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NY Times - How Will Movies As We Know Them Survive the Next 10 Years?

Posted on 6/20/19 at 4:39 pm
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
51560 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 4:39 pm
Good read

quote:

Big studios are gobbling each other up as smaller movies struggle and even name-brand titles tank at the box office. Netflix is revolutionizing the way people watch films, while major new streaming services from Apple, Disney, Warner Bros. and other deep-pocketed studios are coming soon. And every aspect of the movie industry — from the diversity of its storytellers to the spoils of Oscar season — is being called into question.

“This is the biggest shift in the content business in the history of Hollywood,” the producer Jason Blum recently told me. But what will it all look like when the dust settles? To find out, I convened a virtual think tank of key Hollywood figures, and their message to the movie industry was clear: Adapt or die.

24 major Hollywood figures peer into the future, including: Ava DuVernay (on audiences), Jason Blum (on producing), Octavia Spencer (on acting), Kumail Nanjiani (on comedy), Lena Waithe (on black filmmakers), J.J. Abrams (on blockbusters), Jon M. Chu (on diversity), Jessica Chastain (on dramas), Elizabeth Banks (on female filmmakers), Barry Jenkins (on the Oscars) and Joe and Anthony Russo (on two-hour narratives).


quote:

J.J. Abrams

When you have a movie that’s as entertaining, well-made, and well-received as “Booksmart” not doing the business it should have [the teen comedy underperformed at the box office despite critics’ raves], it really makes you realize that the typical Darwinian fight to survive is completely lopsided now. Everyone’s trying to figure out how we protect the smaller films that aren’t four-quadrant mega-releases. Can they exist in the cinemas?

JESSICA CHASTAIN
Actress, “Dark Phoenix,” upcoming “355”

What happens to these beautiful, small, dramatic stories? Are other studios going to make them so that we don’t lose part of our art form?



LINK
Posted by bluestem75
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2007
3228 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 6:10 pm to
They whine about people not coming to the theater, but they refuse to award Best Picture to films that are made for the theatrical experience in recent years: Gravity, Avatar, Inception, La La Land, The Revenant, Fury Road...
Posted by airlinehwypanhandler
Airline Highway
Member since Feb 2019
2130 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 6:44 pm to
Seems like every movie these days is all or nothing, it has to be a blockbuster or else

One example of a genre that has completely died is kids sports movies. Movies like Sandlot, Mighty Ducks, Little Giants, Rookie of the Year, etc., or live action kids movies in general like 3 Ninjas.
Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12356 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 6:50 pm to
How about if they start with:

"NY Times - How Will Newspapers As We Know Them Survive the Next 10 Years?"

But yeah, theaters may be in for trouble. Smaller movies will do just fine on Netflix, Amazon, etc. They've done very well for TV series and my guess is that will translate into movies too (Ballad of Buster Scrugs for instance).
Posted by rebelrouser
Columbia, SC
Member since Feb 2013
10604 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 6:51 pm to
Well kids are getting fatter and fatter and staying inside a lot more.
Posted by Jay Are
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
4840 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

They whine about people not coming to the theater, but they refuse to award Best Picture to films that are made for the theatrical experience in recent years:


The average theater-goer could not care less about the Oscars. And theater owners, the people this shift affects most, aren't Academy voters.
Posted by cable
Member since Oct 2018
9639 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 9:07 pm to
All of these Hollywood types just love Booksmart. It's hard for me to recall a movie I wanted to see less. Hollywood types get an idea, like remaking classic movies with female leads, in their little circle and think everyone else thinks exactly the same way. Then they are shocked when the movie flops.
This post was edited on 6/20/19 at 9:08 pm
Posted by devils1854
Franklin
Member since Aug 2014
6348 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 9:12 pm to
Do young people(Teenager to mid 20s) really not go to the movies for the most part?
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
57924 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 10:23 pm to
Maybe if Hollywood wouldn't try to alienate half its audience ever other day, they'd have a brighter future.
Posted by PEPE
Member since Jun 2018
8198 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 10:49 pm to
They'll make the same 12 movies people actually like to see over and over.
Posted by HoustonGumbeauxGuy
Member since Jul 2011
29503 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 11:17 pm to
Look at all of the remakes and reboots over the past several years and you will quickly see that creativity in Hollywood is at an all time low.

Posted by biglego
Ask your mom where I been
Member since Nov 2007
76276 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

Elizabeth Banks (on female filmmakers)


quote:

Lena Waithe (on black filmmakers)
quote:

Jon M. Chu (on diversity)



So much obsession over labels.
Posted by bcoop199
Kansas City, MISSOURI
Member since Nov 2013
6663 posts
Posted on 6/20/19 at 11:32 pm to
How about if going to the movies didn't cost so much? That and if they'd quit insulting a large portion of their audience.
Posted by Geauxboy
NW Arkansas
Member since Oct 2006
4856 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 9:30 am to
quote:

So much obsession over labels.


Agreed. But if you are gonna have them, which panel member is there to discuss the perspective on Good Movies.
Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
4596 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 9:35 am to
quote:

How about if going to the movies didn't cost so much? That and if they'd quit insulting a large portion of their audience.

This. It cost me $42 to take me and my kid to the movies last night. I spend less than that taking her to the Knock Knock Museum. That's absurd.
Posted by TouchedTheAxeIn82
near the Apple spaceship
Member since Nov 2012
5177 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:16 am to
quote:

How about if going to the movies didn't cost so much?

Movies should be priced individually to put butts in seats. That drives concession sales, everyone wins.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112312 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 10:52 am to
If they really want to drive theater sales then they need to lower prices. Look at the Falcons stadium model

Lower your insane markup in half and triple your sales and boom your profit increases
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89512 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 1:47 pm to
The film as a large format, shared experience only has a future in big budget, tentpole franchise films.

I don't like that fact, but being in denial about it changes nothing. The streaming services/small format outlets, Netflix, Amazon, Hulu, HBO, etc., will be where the critically acclaimed dramas and, largely, the comedies, all end up eventually.

The problem the streamers have now is splinterization. When Netflix was the default choice, there was a broad consensus about where to go. Now that every quarter it seems a major content entity seems to be going their own way, they're going to have problems getting a critical mass of consumers under the same umbrella - maybe that era has already ended in just a few years.
Posted by Loungefly85
Lafayette
Member since Jul 2016
7930 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 1:51 pm to
Movies will outlive the New York Times.
Posted by ZappBrannigan
Member since Jun 2015
7692 posts
Posted on 6/21/19 at 4:02 pm to
My nephew takes too much after his dad and hates sports.

My niece would prefer to play herself than watch someone else.

I dunno they don't seem up for the shenanigans kid stories of yesteryear. Anyway that's my anecdote.
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