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re: Survivor 50 - Premiere 2/25/26

Posted on 5/13/26 at 9:31 pm to
Posted by SmokinBurger
Bayou Self
Member since Sep 2021
542 posts
Posted on 5/13/26 at 9:31 pm to
Glad ole girl is gone but mad they didn’t get Riztard when they had a chance. Corkcoaker could have went home with an idol in his pocket but they had to tell Cirie the plan…
Posted by DVA Tailgater
Bunkie
Member since Jan 2011
3469 posts
Posted on 5/13/26 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

Tiff's to win if makes it.


She’ll have to win out.

Yall need to make peace with Aubry winning in a final three with Joe and Rizzo.

The only 3 possible winners are Aubry, Tiff, and Jonathan.

Joe and Rizzo are DOA.
Posted by MrCEO
Bora Bora
Member since Jun 2017
410 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 5:57 am to
I understand where not the ones voting, but if I’m on the jury Aubry has zero chance to win. What is her resume this season? Existing like Cerie…
Posted by geauxdjback9
what the fellas be yellin
Member since Jul 2006
1433 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 6:04 am to
No way you would have convinced me this would be the final 5. I hope Tiff wins a couple more comps and makes finals.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104034 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 6:33 am to
quote:

Joe and Rizzo are DOA.


I actually think Rizo is the favorite... and he has an idol to use next week so he can't be voted out at this point.

Completely agree about Joe.
Posted by DivotBreath
On the course
Member since Oct 2007
3722 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 6:47 am to
Please : : : one more fan twist where all idols and advantages are nullified or someone finds a “steal” to take his idol. I really dislike the cocky little bastard ever since he knick-named himself a god last season.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104034 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 8:04 am to
Someone getting a "knowledge is power" advantage to steal Rizo's idol then vote him out would be glorious. As long as it isn't Aubry because I really don't want to see her win.
Posted by tiger94gop
GEISMAR
Member since Nov 2004
3234 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 8:27 am to
At this point, the only way anyone beside Tiffany and Aubrey can win is if they go to an all Guys final. No one is giving it to Joe, no one is handing it to Rizzo, so Jonathan would be the winner. However, Cirie was right, Jonathan has been manipulated all game based on his edit, so he has made moves that would have made his path harder than it should have been.

I am glad they finally took Cirie out, but damn she almost screwed up each of the tribals on this episode. It must have been her edit, because when someone says: "We have to run it by Cirie", how can you not know she is running the game? Also, Rizzo not playing his idol tells you that he thinks he is calling the shots. They should have taken him out as well. Devens was an easy vote, but I don't know if anyone could have beaten him if he made it to the final three. He played a hell of a game, very lucky.

Also, I am not clear on the "shot-in-the-dark", does they give out a 50/50 split of safe and un-safe to all the players at the beginning? I sure seems like through the times is has been in the game, it isn't a 50/50 chance of being safe.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104034 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 8:47 am to
Aubry or Tiff winning would be terrible... just terrible. Aubry sure is getting a strong edit though. I'd have a hard time voting for Tiff when she's been on the wrong side of so many votes... including the second one last night. That's a tell-tale sign that people aren't working with you... but they also all seem to like her. Meanshile Aubry and Rizo have been on the right side of every vote they've been a part of.

Joe's a clear patsy to take to the end. He hasn't played much of a strategic game at all.

quote:

Also, I am not clear on the "shot-in-the-dark", does they give out a 50/50 split of safe and un-safe to all the players at the beginning? I sure seems like through the times is has been in the game, it isn't a 50/50 chance of being safe.


They put their shot in the dark die in an urn and pull out a parchment... there are 6 in there and only one is "Safe" so the odds are essentially the same as rolling a dice and having to come up with the 1/6 right side. They also have to do this instead of casting a vote.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76212 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:06 am to
Two meatheads have a huge lead and lose because they can’t spell.

Finally they all realized they couldn’t beat cirie.

Aubry blows her chance to win by helping the meatheads .


Props to Tiff for staying focused and beating 4 people working together.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76212 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:11 am to
quote:

They put their shot in the dark die in an urn and pull out a parchment... there are 6 in there and only one is "Safe" so the odds are essentially the same as rolling a dice and having to come up with the 1/6 right side.


This is the best explanation i have seen on this. Thanks for clarifying.
Posted by slinger1317
Northshore
Member since Sep 2005
7045 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:19 am to
quote:

I really dislike the cocky little bastard ever since he knick-named himself a god last season.


I can't stand Rizzo, but Aubrey made sense last night when she said they need Rizzo in the final 3. None of those old timers will vote for the cocky kid. As much as I want his arse gone, keeping him around makes a lot of sense for the remaining players.

I think the next vote has to be on Tiffany. If they don't get rid of her now she will likely win. Cirie is her BFF and can sway the jury.

The way I see it, the 3 guys should stick together and carry each other to the Final 3. Rizzo won't win because the jury won't vote for him, Joe is a nice guy but is just a patsy, Jonathan isn't the smartest guy but I could see him winning out of those 3.

If Tiff gets to the final- it is hers to lose
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76212 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:21 am to
Side note. Emily actually cleans up very nicely
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104034 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:22 am to
Aubry will be gunning for Tiff.. she sees Michelle 2.0 coming.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76212 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:27 am to
The problem if the 3 guys make it. Joe and Jonathan aren’t very good speakers.

Rizo is a very good speaker. I could see him handling the questions much better than the other two.
Posted by DVA Tailgater
Bunkie
Member since Jan 2011
3469 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:48 am to
quote:

I could see him handling the questions much better than the other two.


Brother, Rizo has no path to victory with this jury.
Posted by LSUtigerfan22
Gonzales
Member since Mar 2007
1021 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:57 am to
Rizo will have made it to the final vote in 2 consecutive seasons, 18 tribals in 3 months and he’s never walked in without an immunity idol to his name.

Say what you want about the guy, but that’s impressive.
Posted by Deep Purple Haze
LA
Member since Jun 2007
70120 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 9:58 am to
agree. riz has played these old fricks
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104034 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 10:02 am to
I agree... two seasons in a row he's had an idol, everyone knew it, and he still made it all the way to final 5 without having to use it. That's doing something right. And he isn't winning immunity left and right either.

I could see the jury not wanting to give him the win because he's annoying, young, and they didn't know him before... but I could also see them respecting that he made it so far with an idol in his pocket, without immunity necklaces, without prior relationships, and he's been on the right side of every vote so far.

We didn't see him plead his case to the jury last season, but I think he'd have won if he had beaten Savannah at fire.
Posted by Dirtysouthdeacon
Dirtysouth
Member since Aug 2018
280 posts
Posted on 5/14/26 at 10:04 am to
We shall see, but Riz could get Ozzy and Devens and Cerie's votes. Along with whomever is left in the game that does not make final 3. He could easily win. And of those left, I think he should. He had the second hardest path to the end (other newcomer who won last season).
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