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re: Why is Okie State only a 10-1/2 point favorite against Arizona

Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:37 am to
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:37 am to
quote:

shite JUST GOT REAAAAAAL SON


It's like five on one here. I'm taking tone liberties.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:39 am to
quote:

If the lines aren't meant to divide the money in half, then what is the main objective in setting a line?


vegas sets the lines to generate the most profitable outcome possible. if they feel they have an advantage they will exploit it; if what you are saying was true, every game would be 50% on one side and 50% on the other and that is rarely the case. it is far more complicated than just "divide" the money on the game spreads.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:41 am to
quote:

vegas sets the lines to generate the most profitable outcome possible. if they feel they have an advantage they will exploit it; if what you are saying was true, every game would be 50% on one side and 50% on the other and that is rarely the case. it is far more complicated than just "divide" the money on the game spreads


I agree that it's more complicated. But that's the starting point.

I disagree that every game would be split evenly on both sides. How in the world could a sportsbook ensure that?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61014 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:50 am to
quote:

who is the a-hole western kentucky fan



Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61014 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:52 am to
quote:

But I also know that Boise State was favored by 13 points in their bowl game last year against Arizona State. I further know that I have a fully functioning brain and could tell you that Boise would win by 30 every day of the week.


my bad, I didn't realize you were posting from your yatch in the Caymans or are you in the comped Presidential suite at Caeser's this week?

congrats on your 20/20 hindsight though

This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 11:55 am
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 11:56 am to
quote:

congrats on your 20/20 hindsight though


1. It's an example. I could have used many different ones.

1a. But if you didn't bet it, you were retarded.

2. You bring nothing to the table.
Posted by Rickie
Portland, ME
Member since Aug 2010
2927 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:04 pm to
OSU played almost every single player on our roster last weekend. Our starters were pulled at the end of the first quarter of O & D.

Not saying we will cover, but watching 3 quarters of the game and speaking of sloppy play is accurate. Though, the sloppy play was mainly back ups and walk ons.

For the record, we should cover IMO.
Posted by VerlanderBEAST
Member since Dec 2011
19352 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:07 pm to
Never bet double digit favs on the road
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61014 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

1. It's an example. I could have used many different ones.


I'm sure there's never been a game you were so sure was off that you lost

quote:

1a. But if you didn't bet it, you were retarded.


If you a) bet anything short of your entire net wealth on that game you must be a blithering idiot or maybe the b) worlds biggest pussy.

a or b, which is it?

quote:

2. You bring nothing to the table.


LVSC > you


This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 12:23 pm
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36749 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

I'll laugh my arse off if Zona covers due to your cockiness about "knowing football."

ill laugh my arse off if there is a goddamn plane crash
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61014 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

We got two options. a or b. You tell me which one.


neither of your strawmen are valid options.

If you think the guy that set that line didn't care, you are the one that just had a labotomy.

Cherry picking one line that turned out to be way off from the result shows nothing, but luckily for Vegas, there are people out there like you that think it does.
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 12:23 pm
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Cherry picking one line


You keep saying this. I had to use a line as an example, otherwise I would have written a goddamn novella.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

LVSC > you


Or not
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

Never bet double digit favs on the road


Oh really? Well thanks Verlander for clearing that up.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

I'm sure there's never been a game you were so sure was off that you lost


There is a direct correlation between my confidence in a game and my winning percentage. I've never lost a game that I REALLY laid the wood on. Could it happen? Of course. But if you make bets thinking those bets are going to lose, then don't make bets.
Posted by Zamoro10
Member since Jul 2008
14743 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:31 pm to
You should really post a pic of your high roller bet receipt for this thread...so we know you're not full of shite who backs nothing up.

You've boasted and blustered about this line and your amazing acumen...you need to put up or GTFO.
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 12:32 pm
Posted by dj30
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2006
29855 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:32 pm to
Good luck bobbyray, want all the msb members to clean up this week. Keep letting us know whenever you see locks.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

You should really post a pic of your high roller bet receipt for this thread...so we know you're not full of shite who backs nothing up.

You've boasted and blustered about this line and your amazing acumen...you need to put up or GTFO.


Go to the end of the week 1 thread.

Also, suck my dick.

ETA: that thread went on forever. Go to Thursday night range. And, of course, you are still welcome to fellate me if you'd like.
This post was edited on 9/6/12 at 12:44 pm
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
36972 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

re: Why is Okie State only a 10-1/2 point favorite against Arizona Posted by bobbyray21 on 9/6 at 9:29 am to SlowFlowPro quote: a. last year. they have a new coach and offensive system this year. they have a new defensive system this year, coached by a really good DC. stoops did leave some talent out there. i'm not saying zona is a title contender, but they may make a huge jump this year via superior coaching b. OSU lost some talent from last year. they went from a monster WR and 28 year old calming influence at QB to an unknown WR corps and a true freshman QB. that's called a drop You know who else lost all of their offensive production from last year? Toledo. Remember them? I think they played Arizona recently. I'm sure the juggernaut known as Arizona worked them over without much difficulty. Basically what we have here is a table with Free Money scattered all over it. You can either grab the Free Money off the table and go your merry way, or you can come up with a million stupid arse reasons why you shouldn't stuff those free legal tender notes in your pockets, and in your socks, and in your boxer briefs. Me? I'll be rubbing my nutsack with that Free Money. I can let you smell it if you'd like. Don't ever research your way out of Free Money. Arizona sucks at football. Oklahoma State is good. Analysis over. Post Reply • Back to Top


Bookmarked
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 9/6/12 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Bookmarked


Be sure to pay special attention to the part about me rubbing Free Money on my nutsack.
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