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re: What started the “going for it on 4th” trend?

Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:15 pm to
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
51904 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

This is why analytics rarely support kicking field goals on 4th down inside the 10, and especially inside the 5, barring an end of half or game scenario.


Analytics also don’t know if you’re gonna need those three points later that you passed up on
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452473 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

Analytics also don’t know if you’re gonna need those three points later that you passed up on


Pretty sure the data for all games is included in the simulations, so it basically is accounted for (over a muc larger sample than one game)
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
33204 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:30 pm to
Yeah, It was the coach at Pulaski Academy in Little Rock? who came to the realization that kicking the ball was bad and should be done as little as possible and then discovered that if you went for it on 4th and 5 and less you would score more and your odds of winning went up a lot
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
55013 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:33 pm to
There is a Young Sheldon episode on this.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
51904 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

(over a muc larger sample than one game)


Every football game is like a snowflake… no two are the same. That’s why we love it

you play games differently if you’re winning, tied, or trailing
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