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re: Saints rank #12 in drafting from 1996-2015
Posted on 3/12/17 at 12:49 pm to Vacherie Saint
Posted on 3/12/17 at 12:49 pm to Vacherie Saint
Again go look through other team's picks in the first 3 rounds. We are better than most.
In other words, yes we had one(?) complete miss under Payton, and one that wasn't a multi year starter that's no longer with us. And while others have been underwhelming, they were at least starters.
That's WAY better than most teams can say, and we are far from the only team to start subpar players.
You are acting like it's only us without even looking at what goes on league wide.
People have a super narrow view when it comes to this.
Like I said just go look through other teams drafts the last 5 years. You'll start to appreciate how well we actually do.
In other words, yes we had one(?) complete miss under Payton, and one that wasn't a multi year starter that's no longer with us. And while others have been underwhelming, they were at least starters.
That's WAY better than most teams can say, and we are far from the only team to start subpar players.
You are acting like it's only us without even looking at what goes on league wide.
People have a super narrow view when it comes to this.
Like I said just go look through other teams drafts the last 5 years. You'll start to appreciate how well we actually do.
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 1:00 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 12:56 pm to blueslover
How does it compare from a defense point of view? I think the team is very good at drafting offensive players, but not very good at defensive players. You have to think that makes sense considering how bad the defense has been consistently. The team would have probably won another Super Bowl at some point with a competent defense.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:12 pm to bonethug0108
Not all picks are a straight boom bust proposition and not all are equal in terms of bust rate. According to data, the nfl average is about 90% of your first rounders need to be 40 game starters. It decreases by slot to about 60% by the end of the second.
You also have to consider how we've traded away high value picks. For example, we've only had 7 second round selections in 11 drafts under sp. Only 3 of those started 40 games (I'm counting Mike Thomas cause he's a beast).
You also have to consider how we've traded away high value picks. For example, we've only had 7 second round selections in 11 drafts under sp. Only 3 of those started 40 games (I'm counting Mike Thomas cause he's a beast).
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:19 pm to Vacherie Saint
But are you also counting Bell and Kikaha who haven't been in the league 3 years to start 40 games?
Also like I said go actually look at other teams' drafts. I've done it. It is very eye opening.
Until you do you'll just stay in your Saints suck at the top box and not realize we are better than most.
Also like I said go actually look at other teams' drafts. I've done it. It is very eye opening.
Until you do you'll just stay in your Saints suck at the top box and not realize we are better than most.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:29 pm to bonethug0108
You are counting Kikaha and Bell. How the frick can you count guys that haven't even been in the league for 3 years when it's impossible for them to have played 40 games?
These were our 2nd rounders:
Harper- Made a pro bowl and was very good at his role; Williams left him exposed to coverage too much in his system because of the blitzing but he was much better than what some fans claimed
Porter- very good number 2 corner who made the biggest plays in team history. Injury concerns made us look elsewhere but he has started and played well for several teams since
Brown- started most of a year but ultimately was a bust
Jean-Baptiste- complete bust
Kikaha- in running for ROY until injury and then missed his second year. Jury still out
Thomas- looks to be a surefire number 1 receiver going forward but jury still out
Bell- started some games as a rookie and played a lot of snaps. Had ups and downs but definitely has a role going forward. Jury still out.
We've had by far the fewest second round picks (thanks trades and bounty gate) but still did more good than bad with what we've had.
Now go do this for other teams.
These were our 2nd rounders:
Harper- Made a pro bowl and was very good at his role; Williams left him exposed to coverage too much in his system because of the blitzing but he was much better than what some fans claimed
Porter- very good number 2 corner who made the biggest plays in team history. Injury concerns made us look elsewhere but he has started and played well for several teams since
Brown- started most of a year but ultimately was a bust
Jean-Baptiste- complete bust
Kikaha- in running for ROY until injury and then missed his second year. Jury still out
Thomas- looks to be a surefire number 1 receiver going forward but jury still out
Bell- started some games as a rookie and played a lot of snaps. Had ups and downs but definitely has a role going forward. Jury still out.
