused them.
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:34 am to Weekend Warrior79
If anything we score a TD with less time on the clock which would have almost guaranteed overtime
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