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Rex's Official Record Prediction Thread

Posted on 7/8/12 at 11:51 pm
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 7/8/12 at 11:51 pm
Alright so we're exactly a month away from the first pre-season game and I figured this would be a good time to get some predictions in. I'm going to bookmark this thread so as the season goes on, we'll see how close this actually was. And of course this is assuming Brees is our full time starter.

1. Washington at home - W. I see this game very similar to the Detroit opener back in 09. I like Griffin and hope he succeeds in the NFL, but I think they're going to get smashed as the crowd goes absolutely nuts.

2. Carolina away - W. Considering it is only the second game of the season, we will still be considerably healthy. Cam has a nice day, and I think this game is close until we pull away in the 4th quarter.

3. Kansas City at home - W. Back in the dome against an inferior opponent. Matt Cassel doesn't impress me. They do have a good defense, but Brees still puts up points.

4. Green Bay away - L. Unfortunately I don't think we get revenge for last season's opener. I think this another extremely close game that honestly could go either way, but I'll give home field advantage to the Pack.

5, Chargers at home - W. With a chance to break Jonny U's 50 year old touchdown record, Brees has a night of the ages. Big win in primetime over his former team. Sproles shows off even more than usual.

6. Tampa away - W. With the exception of last year, we continue our habit in smashing Tampa at their place. Had Payton not gotten injured last year, I don't think it would have been close. Saints Roll.

7. Denver away - L. I'm extremely torn about this game. Denver has a great defense, and now they have Peyton Manning. I think this will be another very close, competitive game, but I will give them the home field advantage. This is another that could really go either way.

8. Philly at home - W. The Eagles showed a lot of potential down the stretch last year. They really came together and showed some serious talent. But this Monday Night Football in the dome, and the Saints don't disappoint in the spotlight. Being that this is about the midway point in the season, who knows how healthy Vick is.

9. Falcons a home - W. The Falcons are talented, but I don't really feel like they did a whole lot to improve their team. We took a huge cog in their defense and I have a feeling Lofton is going to want to show off. Saints pull away late.

10. Oakland away - L. A loss to Oakland? Really? Yes, unfortunately. It's always hard to predict the one boneheaded loss the Saints have every year and I feel like this has the potential. Huge spotlight wins over the Eagles and Falcons, we're due for a letdown. Honestly, I think Oakland is more talented than most give them credit for. We get caught sleeping on our trip out west.

11. San Fran at home - W. This is one game I'm really looking forward to next season. The dome will be electric out of its mind with the fresh wounds we suffered last year. I don't think we dominate, but the Saints win in a very efficient manner.

12. Atlanta away - L. I think this a game we might feel cheated in, let's say stolen from. Lets say there is a controversial call or a less than fair injury that leads to a Falcons victory. Pains me to say it, but I don't think we sweep the Falcons next year.

13. New York Giants - away - W. While the first thing you might bring is the weather, the next thing I will bring up is the run game. I think this will be a key advantage here. If it's a crappy day, I think we will be the team who is able to run the ball given our stable of backs. Close game, but Saints win.

14. Tampa at home - W. Tampa at home has been a close game except for the last year. I'd venture to say this is a slip-up game, but I think the team stays focused and takes care of business.

15. Dallas away - L. I think Dallas is an improved team from last year. We straight up stole the game last time we visited the Cowgirls and I think this game will be equally as close, but the Saints fall short.

16. Carolina at home - W. I really think the outcome of this game depends on the seeding situation. If we already have the #1 seed locked up, then I could see starters resting and us losing this game. However, I think the seeding will be competitive til the end and the Saints take care of the pesky Panthers for the last regular season win.

That takes the Saints total 2012 record to 11-5. I think this is pretty reasonable given all of the circumstances this offseason. 11-5 is what I came up with when taking it game by game, but I really think this team can achieve anywhere from 10-13 wins.

Here's to the start of the season
This post was edited on 7/9/12 at 12:08 am
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
123554 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 12:04 am to
Return Key
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 12:08 am to
Thanks . I was trying to not make it too long. But then again, I thought it'd be nice to have something on her besides typical the typical offseason banter we've been having.
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
36895 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 12:36 am to
I'm going with 12-4 +/- 1

But honestly I can see things going bad(don't think they will) and things going even better.

quote:

I thought it'd be nice to have something on her


Pics?
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 12:42 am to
Did a prediction a while back in this thread. Still feel good about it.

