- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Holiday and turnovers
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:12 am to TigerinATL
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:12 am to TigerinATL
quote:
If he's posting he's not serious. Fear has become a Steven Colbertesque caricature of that which he hates. He's so effective at it he's the poster boy for the Chicken Littles. He's the Alex P. Keaton of the PT.
Fear is whack, ban him
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:21 am to TigerinATL
quote:
He'll get it together. His career average is 2.7 TO per game and he averaged 3.7 last season. There's no reason to believe he'll average more this year than last year. He'll regress to the mean eventually.
I wasn't making any judgement of him, just clarifying that statement. He needs to be better than 2:1 if he's to be a good point guard, which I think he can be.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 8:55 am to JimmyLoincloth
Yeah, I'm just trying to convince myself that it's not possible for what we're seeing to continue. It has to get better, right?
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:17 am to tgr4ever
quote:Dude, have you watched any games? Last night, he had two occassions where he dribbled into a double team and tried cross court passes that were stolen. You would not expect that from a rookie. He has had two games with 8 turnovers this preseason and has not even played full minutes yet.
Dude, half of Jrues turnovers tonight were not even his fault. Davis fumbled 2 passes IIRC and Chalmers had a great strip while Jrue was in the middle of a euro step. The only bad pass he had was when he drove into the middle of Miamis defense and decided to throw away.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:21 am to TigerinATL
quote:
Yeah, I'm just trying to convince myself that it's not possible for what we're seeing to continue. It has to get better, right?
One would hope. He was supposed to be a push offensively and an upgrade defensively. Otherwise, the trade may well have been a mistake. We just have to hope for the best now.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:26 am to 42
quote:1:1 ratio is not outrageous from a good point guard? That is terrible. 2:1 should be the minimum for a decent point guard. 2:1 last year would have placed him around 55th in a group with Barea, Stuckey, Shved, etc. He was at 2.14 last year on a bad team and needs to improve. Vasquez was 2.85. I would expect at least 2.5, which would be average. The preseason ratio of 1.35 is unacceptable. However, I am hopeful Monty will get him to calm down and improve that ratio.
These things are not reflected in box scores, etc., and some spectators miss them if their views are obstructed by other players or it happens quickly, but you are correct. Remember, passing invites additional turnovers, so looking at assists and turnovers is more informative for distributors. His numbers this preseason are: (3,8), (6,4), (9,5), (6,2), (8,2), (8,8), (6,5). This totals to (46, 34). It's not what you want from a point guard in the long-term, but he was steadily improving his ratio for several games there and a 1:1 ratio is not outrageous to see from a good point guard (2:1 average) several times a season. Also, he has not strung together multiple bad games, at least in my estimation.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:31 am to JimmyLoincloth
quote:
the trade may well have been a mistake
My trade WAS NOT a mistake. Jrue was not my first choice, and although I liked Greivis, Greivis could not take us to the next level.
Let's all take a collective deep breath with Jrue. It's been 3 years of giving Monty a pass, but we wanna put the "failure" stamp on this trade before the first regular season game? Sheesh.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:34 am to JimmyLoincloth
quote:
A 2:1 average is not a very good point guard. That's barely top 50 among PGs.
2:1 is fine. Many players with higher ratios than that don't assist that much (and have fewer turnovers as a result of fewer attempts to assist) or just don't play that much.
When you toss out the low minutes guys (look at, say, over 24mpg and played over 41 games) and low assist guys (so at least 5 assists per game), the list shrinks. In terms of passing effectively, Holiday is midpack in that crew, which is basically the teams' designated ball handlers. He's not special, but he's fine at it and does other things well while he's on the court.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:37 am to NOSHAU
quote:
1:1 ratio is not outrageous from a good point guard? That is terrible. 2:1 should be the minimum for a decent point guard. 2:1 last year would have placed him around 55th in a group with Barea, Stuckey, Shved, etc. He was at 2.14 last year on a bad team and needs to improve. Vasquez was 2.85. I would expect at least 2.5, which would be average. The preseason ratio of 1.35 is unacceptable. However, I am hopeful Monty will get him to calm down and improve that ratio.
On average, that is terrible. A good point guard will have those 1:1 game and 6:1 games. A couple of either is nothing to excited about, positively or negatively.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:38 am to Gtothemoney
quote:
My trade WAS NOT a mistake.
