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re: Avengers Endgame Box Office Watch - Now just $15.5M behind Avatars Record

Posted on 5/5/19 at 12:37 pm to
Posted by TheeRealCarolina
Member since Aug 2018
17925 posts
Posted on 5/5/19 at 12:37 pm to
Endgame and Pikachu will be 1 and 2 (in some order) for the the next two weekends.
Posted by MF Doom
I'm only Joshin'
Member since Oct 2008
11937 posts
Posted on 5/5/19 at 12:38 pm to
Whats funny is that I feel like the prequels would be huge in china today with all the simple arse dialogue and cgi overload
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/5/19 at 12:51 pm to
Pikachu should be #1 next weekend. It'll then compete against John Wick 3 the following weekend.
Posted by 3nOut
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Jan 2013
32394 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 8:51 am to
2.2 billion estimate after the weekend.

$500 million to go. Going to be dicey.
Posted by TheeRealCarolina
Member since Aug 2018
17925 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:07 am to
It’ll get there. 850ish million domestically and 1.95 billion international
Posted by LB84
Member since May 2016
4527 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:20 am to
Would be nice to actually see a good movie be at the top of the list. Avatar is so bad. Disappointed I went to see it in theaters. It was my first 3-D movie and the only other one I saw in 3-D was the first Thor.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115431 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Pikachu should be #1 next weekend. It'll then compete against John Wick 3 the following weekend.


Then Godzilla the next...
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:25 am to
Yeah, the competition gets stiff from here. Aladdin after Godzilla. I still say passing Avatar is a done deal. I'm more interested to see if it can catch TFA domestic total.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115431 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:29 am to
quote:

I'm more interested to see if it can catch TFA domestic total.


It's getting a lot of repeat viewings, which for a 3 hour movie (almost 3.5 once you add the trailers), that's a commitment.
Posted by schatman
Montana
Member since Nov 2018
2958 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:30 am to
I agree. Utter garbage.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:31 am to
Sorry to say fellas, but the Avatar sequels are going to crush the box office. China alone will break all types of records.
Posted by Fewer Kilometers
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
38438 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:38 am to
quote:

Sorry to say fellas, but the Avatar sequels are going to crush the box office. China alone will break all types of records.

Why, is he inventing an even newer version of 3-D?
Posted by ohiovol
Member since Jan 2010
21049 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 9:43 am to
I saw this broke 2 billion in less than 1/4 the time of Avatar. Crazy. Any chance this hits 3 billion?
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 10:00 am to
I don't think it hits 3 billion. $2.8-$2.9 is more likely.
Posted by SSpaniel
Germantown
Member since Feb 2013
29658 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 11:00 am to
quote:

Pikachu should be #1 next weekend.

Yes
quote:

It'll then compete against John Wick 3 the following weekend.


Uh.. Nope.

After Pikachu, it's next competition will be Godzilla.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Uh.. Nope.


It's early tracking numbers are $40-50 mil opening weekend. Yes, that will cut into Endgames week 4 numbers.
Posted by TheeRealCarolina
Member since Aug 2018
17925 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 11:05 am to
Aladdin is the 24th, Godzilla the 31st.

Pikachu
John Wick 3
Aladdin
Godzilla

Are your next 4 big releases.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 5/6/19 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

It's early tracking numbers are $40-50 mil opening weekend. Yes, that will cut into Endgames week 4 numbers.
I’ve seen a little less at, $30-$40 million. So it looks like $40 million seems like a reasonable median estimate here.

Now that would be impressive given its genre and R-rating; however, it’s not some especially number for the “summer” box office season (200ish) or then just May itself (40ish). So I’m not sure that the amount (unless a big upside surprise) would have too much of an impact. Plus I think there is a low enough overlap in the viewer demographics given the genre and content differences, plus the 4th weekend demographics for a film are often different (less passionate, families, word of mouth, etc.) than the 1st weekend demographics.

So compared to IW competing against Deadpool, an R-rated Marvel comic book film, and its $125+ million opening, competing against John Wick will probably have much less of an impact on Endgame.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/7/19 at 9:50 am to
About 10.7 yesterday.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 5/10/19 at 9:50 am to
Update - Tues 12.5, Wed 8.4, Thurs 7.5. It's definitely slowing down a bit. I still think 900 million is possible, but surpassing TFA will be tough.
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