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re: Updated CFP National Championship Winner Odds

Posted on 9/28/26 at 5:04 pm to
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
40403 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

and are forced to pass more


This is an assumption. I think you’re underselling that backfield and offensive line. Ole Miss has a first round projection interior defensive linemen and Suntarine Perkins is one of the best off ball linebackers in the country. Baugh is a dude

I don’t think anyone on their schedule has enough juice to completely eliminate their run game to the point they’re forced to give up on it unless Baugh is out. That makes their passing game manageable, and a dude like Vernell Brown can score from anywhere. I get it, it’s weird considering the wilderness they’ve been wandering in, but that sort of run game tends to travel
This post was edited on 9/28/26 at 5:08 pm
Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
20459 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

Bama is a great bet IMO


Their next 4 games are tough. If they lose 1, then their odds will drop below +2300.

But sure, not a bad bet if you think they are going undefeated
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37972 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

This is an assumption. I think you’re underselling that backfield and offensive line. Ole Miss has a first round projection interior defensive linemen and Suntarine Perkins is one of the best off ball linebackers in the country. Baugh is a dude

I don’t think anyone on their schedule has enough juice to completely eliminate their run game to the point they’re forced to give up on it unless Baugh is out. That makes their passing game manageable, and a dude like Vernell Brown can score from anywhere. I get it, it’s weird considering the wilderness they’ve been wandering in, but that sort of run game tends to travel


Baugh is awesome but it’s going to be tough to ride him for 20 carries a game for 15 or 16 games. It’s college football, not the nfl, so maybe, but that’s a lot of carries.

They have South Carolina, Texas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Kentucky all in a row. That’s 5 real defenses in a row.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
92834 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 5:44 pm to
He has 55 or so carries the last two games alone

Clark coming on might help with that, but I could also see UF going all out to get some Heisman hype and marketing to help kickstart this new coaching staff’s time in Gainesville.


I’m not sold UF’s defense is nearly good enough to deal with a game where the opposing defense is stout against the run.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
34258 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 6:17 pm to
Notre Dame literally has to win one game this season and they'll be in the semi-finals. Probably the safest bet. Miami is the same, they play nobody and have a locked spot in the quarterfinals.

It's not about who will win the championship, its who has the easiest path. Then you can hedge once they make the championship game.

quote:

Bama good odds

Most of the SEC odds will shakeup by the end of the month into November. If you want to get better odds, wait until one of UGA, Bama, Texas falls and you'll get a better number.
This post was edited on 9/28/26 at 6:23 pm
Posted by Boodis Man
Member since Sep 2020
8576 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

think that Miami is making their offense far too dependent on Toney. Don’t know how they would handle him going down.



Could say the same thing for ohio st and smiff
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
5995 posts
Posted on 9/28/26 at 7:00 pm to
Indiana is like 100% sure to make the playoffs this year and close to 0% to actually win it IMO.
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