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Week 1 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 9/2/18 at 11:31 pm
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/2/18 at 11:31 pm
Locked so far:

Cinci +3 at Indy. Don’t get this line at all considering this line implies both teams are even. Luck needs games to ease back into form.

Baltimore -6 vs Bills. Fading the Nathan Peterman Pain Train against a salty Ravens team who’s playoff spot was stolen by the Bills last year.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12061 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:24 am to
Rams
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 6:54 am to
The Rams Raiders game is interesting bc I’m not sure what kind of line moves we’ll see.

I was planning on fading the Rams most of the season due to the roster hype, but Gruden has a hype of his own, plus the immeniment Raiders move to Vegas will attract new bettors.
Posted by saintsfan1977
West Monroe, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
7703 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Rams


I would take the Raiders. Neither Goff or Gurley played in the preseason which means rust. Goff is missing an offensive lineman.

Kalil mack might have been trouble but the 3 was set knowing he would hold out. I think Gruden will do enough to make his first game a great one.
Posted by Tunica
Member since May 2018
1789 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:07 pm to
Am I missing something with the Titans pk at Miami? I think they roll. Also like the Chargers -3 vs. the Chiefs
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 3:28 pm to
I think the Titans have a few injury concerns - probably will wait and see if Conklin and Matthews are playing.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16864 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 4:00 pm to
TB+9.5
Nyg +3
Posted by dj30
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2006
28724 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 4:10 pm to
Baltimore -6
Cleveland +5.5

Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 5:03 pm to
On Cleveland too - should be a FG game.

Line already steaming down to 5.
Posted by saintsfan1977
West Monroe, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
7703 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 1:47 am to
quote:

Am I missing something with the Titans pk at Miami?

Ryan Tannehill is 11-4 as a home dog. Mariotta is 2-5 as a road fav. I would lean towards Miami winning this game. Miami didn't have a bye week last year due to the hurricane eliminated week 1 matchup. Alot of bad luck last year in Miami.
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5055 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 4:12 am to
Jags -3
Falcons/Eagles over 45.0

I don’t see how one of the Os doesn’t score 30+

I’m sure the Jags looked better than they were last year and the Giants worse than they were, but even so -3 seems like a steal
Posted by saintsfan1977
West Monroe, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
7703 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 6:15 am to
With the Jags it's all about Bortles. He is like 7-25 on the road. He was 4-4 last year and of the 4 games they won, Pittsburgh was the only good team. They played Houston with Savage, Luck less Colts, and the Browns. Not impressive at all. I think it's a coin flip myself.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:44 am to
I was reading where some site ranked Bortles as the 32nd best starting QB in the league.

I guess he's 31st now that Buffalo is starting Peterman?
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12357 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:18 am to
Really like:
Ravens -7 vs Bills
Jags -3 @ Giants
Steelers -4 @ Browns (lol)

Kind of like:
Bengals +3 at Colts
Texans +6 at Pats
Broncos -2.5 vs Seahawks

No idea:
Saints -9.5 vs. Bucs
Cards pk vs. Redskins
Rams -4.5 @ Raiders


Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40091 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:22 am to
Holy shite the Saints are 9.5 point favorites?


#underdogsnomore
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:25 am to
2nd Lock:

49ers +6.5 @ Minnesota

I get the better QB on the road, plus Minnesota has major OL issues. This spread should be 3 or 3.5 at most IMO.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82026 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:27 am to
quote:

This spread should be 3 or 3.5 at most IMO.


That's what it would be on a neutral field.
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12357 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:28 am to
I don't understand that line. And Garoppolo is undefeated as a starter
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12357 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:34 am to
Also I'm expecting that Steelers/Browns line to move once Bell is officially playing.
Posted by boom roasted
Member since Sep 2010
28039 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:35 am to
Now the real football starts. Can't wait. And just got hooked up with NFL Sunday Ticket.
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