We've had by far the fewest second round picks (thanks trades and bounty gate) but still did more good than bad with what we've had.
Now go do this for other teams.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:37 pm to bonethug0108
I'm citing the nfl statistics, so I am looking at the other teams! Lol.
Im giving you thomas for bell and kikaha. Kikaha may be a good player, but regardless of that, if he's not healthy enough to play (he had two bad knees coming in) than he's a miss. We are likely going to take a pass rusher number 1, so I think it's clear that we are not counting on kikaha long term. Bell might start now that Byrd is gone, but he is a Vaccaro clone and would start only in the absence of a true fs. I'd agree the jury is still out on bell. Even if you count him, our second round bust rate is below league average.
Im giving you thomas for bell and kikaha. Kikaha may be a good player, but regardless of that, if he's not healthy enough to play (he had two bad knees coming in) than he's a miss. We are likely going to take a pass rusher number 1, so I think it's clear that we are not counting on kikaha long term. Bell might start now that Byrd is gone, but he is a Vaccaro clone and would start only in the absence of a true fs. I'd agree the jury is still out on bell. Even if you count him, our second round bust rate is below league average.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:43 pm to Vacherie Saint
You are counting guys that literally couldn't have made 40 starts. Not how this works.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:44 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:
Bell might start now that Byrd is gone, but he is a Vaccaro clone and would start only in the absence of a true fs. I'd agree the jury is still out on bell. Even if you count him, our second round bust rate is below league average
Bell is the complete opposite type safety than Vacarro. Their play is nothing alike, one is a head hunter and blitzer, the other (Bell), is a pure coverage safety.
ETA: iirc Kikaha had one bad knee coming to NFL. Now he has 2
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 1:46 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:45 pm to bonethug0108
Also hilarious how you took the round we've had the least amount of picks with and didn't go through our first and third rounds.
Stat skewing much?
Stat skewing much?
Posted on 3/12/17 at 1:47 pm to windshieldman
Right it was the same knee twice in college because the used a shite graft or whatever the first time.
This second one was a freak accident, not a recurrence of the same injury.
And yeah the only thing similar between Bell and Vaccaro is they can both cover the slot.
Bell is not a box safety, but Vaccaro is.
This second one was a freak accident, not a recurrence of the same injury.
And yeah the only thing similar between Bell and Vaccaro is they can both cover the slot.
Bell is not a box safety, but Vaccaro is.
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:06 pm to bonethug0108
quote:
Now go do this for other teams.
Let's just compare with a team like the Patriots:
2006 - Chad Jackson, WR - Injury prone and was released after 2 seasons. Bust
2007 - No Draft Selection
2008 - Terrence Wheatley, CB - Injury prone and was released after 2 seasons. Bust
2009 - Patrick Chung, S - Solid Starter, still on team
- Ron Brace, DT - Injury plagued 4 years; released
- Darius Butler, CB - Benched and cut after 3 years
- Sebastian Vollmer, OT - Solid starter; injury plagued
2010 - Rob Gronkowski, TE - Great, Franchise Player
- Jermaine Cunningham, DE - Rarely played, PED suspension, cut after 3 years
- Brandon Spikes, LB - Starter but plagued by injury and suspension, not resigned when contract expired
2011 - Ras-I Luis Dowling, S - Played 2 games in 2 seasons; Bust
- Shane Vereen, RB - Solid role player
2012 - Tavon Wilson, S - Role player; not resigned
2013 - Jamie Collins, LB - Probowler but traded to Browns
- Aaron Dobson, WR - Role player and released after 4 seasons
2014 - Jimmy Garoppolo, QB - Heir to Brady or trade bait?
