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re: Should we be rooting for pacers to get swept??

Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:01 pm to
Posted by NOSHAU
Member since Feb 2012
11877 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Turner is under contract at 16 mil a year for the next 3 years.

But yes, give me Turner everyday
I think it is $18 million per year, but I would agree.
Posted by Louisianabound88
BR
Member since Dec 2016
3069 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:02 pm to
He fits like a glove, he don’t need to be featured to get 20 pts, that’s hustle points and wide open 3’s. Let’s Zion and BI get all their touches while still being effective
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

Besides we would never give up that much for Turner. That’s crazy.
quote:

Maybe they go a different direction and we can give them 13 and Hayes for turner



What’s crazy is overvaluing Hayes.

Posted by Louisianabound88
BR
Member since Dec 2016
3069 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 6:16 pm to
Ok
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

Ok


Turner is an immensely more talented player than Hayes.

13 & Hayes is a great trade for Turner.

quote:

Hayes is going to be the better overall player compared to Turner in the long run.


This is an outlandish claim.
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 8:24 pm
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10376 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 8:30 pm to
Is it? It wasn’t so long ago that Turner was much better than Sabonis. Sabonis had an atrocious rookie year. You still think Turner is more talented than Sabonis?

Hayes is in line with most of the freshman bigs that goes into the draft after their freshman year. His numbers are right where it needs to be even if he is raw.

Turner has peaked and Hayes will be the better player in another 3 years. Much better tools than Turner.
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 8:55 pm to
quote:

s it? It wasn’t so long ago that Turner was much better than Sabonis. Sabonis had an atrocious rookie year. You still think Turner is more talented than Sabonis?


This entire paragraph has nothing to do with Turner vs Hayes. It’s whataboutism.

quote:

Hayes is in line with most of the freshman bigs that goes into the draft after their freshman year. His numbers are right where it needs to be even if he is raw. Turner has peaked and Hayes will be the better player in another 3 years. Much better tools than Turner.

Turner has peaked?

He’s 23. He’s got a better body and his shot is already there.

He’s comfortable in a featured role or as a role player.

He’s a higher IQ player whose a seamless fit on the same timeline.

Hayes isn’t as special as you think he is, & regardless of whether his shot eventually comes, his body ever develops, his IQ ever his increases, Turner is a proven commodity that can help us win next year and in the long term.


Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
14253 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 8:57 pm to
Yes it is an outlandish claim. Turner is what we hope Hayes turns out to be. Right now Hayes has shown no development whatsoever even with the amount of minutes he received.

It could be the case that he turns out to be as good or better than Turner, but I would put that chance at about 30%.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35289 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

Turner has peaked and Hayes will be the better player in another 3 years. Much better tools than Turner.


I love hayes but this makes no sense.
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10376 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:42 pm to
I have much higher expectations from Hayes on the offensive end. I feel pretty good about his ability to anchor the Pelicans defense in a couple of years. He’s has better verticality, foot speed, lateral speed, and change of direction. His explosiveness will pop much more once he knows what he’s doing on the court.

Hayes is already a better roll man, finisher, and draws foul at a high rate.

Hayes has also shown good passing instincts and potential to develop a 3 point shot.

Say what you want about Hayes but he pops on tape. Once he puts it together, he’s going to be a monster.

Turner was pretty bad during his rookie year as well and it took him 2 years to develop into a credible deep threat. Even then he has not improved very much over the course of his career. Now he’s pretty damn good as he is but I don't see him adding much more to his game. His offensive upside is limited based on his mirror image production over the course of his career. This is the only year where the volume of his 3 point shot had an uptick and his percentages fell. He will never make a Jaren Jackson type of leap as a deep threat.

Hayes may be all potential but I’m willing to wait for him because when he pops, it’s amazing to watch.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61466 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 9:48 pm to
quote:

Say what you want about Hayes but he pops on tape. Once he puts it together, he’s going to be a monster.


