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The Redskins had a 99.5% chance of winning at one point yesterday

Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:54 am
Posted by LSUZombie
A Cemetery Near You
Member since Apr 2008
28904 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:54 am
According to ESPN's Win Probability chart, when they went up 31-16, the Redskins had 99.5% chance of winning.

LINK

Really have to give credit to the Saints for never giving up and never quitting. They truly are a complete team and believe in one another.

Any Kamara just continues to impress me every week. He is absolutely dynamic.
Posted by liquid rabbit
Boxtard BPB®© emeritus
Member since Mar 2006
60265 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:55 am to
So you're saying there's a chance...
Posted by LSUZombie
A Cemetery Near You
Member since Apr 2008
28904 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 9:58 am to
It's even crazier looking when you say the Saints have a 0.5% chance of winning
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:11 am to
well for starters there is a correlation between winning turnover battle and winning. net passer rating has the highest correlation and up to that point they were owning it.

then throw in needed to be achieved for the saints to win

the probability of getting a touchdown x the probability of getting a stop x the probability of getting a touchdown x the probability of successfully converting x the probability of getting another stop * the probability of winning in OT.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
89923 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:12 am to
wonder how that translates into odds of winning at that point, 1000-1, 10000-1
Posted by mindbreaker
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
7639 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:13 am to
quote:

Any Kamara just continues to impress me every week. He is absolutely dynamic


agreed I didn't like the bobble pass he scored on though that was a lucky bounce.

Our offensive backfield is lights out. Drew lead the comeback going either 11 for 11 or 12 for 12 to close the game. Kamara with the touchdown and 2 point conversion to tie the game. Ingram ripping off two monster runs in OT put us in field goal range. That was just a joy to watch.
Posted by Shalimar Sid
Member since Feb 2005
9245 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:16 am to
Im still on cloud 9
Posted by Cow Drogo
Member since Jul 2016
7399 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:22 am to
.5% chance
Saints, think of a number between 1 and 200.

If you get a right you win, if not you lose.


Holy shite
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
17176 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

.5% chance Saints, think of a number between 1 and 200. If you get a right you win, if not you lose.


9

Posted by Tigerpaul1969
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Jan 2010
4451 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:26 am to
At 5:05 left it hit 99.6%.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16387 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:

agreed I didn't like the bobble pass he scored on though that was a lucky bounce.


Funny thing is if he doesn't bobble it, I doubt he scores. Because he bobbled it, the CB most likely thought he had to pull up to avoid getting flagged for hitting a defenseless receiver. He was in place to nail Kamara for the tackle; I'm sure they still score but you just never know.
Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:33 am to
I agree. It confused them.
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
12179 posts
Posted on 11/20/17 at 10:34 am to
If anything we score a TD with less time on the clock which would have almost guaranteed overtime
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