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re: SFP's RB argument

Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:06 pm to
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60684 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

you can't draft the field, you have to draft a real live actual football player and without the benefit of hindsight from 3-4 years from now. And I think the odds are also pretty good that Ingram will be better than any 1 specific RB


You're right, but here's the problem with your argument. Its not a zero sum game. Its not a matter having just 1 "better" RB. Look at it this way. Team A has 1 RB that rushes for 1500 yds. Team B has 2 RB,s 1 rushes for 900 and the other for 600. What team had a better running game?

I think a lot of people are grossly over rating M Ingram because he is a SEC guy and they know him. He may be the best RB in this class, but he is not as good a prospect as some are making him out. He had 1 great year. Just because he is roughly the same size as E Smith and people said both were "slow" does not mean he is E Smith. He's not. Smith was better, more consistent player in college. I think he'll be a a good player. But they gave up too much to get.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60684 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Or that we had Julius fricking Jones getting significant carried in a road playoff game for the defending Super Bowl Champions.


that because we had literally 4 or 5 other guys in front of him get hurt. There's nothing you can do about that. And what's the reason Ingram didn't have as good a season last year as he did in 2009?
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
47140 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

But they gave up too much to get.




I dont think you can say that at this point. first we dont know what kind of production we will get out of him...next, maybe they feel he is a great fit in their system. some of the other backs may not block as good(very important in paytons system), or may not be able to pick up the advanced offense as fast. a back has to be able to do everything in this offense.

if he turns out to be a very good player or a beast it was well worth it. if turns out to be a bust, well then he is a bust and they overpaid.

the draft isnt an exact science, so its hard to just come out and say they paid too much.

Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60684 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

oh so Leshoure did that against the best defenses in CFB too?


you SECtards need to realize the SEC is not like the NFL and the B1G is not like D2.

In 2009 Toby Gerhardt played against more top 50 run defenses than Ingram.

In 2009 there were 2 really good teams in the SEC and Inngram could not play against 1 of them

Were the 2009 versions of: Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Ark, MSU, UT, USCe and UK really that tough? That much better than the B1G? No, they weren't.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
61958 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Team A has 1 RB that rushes for 1500 yds. Team B has 2 RB,s 1 rushes for 900 and the other for 600. What team had a better running game?


The team that took less rushes to get those same yards, obviously. I don't care if Ingram goes for 1,500 yards by himself, but I think he's good enough to make the Saints running game significantly better. Which will make the entire offense better. Which will make the team better. But I dont' think we should trade PT by any means. It will take a stable. Our stable is just a lot better now.


quote:

I think a lot of people are grossly over rating M Ingram because he is a SEC guy and they know him.


Fair point, but I disagree. I think he's special. His vision and balance are great, and has (or did in college) the ability to take over games. I could be wrong, you could be right. But that's a separate argument than "RBs have no value." Hell, they have the ball more than anybody on the team who's not a QB. Of course they have value.


Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
61958 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

that because we had literally 4 or 5 other guys in front of him get hurt


I know


quote:

. There's nothing you can do about that.


You can put more better players between 1st string and Julio Jones. We did that.


quote:

And what's the reason Ingram didn't have as good a season last year as he did in 2009?


I didn't see all their games, so I don't know. Got off to a slow start after the knee injury? Split more carries with Richardson? Or maybe some of the same reasons Bama wasn't as good this year as they were last? Auburn and LSU were much better, especially on defense? OL not as good? Weren't leading every game they played so had to pass more instead of running out clock? shite happens?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60684 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

if he turns out to be a very good player or a beast it was well worth it. if turns out to be a bust, well then he is a bust and they overpaid


I don't look at it with 20/20 hindsight. What we don't or can't know is who else they would have gotten. Even if he is a beast, you don't know if they would or could have gotten an OLB and another RB that would have made a difference.
quote:

the draft isnt an exact science, so its hard to just come out and say they paid too much.


It is , but its not hard to say they gave up too much. Unless he becomes LaDanain Tomlinson or something, which is highly unlikly, particularly given the offense they run. Plus they just gave Thomas a new contract and are at least saying they want to keep Bush. Sounds like a platoon.
quote:

some of the other backs may not block as good(very important in paytons system),

There is literally no way he is so far and away a better blocker than everyone else that its worth giving up another player.

This post was edited on 4/30/11 at 1:26 pm
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60684 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

The team that took less rushes to get those same yards, obviously


not really. Sometimes you want to chew clock. Clearly the one RB is better, but the overall running game is the same.
quote:

but I think he's good enough to make the Saints running game significantly better. Which will make the entire offense better


The running game was fine in 2009. Last year it was injuries.

quote:

will take a stable. Our stable is just a lot better now


a healthy Thomas/Bush/Ivory and K Hunter or J Rodgers is also a lot better. I don't think Ingram is so much better than those guys that it makes a huge difference.
quote:

RBs have no value." Hell, they have the ball more than anybody on the team who's not a QB. Of course they have value.