History says he'll be putting it together for someone else. Basically if you aren't an All Star caliber player pretty early, it's rare you make it to or very far into your 2nd contract with the team that drafted you.
Posted by supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
10376 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 10:32 pm to
I won’t disagree with that and the year to year progression will be extremely important for the kid.
And since he’s on Zion’s timeline, I’m willing to be patient with him.

I can’t help but to imagine what it would be like for Zion to be a lead ball handler playing the pick and roll with Hayes. That has the potential to be absolutely unstoppable.
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 8/25/20 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

I have much higher expectations from Hayes on the offensive end. I feel pretty good about his ability to anchor the Pelicans defense in a couple of years. He’s has better verticality, foot speed, lateral speed, and change of direction. His explosiveness will pop much more once he knows what he’s doing on the court.



Based on his play and in season development, this is not guaranteed.

quote:

Hayes is already a better roll man, finisher, and draws foul at a high rate.


He’s a quicker but not close in strength.

quote:

Hayes has also shown good passing instincts and potential to develop a 3 point shot.


I didn’t see the passing instincts.

Turner possesses both those skills.

quote:

Say what you want about Hayes but he pops on tape. Once he puts it together, he’s going to be a monster

The tape shows him getting burned and pushed around. He’s a lob threat who can hit free throws which is valuable but he’s very replaceable.

Turner has adapted his game into a bomber. He’s 23 and has modified into a modern NBA big. Something we wish Jah did.

Fred Vinson probably increases Turner’s TS% by at 5 percent, conservatively.

Most importantly his versatility allows the most important attribute to be highlighted-he can play right along with our franchise player.

quote:

And since he’s on Zion’s timeline, I’m willing to be patient with him.


Zion is much further along to being a winning basketball player than Hayes.


This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 12:16 am
Posted by Louisianabound88
BR
Member since Dec 2016
3069 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 7:23 am to
quote:

What’s crazy is overvaluing Hayes.


U failed to realize my disclaimer in the initial post. (Wishful thinking) no duh turner is more talented than Hayes and that trade would be great for us. When some teams want to go a different direction (whether they give up on a player or just want to get the contract off the books) they sometimes settle for less than they could have gotten. So your claim of me over valuing Hayes is false
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 7:25 am
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17814 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Yes it is an outlandish claim. Turner is what we hope Hayes turns out to be. Right now Hayes has shown no development whatsoever even with the amount of minutes he received.

It could be the case that he turns out to be as good or better than Turner, but I would put that chance at about 30%.


I would put it at something like 70%. Soggymoss, you are smarter than this. Hayes is still learning to play basketball. He doesn't need to develop a 3-pt shot to be as good as Turner. All he needs to do is add 15 pounds, improve his FT percentage, learn to box on to get DREBS, and learn how and when to rotate defensively.

Y'all thought that Hayes was a poor rebounder this year? Well then, you were right. But he was still a better rebounder than Myles Turner.

At what is Myles Turner elite? I can't find anything. But Jaxson already has elite athleticism and hands for a big man. He has tremendous roll gravity and could eventually end up as the best roll man in the league.

Hayes already has a much higher ORTG than Turner. And why is Hayes so much worse on defense? Because, as we all know, he needs to gain weight and learn defensive positioning, which we should expect him to do.

Trading a player with potential to be elite for a "good" player who doesn't do anything special is truly Dempsian. Do any of you really think that Turner is the missing piece for us to win a title? If not, why would we trade away someone who could end up being that piece?
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

would put it at something like 70%. Soggymoss, you are smarter than this. Hayes is still learning to play basketball. He doesn't need to develop a 3-pt shot to be as good as Turner. All he needs to do is add 15 pounds, improve his FT percentage, learn to box on to get DREBS, and learn how and when to rotate defensively. Y'all thought that Hayes was a poor rebounder this year? Well then, you were right. But he was still a better rebounder than Myles Turner.


You realize positioning on the court, for example a stretch 5 or guarding stretch 5s will put you out of position for rebounds, right?

Or playing next to another big, who’s an all star, will lower your rebound percentage, correct.

quote:

Trading a player with potential to be elite for a "good" player who doesn't do anything special is truly Dempsian. Do any of you really think that Turner is the missing piece for us to win a title? If not, why would we trade away someone who could end up being that piece?