Our predictions are eerily familiar
This post was edited on 7/9/12 at 12:50 am
Posted by Hoodoo Man
Sunshine Pumping most days.
Member since Oct 2011
31637 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 12:43 am to
quote:

With a chance to break Jonny U's 50 year old touchdown record

This NEEDS to be a bigger deal.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33659 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 1:04 am to
quote:

5, Chargers at home - W. With a chance to break Jonny U's 50 year old touchdown record, Brees has a night of the ages. Big win in primetime over his former team. Sproles shows off even more than usual.


that has to be sweet for Drew to have that opportunity to break that record against his old team. We will win that game, the Saints are hard to beat at the Dome in primetime.

The number I keep coming up with in my head is 10-6 for the 2012 season. I think not having Coach Payton will hurt but not as much as all these national pundits suggest. Again, barring any serious injuries to key players, I think that is reasonable.

quote:

Denver away - L.


I think we will hear all of that outdoor element bullshite that week. Oh god the altitude will effect the Saints offense, HOLY CRAP!!!

I think that game sets up for us nicely. Denver has a hard schedule starting out. I think their defense is not as good as people think. I mean last year they struggled against the better QB's they faced (Brady,Rodgers,Stafford). When they were on their winning streak, they beat those bad arse teams like the RAIDERS, CHIEFS, JETS, VIKINGS, and BEARS!!! That is nothing to write home about IMO. They will have a new defensive coordinator this year so we'll see how that turns out. And I think Manning is still a big mystery at this point, I still have my doubts about his health, just my opinion.
This post was edited on 7/9/12 at 1:24 am
Posted by DCBJR6
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jan 2011
4245 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 3:40 am to
quote:

I really think the outcome of this game depends on the seeding situation. If we already have the #1 seed locked up, then I could see starters resting and us losing this game.


I'm assuming this would be based off of having more than 10 wins heading in to the final game? There isn't a shot we could get the #1 seed with a 10-6 record, so I think we'd have to have more than 10 wins heading in to this one to hope we may have things locked up and rest our starters.

I think what you said about 10-13 wins is pretty accurate. Even without Payton, our offense is good enough to at least win 10 games, especially with our improved D and Spags. I'd say 12-4.
Posted by LSUFreek
Greater New Orleans
Member since Jan 2007
14719 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 5:49 am to
Saints are going 13-3 and will win the Super Bowl.

This team is already galvanized & impenetrable. From outsiders like Albert Breer & Gil Brandt who have witnessed OTA's, they swear they've never seen a team so focused so early, and this is without Brees who'll soon take that focus to Level Red.

Add in a RB stable of depth, major LB/DL/DC upgrades, & their foreseeable-survival-without-Payton, I don't see how this driven machine doesn't roll the first 3 opponents, right before we exact super-bowl-like focused-revenge on Green Bay in Green Bay.

I do agree the Saints will "slip-up" against a surprisingly talented Oakland for their 1st loss, making the Saints 9-1 at that point, and then losing their 2nd game in OT at Atlanta due to a short week of 4 days between games, where Sean Payton's absence could be felt most. They lose their 3rd game in the last game of the season to playoff-missing Carolina because the Saints will already have secured home field advantage and will pull its elite starters, finishing 13-3.

Long-term key injuries are the only unforeseen obstacles that could derail this juggernaut from giving Goodell the biggest middle finger the sports world has ever seen.


Posted by BasClas
Member since Feb 2007
7881 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 6:29 am to
I'm sorry, I'm just not that optimistic about this season. I think that we will come out strong and determined, but that eventually the suspensions, and the constant barrage of negativity surrounding us will take their toll.
I will keep my predictions to myself so as not to be banned from the site and have black helicopters sent to my home.








Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 7:00 am to
Yeah. Because I feel like those big games in Green Bay and Denver can really go either way, it's just so hard to predict. My point was, We have a chance to win every single game from a talent perspective, but I was pretty conservative when taking it game by game.
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 7:03 am to
Damn, I just checked yours and I think they were exactly the same except I had a loss to Dallas.
Posted by HeauxBeaux
Member since Mar 2008
5538 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 7:12 am to
Drew not having signed yet mat be a bigger distraction for the season than people realize. Vilma is gone for the year. Smith is out for the first 4 weeks. We don't have a head coach for an entire season and no General Manager for half the season. Let's try and be realistic in our season predictions here



I say Saints go 19-0
Posted by CptRusty
Basket of Deplorables
Member since Aug 2011
11740 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 8:43 am to
quote:

the constant barrage of negativity surrounding us will take their toll.