The point is that the supply of the them is so great there's no need to over pay for just 1.

quote:

I didn't see all their games, so I don't know


mostly because he was banged up and missed a couple of games
Posted by LSUFreek
Greater New Orleans
Member since Jan 2007
15809 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

I think a lot of people are grossly over rating M Ingram because he is a SEC guy and they know him. He may be the best RB in this class, but he is not as good a prospect as some are making him out. He had 1 great year. Just because he is roughly the same size as E Smith and people said both were "slow" does not mean he is E Smith. He's not. Smith was better, more consistent player in college. I think he'll be a a good player. But they gave up too much to get.


Sure, it's ludicrous to say we just drafted a HOF back. No one knows anything yet. Everyone in the draft from top to bottom is an on-paper prospect.

But the similarities are hard to casually dismiss. On paper, he's a close to an Emmitt clone as it gets:


-Ingram in college has shown the same balance, the same vision, the same cutting ability, & the same break-tackle ability. He doesn't give tacklers a good angle and always falls forward.

-He is the exact same size as Emmitt (5-9, 215) and slightly better speed than Emmitt.

-Both got accumulated 4000 plus total rush/rec career yards and 40 plus total TD's in the SEC.

-Both were drafted in the second half of the 1st round because of their height/speed deficiencies despite the high level college production

-Emmitt had a lot lof talent around him at Dallas as does Ingram now with the Saints

-Hell, they even wore the same #22 and arguably kinda look-alike in the face, although I'm not sure if Ingram can dance.


Sean Payton apparently thinks this all adds up to a recipe for success. If SP is going to burn a 2nd rounder on a quality RB, it's hard for me not to agree with the move.
Posted by whodatfan
Member since Mar 2008
21907 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:52 pm to
I concur with all of this.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
73794 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:56 pm to
yup.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
61958 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

you SECtards need to realize the SEC is not like the NFL and the B1G is not like D2.


totally agree


quote:

In 2009 Toby Gerhardt played against more top 50 run defenses than Ingram.



However, just because they were ranked in the top 50, doesn't mean they actually were one of the 50 best run defenses. They throw the ball a lot more in the Pac 10 than the SEC, so that clearly skews the stats. These rankings are pretty meaningless with everybody playing such dissimilar schedules. Like the tards who kept insisting LSU had the "110" best offense in the NCAA 2 years ago. They were horrible, no doubt, but sorry a WAC or Sun Belt team ranked 2 spots higher is not "better." Just better relative to thier schedules. But I digress...
Posted by whodatfan
Member since Mar 2008
21907 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 2:03 pm to
You should
Posted by makinskrilla
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jun 2009
9752 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 2:19 pm to
honestly SFP is a good guy, and i like him, but if he thinks that this pick was a bad move, in reality, then it is a great thing. i say this because i think jake is usually wrong in his analysis.

i really like the ingram pick as Rb health was a major issue for us in the 2010 season.
Posted by Michaeloar
Member since Nov 2010
532 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 2:37 pm to
Playing in the SEC vs. some shitty conference
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
287964 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

SFP is a transparent contrarian. He confidently posts like he knows something everyone else doesn't, and that has gained him a few loyal sheep here, but really he just opposes the majority opinion, which includes Sean Payton's opinion half the time.

If this board universally went, "Holy shite! Look at Martez Wilson's film. Dude is a monster! We finally got a pass rusher at LB" then SFP would have said "He's going to play over the TE mostly, and he can't cover. Left school early after missing the previous year due to a herniated disc surgery. Would have preferred SS Tyler Sash."

But if this board would have universally went, "Who is Martez Wilson? Why did we take a chance on a guy with a injury history but didn't on Bowers? Should we have taken Drake Nevis?" then SFP would have went, "The injury is a non-factor. After his surgery, he still had 112 tackles and was All Big Ten. Should have been taken in the 1st round. As far as Nevis...



this is a great post.
Posted by Kafka
I am the moral conscience of TD
Member since Jul 2007
153869 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

Hell, they even wore the same #22 and arguably kinda look-alike in the face, although I'm not sure if Ingram can dance


if Ingram can speak English that puts him one up on Emmitt
Posted by LSUsaintsfanla
NOLA
Member since Dec 2006
10956 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 11:05 pm to
quote:

honestly SFP is a good guy,


Are you a girl he tried to date and now y'all are cool being "friends"
Posted by whodatfan
Member since Mar 2008
21907 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

Posted by LSUFreek
Remember this: SP knows more than SFP.

SFP is a transparent contrarian. He confidently posts like he knows something everyone else doesn't, and that has gained him a few loyal sheep here, but really he just opposes the majority opinion, which includes Sean Payton's opinion half the time.

If this board universally went, "Holy shite! Look at Martez Wilson's film. Dude is a monster! We finally got a pass rusher at LB" then SFP would have said "He's going to play over the TE mostly, and he can't cover. Left school early after missing the previous year due to a herniated disc surgery. Would have preferred SS Tyler Sash."

But if this board would have universally went, "Who is Martez Wilson? Why did we take a chance on a guy with a injury history but didn't on Bowers? Should we have taken Drake Nevis?" then SFP would have went, "The injury is a non-factor. After his surgery, he still had 112 tackles and was All Big Ten. Should have been taken in the 1st round. As far as Nevis... ".





Jesus christ this is so dead on. If this wouldn't make every post half a page, I would make it my sig quote.
Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16106 posts
Posted on 5/1/11 at 10:04 am to
quote:

The guy had some of the best measureables for rb's in the class


not by a long shot
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