Everything Hayes is “expected“ to be elite at is something Zion will be if not already.

He absolutely 100% needs to be a 3 point shooter to not get in Zions way.

Turner who’s 23-with a new coach(one with a clue on offense) and an elite shooting coach can be an elite 5 tool big, next year.

Waiting on Hayes is the Dempsian move.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17814 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Everything Hayes is “expected“ to be elite at is something Zion will be if not already.

He absolutely 100% needs to be a 3 point shooter to not get in Zions way.


All of this is so dumb. You really think that Griffin drafted Hayes with the expectation that he would take a redshirt year, and then Hayes would significantly exceed expectations in his first season ... and then Griffin would dump him for a guy who has been in the league for five seasons now and is maybe at the level of an average starter?

You are worried about fit, and that's not what we are doing right now. You make trades to get good fits when you need the last few pieces to make a title run.
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
14253 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 2:45 pm to
Turner is an elite shot blocker.

He's a damn good 3 point shooter.

A damn good rim runner.

A good rebounder. This is overshadowed because of his playing alongside Sabonis.

As of right now Hayes has shown no jump shot. He has shown no defensive awareness. He has consistently looked like a deer in the headlights, and it seemed to progress and get worse as he got more playing time.

Yes he COULD end up better than Turner, but all signs right now point to him not being. He has the tools, but he doesn't have the brains. That is the biggest factor, and the hardest to judge.
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

All of this is so dumb. You really think that Griffin drafted Hayes with the expectation that he would take a redshirt year, and then Hayes would significantly exceed expectations in his first season ... and then Griffin would dump him for a guy who has been in the league for five seasons now and is maybe at the level of an average starter?



Level of an average starter? You don’t watch much basketball.

Moss, has already responded soundly to your illogical post...so I don’t have to cover the same bases he did. So I’ll address your dumbass statements.

quote:

You are worried about fit, and that's not what we are doing right now.


Yeah, that’s exactly what we’re doing.
Finding the best pieces to fit around a dynamic wing scorer and a generational post player.
quote:

and then Griffin would dump him for a guy who has been in the league for five seasons now and is maybe at the level of an average starter?


Back to this. Is Griffins job not to evaluate assets and sell high?

Since Hayes is such a “great“ offensive player given that offensive rating that is by no means skewed by the spoon fed buckets he receives, isn’t it better to sell high on a guy who can’t read an offense now then when there is more tape on him?

Do you want to possessions to logjam because Hayes is of no use hanging out at the elbows and high post while Zion seals off his man, needing spacing to be successful?

Hayes is redundant. Turner isn’t, fits
on the timeline and still has room to grow at 23. His contract is only 3 years and he’ll be with a top 3 shooting coach in the league.

Look at the West- Davis, Gobert, Jokic, KP, Ayton, Harrell/Zubac, LaMarcus(who killed us this year), Nurkic, etc.

We’re are getting roasted if Hayes is our starter in every matchup. Turner neutralizes some of those guys and has more of an advantage over a few more.

If Hayes is starting, we have the worst starting center in the NBA and the defensive woes continue.

That’s not an insult, that’s just a fact of life.



Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17814 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

Level of an average starter? You don’t watch much basketball.



I was too kind. I should have said that he's a below-average starter.

What in the world is your basis for concluding that he's better than average? VORP? He's the #28 center among those with enough minutes to qualify. RAPTOR? Oh, there he's #36 among centers, although that is with counting some PF-C guys who really play PF. How about Real Plus Minus? Now he places #23.

But I guess all of those stats are meaningless, because he spends a lot of his time out of position, amirite? Well, according to Cleaning the Glass, the Pacers finished at a negative 3.4 points per 100 possessions when Turner was on the floor without Sabonis.

How good of a rebounder was he in those lineups? Terrible. Cleaning the Glass says that lineups with Turner at center and no Sabonis on the floor finished in the 2nd percentile for OREBS and in the 11th percentile on DREBs.

But you say that he's better than an average starter? And the reason for that is that you watch basketball? Uh-huh.

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