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The way Herb's season is going...can I assume the Pelicans were fortunate to go ahead...

Posted on 2/14/24 at 3:56 pm
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
1841 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 3:56 pm
---and lock up Herb for the next 4 yrs at $53.8M ? Guess either side could have chosen to just let Herb play out the current season for the $1.8M or so that he was under contract for...and then take his & their chances on him becoming a RFA and how that would have ended up.

---I'm no expert on what somebody like Herb could get offered as a RFA after a season like he is having...but would find it very interesting to see what other, more-informed people here...would have to say.
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8240 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 4:06 pm to
It was a great deal for the Pels the moment he signed. Now it's one of the best non-rookie contracts in the association.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38378 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 4:08 pm to
I think it's pretty telling that he was our most mentioned name by other fanbases in trade targets. Herb Jones can play valuable minutes for any team in the league. He is absolutely on a bargain of a deal, particularly considering he just continues to get better.

In what world should Herb Jones have a better free throw % than Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy, CJ McCollum, and Brandon Ingram? It's just a testament to his work ethic.

The work he does defensively just from an effort standpoint masks a lot of defensive issues this team has. And honestly that's sad. If everyone gave the same effort as Herb on the defensive end this team would be a favorite in the west with our length. There really isn't an excuse for them not to either. Herb plays as many minutes as anyone and busts his arse on defense on every possession
This post was edited on 2/14/24 at 4:12 pm
Posted by LouisianaJoseph
Denver
Member since Apr 2018
1392 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

The work he does defensively just from an effort standpoint masks a lot of defensive issues this team has. And honestly that's sad. If everyone gave the same effort as Herb on the defensive end this team would be a favorite in the west with our length. There really isn't an excuse for them not to either. Herb plays as many minutes as anyone and busts his arse on defense on every possession


I understand what you're trying to get across but people can't just do that. Otherwise everyplace every player would be a DPOY candidate. The better likelihood of something happening is Jose getting that leg lengthening surgery from Southpark.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38378 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

understand what you're trying to get across but people can't just do that.


Yea they can, if they’ve put in the conditioning work. They’re running about 2.5 miles per night on average. It’s not a lot to ask to try on defense. It’s just become accepted in todays NBA that scorers don’t defend.
This post was edited on 2/14/24 at 4:47 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61482 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

I think it's pretty telling that he was our most mentioned name by other fanbases in trade targets.


His improved offense makes it unquestionable that he's a starting caliber player, which makes locking him into a roughly MLE deal a fantastic value. He will be like Jae Crowder was in Boston, too good of a value to be traded.
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10387 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 5:12 pm to
I think he can easily be a 15ppg scorer in his prime if his shot stays consistent from year to year. We've seen some off the dribble jumpers from him as well and it looks fluid and natural. He's turning into a legit phoenix version of Mikel Bridges. He has the mamba work ethic. Never bet against him.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110821 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 5:28 pm to
I think right now, this season, is probably the best we'll ever see him on offense.
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
21008 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

is probably the best we'll ever see him on offense.


It all just depends on what we do with Ingram. We keep him or trade him for another high volume shooter then yes he'll always be close to this.

If Herb is put in an offense where his 3pa goes up to 5 or 6 instead of 3.6, he can become a top 3 and d wing in the league, just because of his sustainability. I don't think he'll ever get the handle or the finishing to the level of his 3pt shooting/defense, but being a catch and shoot wing with Zion is always going to make you stand out. Right now he's the best contract in the league outside of Wemby and Chet imo.
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
5722 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 6:38 pm to
ya think?
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
1841 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

ya think?


Purpose of thread was to hopefully get an informed opinion on what Herb coulda probably been offered as a RFA, given the year he is having.

Just curious as to what Herb "left on the table" or if you prefer....what the Pels "saved". Like you infer, I think we all know Herb has been signed to a great contract, from the Pels perspective.
Posted by jrobic4
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
6960 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

y Solo
It was a great deal for the Pels the moment he signed


And it was a great deal for him, too...no matter what happened next, he and his family have generational wealth
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
4268 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 9:51 pm to
Herb is maybe the only player on the team that is a clear positive on both ends of the floor. CJ, Zion, Trey, Hawk, Ingram and (for some matchups) Jonas are weak on defense. Dyson has nothing offensively. Jose and Nance are arguably positives on both ends, but neither is a starter on a good nba team.

We need more Herbs.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8428 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

Purpose of thread was to hopefully get an informed opinion on what Herb coulda probably been offered as a RFA, given the year he is having. Just curious as to what Herb "left on the table" or if you prefer....what the Pels "saved". Like you infer, I think we all know Herb has been signed to a great contract, from the Pels perspective.


He already was a restricted free agent, and he signed for the max the Pels could give him. There’s no real difference in amount whether he signed the contract this year or next.

Now another team could have offered him an offer sheet for more, and we could have matched it…but nobody really tries to sign another team’s RFAs because it ties up their cap space for 2 days during the matching period.