Your trade?
quote:
Let's all take a collective deep breath with Jrue. It's been 3 years of giving Monty a pass, but we wanna put the "failure" stamp on this trade before the first regular season game? Sheesh.
I didn't call it a failure, but my statement is 100% accurate. It may well have been a mistake. If he keeps playing like he has, it was. That doesn't mean he will keep playing like he is. Just being objective. Sheesh.
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 9:39 am
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:43 am to 42
quote:
2:1 is fine.
For a point guard, 2:1 is below average. A "good" point guard does not put up sub-par assist:turnover numbers. 2:1 would have ranked 44th among qualifying PGs last year. Not good.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:48 am to JimmyLoincloth
quote:
For a point guard, 2:1 is below average. A "good" point guard does not put up sub-par assist:turnover numbers. 2:1 would have ranked 44th among qualifying PGs last year. Not good.
I think the standards I set out above for qualifying PG are more strict than whatever site you are using.
I'm just laying out my criteria. Time (in the regular season) will tell.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 9:53 am to 42
Turnovers or not, that cat can ball.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 10:08 am to 42
quote:
I think the standards I set out above for qualifying PG are more strict than whatever site you are using.
What? I searched top 50 in assist:turnover for all league point guards. There are a total of 4 in the entire list with under 20 mpg..
Assist:turnover
It seems like you are cherry-picking your data. If you sort by assists per game, you have to get to Montae Ellis at 20th before you get below 2 ast:to at 1.95. Jrue was next at 2.14. Then Lillard at 2.19, Westbrook at 2.22, and Curry at 2.25. He's basically in the shoot-first group from last year.
This post was edited on 10/24/13 at 10:15 am
Posted on 10/24/13 at 10:11 am to JimmyLoincloth
2/1 I thought that was the TD to interception ratio.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 10:48 am to 42
quote:Oh, OK, I understand what you are saying now. I still think he needs to be at least in the 2.5:1 range, and hopefully he will get there.
On average, that is terrible. A good point guard will have those 1:1 game and 6:1 games. A couple of either is nothing to excited about, positively or negatively.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 11:12 am to JimmyLoincloth
About the cherry-picking: I am not trying to do that. I am trying to toss out clutter. To me, a guy who plays more than half the game (on average) in more than half the games is a relevant comparison, so I picked that for that reason. Then, I wants guys whose job it is to pass, so I set a floor for assists. This way, I'm not comparing him to passing big men like Gasol. I'm just saying how I'm arriving at my conclusion.
When I'm by a computer, I'll pull together a list from last season and that may make it clearer.
When I'm by a computer, I'll pull together a list from last season and that may make it clearer.
Posted on 10/24/13 at 11:15 am to NOSHAU
quote:
Oh, OK, I understand what you are saying now. I still think he needs to be at least in the 2.5:1 range, and hopefully he will get there.
I hope for this, too. I will cut him slack if he scores well and we're winning. Also, with Tyreke out there with him, he may cut his opportunities to pass (and turnover) AND streth the defense to make passing to people other than Tyreke easier.
I just don't want to look at turnovers in isolation (or any stat, really).
Posted on 10/24/13 at 11:16 am to 42
If you throw out players who played less than 24 minutes and averaged less than 5 assists, Jrue was 26th in assist ratio last season. As stated earlier, he was in the shoot first range of pgs (Westbrook, Curry, Lillard, etc...)
Posted on 10/24/13 at 11:23 am to Epic Cajun
quote:
If you throw out players who played less than 24 minutes and averaged less than 5 assists, Jrue was 26th in assist ratio last season. As stated earlier, he was in the shoot first range of pgs (Westbrook, Curry, Lillard, etc...)
Out of how many?
I did the calculations on Ast%/Tov% and he was like 17th of 33. Something like that. Looking at possesion based stats is a little fairer (I think), but it shouldn't be a gross disparity in most cases.
Given that last season was his worst since his rookie year and there were known issues in Philly last season, I see no reason to consider last season as the start of a new trend rather than an anomaly. I am happy to give equal weight to both. I am just not freaked out by the turnovers. I hope I am not wrong.
Popular
Back to top


0