If the "constant barrage of negativity" has any effect it will be to motivate the Saints, not demoralize them.

My prediction: 12-4 +/- 1

Predicted losses from: Green Bay, Carolina (away), Atlanta (away), and Denver.
Posted by LSUZombie
A Cemetery Near You
Member since Apr 2008
28869 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 8:49 am to
The fan in me says we have too much talent and should go 12-4 or 11-5.

But there is something in me saying this season may not be all that great and a 7-9 or 8-8 season might happen. I guess that could be said for any team, but I think the loss of our coach will hurt us more than most think
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
66966 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 9:28 am to
1. Washington at home - W

2. Carolina away - L

3. Kansas City at home - W

4. Green Bay away - W.

5, Chargers at home - L

6. Tampa away - W

7. Denver away - W

8. Philly at home - W

9. Falcons a home - L

10. Oakland away - L.

11. San Fran at home - W

12. Atlanta away - L

13. New York Giants away - W

14. Tampa at home - W

15. Dallas away - W

16. Carolina at home - W

11-5, Superbowl victory.
Posted by lighter345
Member since Jan 2009
11863 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 9:28 am to
Just for fun, too lazy to give input on each game.

1. Washington at home - W 31-13

2. Carolina away - L 35-49

3. Kansas City at home - W 28-7

4. Green Bay away- W 35-21

5, Chargers at home - W 24-14

6. Tampa away - L 24-21

7. Denver away -W 31-28

8. Philly at home - W 34-21

9. Falcons a home -W 31-27

10. Oakland away - W 28-24

11. San Fran at home - W 35-31

12. Atlanta away - L in OT 31-28

13. New York Giants - away L 21-10

14. Tampa at home - W 42-14

15. Dallas away - L 38-35

16. Carolina at home - W 42-28

11-5
This post was edited on 7/9/12 at 9:37 am
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 9:34 am to
quote:

5, Chargers at home - L

Whaaaaaat. That's bold. That's one of the games I'm about near 100% certain on.
Posted by redfieldk717
Alec Box
Member since Oct 2011
28117 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 10:20 am to
frick dallas, besides the 49er's and our division games...if we lose to dallas i will be
Posted by eXfaktor
A 10 by 11 Dump
Member since Jan 2011
1559 posts
Posted on 7/9/12 at 1:12 pm to
Some Trends from looking at the Saints since 2006
-Never gone undefeated in Division play (5-1 in 2011)

-Have lost to Tampa at least once every year since 2007

-Lose the Division game immediately following a Bye Week

-Are 2-1 in three weeks before bye week for 4 out of 6 seasons (0-3 2007, 3-0 2009)

-Are 2-0 in Dallas, but 0-1 against Cowboys in New Orleans

-Went 3-1 last cycle versus AFC West (Lost to Denver

-In 2006 and 2007, lost 3 games to AFC opponents each year. From 2008 to 2012, lost a total of 3 games to AFC opponents (Denver, Cleveland, Baltimore)

-3 Straight wins against NY Giants. (Think about it and let that sink in. F-ck the Niners.)

-Monday Night Football: 9-2 since 2006, 6-0 since 2009

-Sunday Night Football: 6-2 since 2006, both losses in Thursday Night Kickoff game

-Thursday Night Football: 0-2 on NFL Network, 1-4 on all Thursday games (1-0 Thanksgiving Classic)

...I could keep going but I won't. Apologizes in advance if too long for some. My predictions:


1. Washington, W
2. Carolina, W
3. Kansas City, W
4. Green Bay, L/W
5. San Diego, W
6. BYE
7. Tampa Bay, L/W
8. Denver, L/W
9. Philadelphia (Monday), W/L
10. Atlanta, W
11. Oakland, W
12. San Francisco, W
13. Atlanta (Thursday), L/W
14. NY Giants, W
15. Tampa Bay, W
16. Dallas, W
17. Carolina, W


Realistic best case scenario, 14-2. They will be 4-1 at worst before the bye week. If they beat Tampa Bay and Denver following the Bye, barring any major injuries or occurences the team will lose AT MOST 2 more games.


Realistic worst case scenario, 10-6, where they lose to both Tampa Bay and Denver and drop a game to Atlanta and two out of NY/Philadelphia/San Francisco/Dallas.


ABSOLUTE worst case scenario, 8-8. I can't see this being like old, pre-2006 Saints squads but anything is possible (remember when this used to be an EXPECTED mid/high record ?)


My Final Prediction (As of 7/9/12, assuming Drew Brees stars week 1): 12-4
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