Basically we did Herb a solid by declining his team option that paid him NBA Pennies (less than 2 million) so he could lock in his life changing contract a year early. And he repaid us by taking our offer and not trying to extract every penny from another team so we had to match at 20 million or so.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8428 posts
Posted on 2/14/24 at 10:15 pm to
Basically the fortunate thing the Pels did is drafted him outside the 1st round and then signed him to a super cheap guaranteed deal before he had played much at all. This kept his salary down in his first AND second contracts.
Posted by lunchbox0479
Member since Dec 2022
126 posts
Posted on 2/15/24 at 8:00 am to
quote:

We need more Herbs


We need no Herb.

Herb came from Bama we dont need his kind here. Cut him.
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
1841 posts
Posted on 2/15/24 at 10:03 am to
quote:

Now another team could have offered him an offer sheet for more, and we could have matched it…but nobody really tries to sign another team’s RFAs because it ties up their cap space for 2 days during the matching period.


But...it still happens when a team REALLY wants a certain player. Mavs offered RFA Thybulle of Trail Blazers 3 yr/$33M with player option on 3rd yr and Thybulle also would get trade approval for any future trade involving him. WAAAY higher than anybody expected, including me. They obviously wanted the guy...who I NOW consider a "very poor man's" Herb Jones. Blazers immediately matched the Mavs offer...and signed Thybulle.

I was thinking if Herb had played out this year at $1.8M & then some other team went hard after him as a RFA...your $20M per year or so, for several years would probably be about right. I'd hate for the Pels to have to match that...with all the contract problems that have coming up, already.

Herb seemed happy with his new contract and the "security" it gave him...but if he knew the kind of year he was gonna have...he might have played out the year at $1.8M and become a RFA. Bottom line...GREAT contract for Pels and Herb has his "security" albeit...at a fairly high cost to him.
This post was edited on 2/15/24 at 10:08 am
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8428 posts
Posted on 2/15/24 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

But...it still happens when a team REALLY wants a certain player. Mavs offered RFA Thybulle of Trail Blazers 3 yr/$33M with player option on 3rd yr and Thybulle also would get trade approval for any future trade involving him. WAAAY higher than anybody expected, including me. They obviously wanted the guy...who I NOW consider a "very poor man's" Herb Jones. Blazers immediately matched the Mavs offer...and signed Thybulle


Yea, it happens sometimes. Usually with cheaper guys than Herb and Austin Reaves. Paul Reed also signed one for like 3 for 24. But I think teams are loathe to offer them unless they think a player seriously is considering leaving AND it doesn’t tie up ALL their cap space. Plus I’m pretty sure with an offer sheet you have to have that much cap space and can’t do it if you’re operating over the cap. So that limits potential teams right there. Austin Reaves didn’t get an offer either because of those reasons, plus it was pretty clear he wanted to stay in LA.

quote:

I was thinking if Herb had played out this year at $1.8M


It was a team option and I don’t think they would have declined it unless they knew Herb wanted to extend

quote:

Herb seemed happy with his new contract and the "security" it gave him...but if he knew the kind of year he was gonna have...he might have played out the year at $1.8M and become a RFA.


I think if Herb was truly betting on himself in the most calculated way possible he would have accepted the qualifying offer for $5 million once the Pels declined his team option and hit unrestricted free agency next year. But that would have required misleading the
Pels and would have ended his career here. Doesn’t seem like the way Herb operates, or really anyone should operate.

quote:

Bottom line...GREAT contract for Pels and Herb has his "security" albeit...at a fairly high cost to him


The situation played out like a lot of baseball contract extensions- buy out a year + of arbitration or rookie years at a discounted rate so you can set your family up for life. Fairly common for baseball players to sign deals for $15 million a year when they’d get $25 million on the open market

If you think about it, Herb can probably do anything he wants to with $50 million guaranteed. His original $5 million was great but that’s not “my extended family will never have to worry about money again” type of money. $50M probably is.

Some people are more risk averse than others and value the security. I can’t say I blame him.
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
1841 posts
Posted on 2/15/24 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

It was a team option and I don’t think they would have declined it unless they knew Herb wanted to extend


Yep...no doubt the 2 parties had a "nod & a wink" agreement when Pels declined the team option...& probably had already worked out all the $$ details.

Main reason for my thread was that somebody "up this way" had asked me what Herb woulda gotten paid had he gone the RFA route. For some reason, they thought I would know, although I'm pretty much in the dark on stuff like that.
Obviously, I have a higher opinion on Herb than most do...EVEN NOW...and I wanted a more objective opinion than mine as to a fair price for Herb over the next few years. I've decided to give them $20M/yr as my answer...fwiw...

BTW: Nice discussion...I appreciate the input.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61482 posts
Posted on 2/15/24 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Main reason for my thread was that somebody "up this way" had asked me what Herb woulda gotten paid had he gone the RFA route.


When you are good enough to start and young enough to both follow the money and have teams overpay you expecting you to grow more, that's when you get teams with cap space throwing more than MLE money at you. I could easily see Herb getting an offer like Lonzo got, maybe a little more considering the cap inflation since then. Something in the $20-$25 million per year range.

But Herb plays for a franchise with an injury curse on it. He was smart to lock up the guaranteed money.
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