re: The Official 2012 Wimbledon Daily Thread

Researching pick for tomorrow. Any ideas?

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Researching pick for tomorrow. Any ideas?

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Off a first glance:

Gilles Simon-150 vs Malisse: looks like absolute free money. But I don't like betting against Malisse. Y'all seen that guy play? I mean there are plenty of examples of pro tennis players that have more game than their ranking gives them credit for (Baghdatis, Nalbandian), but Mallise being ranked 75 just blows my mind. The guy is a shotmaker. And Simon is just a steady guy that moves well. Mallise may win this match. I ain't gonna frick with it.

Mardy Fish-280 vs. James Ward: if I were sure Fish were healthy and fit for a fourth set, should it go there, I would take Fish. But then again, if I were sure of all that, then Vegas probably would be as well, and this line would be way more than -280.

You know what, scratch everything I just wrote. James Ward is fricking terrible at tennis. Fish will beat him him 6-3, 6-4, 6-4. Take Fish. It's a goddamn bargain.

Dimitrov-190 vs. Baghdatis: I love Baghdatis. I've seen the guy play in person three times and you wouldn't even believe how good the guy is until you see it. He has no weaknesses. He can hit ALL the shots. It's like: "why isn't this guy top 5"? The answer is that he's just a bit lazy, and isn't nearly as fit as he needs to be. I just get the feeling that he has no idea how good he is at tennis. Anyway, I like bags, but he is having an atrocious year. I see Dimitrov taking him out in 4.

Goffin-170 vs. Jesse Levine: Levine was enrolled at -- and played tennis for -- the University of Florida Gators for a single semester. So Jesse Levine can go frick himself. I hope he had fun hanging out with a bunch of douchebag New Jersey kids with too much gel in their hair and not enough knowledge of SEC football history. I further hope he enjoyed hitting on girls with fat arms for an entire semester. Also, Jesse Levine isn't all that good at tennis. He won a couple challengers. Whoop dee fricking doo. This Goffin kid -- who I still haven't seen play -- is supposed to be legit. I'd go with him.

Cilic-450 vs. Kubot: I like Cilic. Not only is he simply better at tennis, he is 7 years younger.

Anybody like any upset plays? I think there might be a smidgeon of value in:

Karlovic+800 vs. Andy Murray

or maybe

Rosol+3000 vs. Rafa

I don't think either will hit, but I do think that the lines on the favorite side might be a touch exorbitant, which of course means there is a bit of value on the doggy dogg side.

Also

Andy Roddick-1800 vs. Bjorn Phau: Phau is no world beater, but Andy Roddick shouldn't be 18-1 against my grandmother. Never mind my grandmother is dead. Roddick shouldn't be 18-1 against your mother or your naughty little sister. And Roddick probably shouldn't even be 18-1 against my 4 year old niece. In fact, I think my erect penis could figure out a way to beat Roddick once if it were matched up against him 18 times.

Ferrer ain't losing.
Tsonga ain't losing because that would bring happiness into my life, and this is no time for that.

Is Delpo healthy? If so, he ain't losing. At least, I hope not. I like delpo.

Baker is realer than real deal Holyfield. It didn't take him any longer to win that set than it takes me to....

Well, he won it pretty quickly.

Delpo was cruising along, taking the first two sets pretty easily, now all of a sudden he's down 0-5 in the third. Strange.

Does ESPN think it has to follow Title 9?

Nadal takes the first set tiebreak 11-9.

He will cruise now.

How drunk did Nadal get last night watching Spain v Portugal. I'm guess a lot.

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And Nadal gets broken to open the second set

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reaaaallly drunk