2015 - Jordan Richards, S - Special Teamer, inactive for Super Bowl
2016 - Cyrus Jones, CB - Jury still out but 5 fumbles as a returner and inactive for Super Bowl
Conclusion: The patriots have had an incredible 17 second round selections since 2009, and have flat out missed on a huge percentage of them. 6 out of 17 picks can be considered as good selections, with one of them being a backup QB where the jury is still out and the other being a LB who was traded away. So what's the deal? Either the best team in the NFL can't draft or they suck at developing players
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 2:10 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:26 pm to LSUZombie
Right but they are one of the best drafting teams in the league.
Nope. They understand that having more darts is usually better. But percentage wise they suck huge arse.
We are actually one of the better teams at the top percentage wise, but we give our darts away. Sometimes it works (like trading for vets) but more often it doesn't (trading up in the draft).
Cooks was one of the few that was actually working, but in the end we wound up with less value.
Nope. They understand that having more darts is usually better. But percentage wise they suck huge arse.
We are actually one of the better teams at the top percentage wise, but we give our darts away. Sometimes it works (like trading for vets) but more often it doesn't (trading up in the draft).
Cooks was one of the few that was actually working, but in the end we wound up with less value.
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:34 pm to bonethug0108
I counted thomas, for chrissakes. And I'm open to giving bell the benefit of the doubt, but not kikaha.
Still we are not up to snuff in the second round. You are ignoring the point.
There is no need to be a Homer about this. How many pro bowl players and legit starters have the saints drafted in rounds 1 and 2 under payton? 6 solid starters of 13 picks not counting the last two drafts, just so we are fair. If you do count them, the number becomes 9 of 19. The nfl average for 40 game starters from rounds 1 and 2 is about 70%, we are around 45%. Only cam Jordan and mark ingram have ever made the pro bowl from that group for a total of 3 pro bowl seasons.
Conversely, we've been brilliant in later rounds drafting 11 solid starters from 40 picks in rounds 3-7. Thats 28% success. The nfl success rate averages to about 20% here. 5 pro bowlers and 14 pro bowl seasons. This doesn't include future saints HOFer marques colston.
Still we are not up to snuff in the second round. You are ignoring the point.
There is no need to be a Homer about this. How many pro bowl players and legit starters have the saints drafted in rounds 1 and 2 under payton? 6 solid starters of 13 picks not counting the last two drafts, just so we are fair. If you do count them, the number becomes 9 of 19. The nfl average for 40 game starters from rounds 1 and 2 is about 70%, we are around 45%. Only cam Jordan and mark ingram have ever made the pro bowl from that group for a total of 3 pro bowl seasons.
Conversely, we've been brilliant in later rounds drafting 11 solid starters from 40 picks in rounds 3-7. Thats 28% success. The nfl success rate averages to about 20% here. 5 pro bowlers and 14 pro bowl seasons. This doesn't include future saints HOFer marques colston.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:36 pm to Vacherie Saint
No you are counting guys before they can even have 40 starts.
If we are doing that than I say Kikaha, Bell, and Thomas all get more than 40 starts.
Now we have 5 of 7 and are better than league average.
See how that logic works?
If we are doing that than I say Kikaha, Bell, and Thomas all get more than 40 starts.
Now we have 5 of 7 and are better than league average.
See how that logic works?
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:38 pm to bonethug0108
Oh my god, get help. I just cited the stats both ways.
Learn to read.
Learn to read.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:55 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:
Vacherie Saint
You are putting too much emphasis on people making the pro bowl or not. Also, we've had very few 2nd round selections. I'm not angry over our draft picks, I do hate the lack of draft picks we've had over the years. Not sure what your issue with Kikaha is.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 2:58 pm to Vacherie Saint
First round picks under Payton:
Bush
Meachem
Ellis
Jenkins
Robinson
Jordan
Ingram
Vaccaro
Cooks
Peat
Anthony
Rankins
Peat, Anthony, and Rankins couldn't have started 40 games.
Meachem had 32 starts for us, so he didn't hit the 40 but came close.
Robinson started 33 games, so he didn't hit the 40 but was close also.
Every other guys on that list that has had a chance to play 40 games for us has had 40 or more starts.
Not sure where you are getting your bullshite stats from.
Between rounds 1 and 2 that's 9 guys out of 13. That's right at league average.
And we have at least 4 more guys on the way there with 2 more the jury is more iffy on.
Projecting I'd say we'd finish at 14 of 19, which is better than league average.
Next I'll do the third rounders.
Bush
Meachem
Ellis
Jenkins
Robinson
Jordan
Ingram
Vaccaro
Cooks
Peat
Anthony
Rankins
Peat, Anthony, and Rankins couldn't have started 40 games.
Meachem had 32 starts for us, so he didn't hit the 40 but came close.
Robinson started 33 games, so he didn't hit the 40 but was close also.
Every other guys on that list that has had a chance to play 40 games for us has had 40 or more starts.
Not sure where you are getting your bullshite stats from.
Between rounds 1 and 2 that's 9 guys out of 13. That's right at league average.
And we have at least 4 more guys on the way there with 2 more the jury is more iffy on.
Projecting I'd say we'd finish at 14 of 19, which is better than league average.
Next I'll do the third rounders.
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 3:07 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 3:44 pm to blueslover
1996 was quite a long time ago, and I'd say the last 10 years are really the only time period that reflects this regime and where we currently stand. Our drafts have been sub par, flat out lacking star power and impact defensive players. Not to mention continually trading up, even for skill position guys who we have found undrafted and later in the draft. Just flat out stupid when you really think about it.
Posted on 3/12/17 at 4:05 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
1996 was quite a long time ago, and I'd say the last 10 years are really the only time period that reflects this regime and where we currently stand. Our drafts have been sub par, flat out lacking star power and impact defensive players. Not to mention continually trading up, even for skill position guys who we have found undrafted and later in the draft. Just flat out stupid when you really think about it.
Well considering most of our picks from 96-05 were horrendous with exception of 1st round which is about on par with what Payton has done, as far as 1st round goes. The biggest complaints should be letting players go to early and not giving time to develop, and lack of picks.
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 5:30 pm
Posted on 3/12/17 at 4:13 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:
There is no need to be a Homer about this. How many pro bowl players and legit starters have the saints drafted in rounds 1 and 2 under payton? 6 solid starters of 13 picks not counting the last two drafts, just so we are fair. If you do count them, the number becomes 9 of 19. The nfl average for 40 game starters from rounds 1 and 2 is about 70%, we are around 45%. Only cam Jordan and mark ingram have ever made the pro bowl from that group for a total of 3 pro bowl seasons.
Rounds 1 and 2
2006-Bush and Harper both legit starters, and good players
2007-Meachem and Young, both starters. Both went on and started awhile in this league even after the Saints
2008-Ellis and Porter-Both started for several years and Porter was at least still playing solid before last season iirc.
2009-Jenkins, only pick in first 2 rounds. Solid starter
2010- Patrick Robinson and Brown. PRob should have been given more time to develop, he was solid for the Chargers. Brown was a bust
2011-Cameron Jordan and Mark Ingram- Both solid starters
2012- no pick in first 2 rounds
2013- Vacarro, only pick in first 2 rounds-solid starter
2014-Cooks and SJB, Cooks was solid starter, SJB was just bad bad bad
2015-Peat, Anthony, Kikaha, Peat played well at LG and LT last year after being shuffled around. Anthony had good and bad moments starting at MLB as a rookie. Not a good year last year as he moved positions. I'd like to give him one more year. Kikaha was in talk with defensive rookie of the year (wouldn't have gotten it) but was in the talks. I'd like to see what happens with him this year.
2016-Rankins, MT, and Bell
How have our first 2 rounds been awful under Payton? Aside from lack of picks
When it boils down to it, the main true bust was a 2nd round pick in SJB. Brown who was also a 2nd rounder you could say was, but didn't he have a bad injury and we moved on from him? I know he went to the Redskins after
This post was edited on 3/12/17 at 4:16 pm
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