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re: TCU - 31 vs. LA Tech - 24 | 4th Q

Posted on 12/21/11 at 9:53 am to
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8665 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 9:53 am to
quote:

I'm not going to say that Tech will blow out TCU, but to discount Tech based upon the WAC over MWC is not accurate. Look at TCU's schedule and who they played based upon ranking..


No offense, but have you looked at the LA Tech schedule lately? They really played an overrated Houston team and Miss. State. Nobody else they played was worth hardly anything. While it would be nice to see Tech play well for some of their alumni I know, it's hard to envision them winning this game.
Posted by Friscodog
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2009
4794 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 10:37 am to
That was the point I was making about TCU's schedule this year. Most of their opposition was ranked below Tech. If TCU wins tonight it will be the second highest ranked team they won against this year.
Posted by Bleeding purple
Athens, Texas
Member since Sep 2007
25326 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 10:54 am to
I'm not dismissing Tech based on conference. For that matter I am not dismissing Tech at all. My post that you quoted had nothing to do with dismissing Tech.

That being said you only beat 3 teams with a winning record this season. And you only did so by a combined 17 points over those three games.

Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
81737 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 10:56 am to
Is there any reason to think La Tech can keep this game within 10 points?
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8847 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:09 am to
TCU's defense has been giving up a few rushing yards of late (100+ in each of the last 5 games) and Tech can run the ball pretty well, even without Creer.

Tech's starting QB is from from Newberry Park, CA which is about a 3 hour drive to San Diego.

That's about all I got.
Posted by Bleeding purple
Athens, Texas
Member since Sep 2007
25326 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:14 am to
If they have tall receivers that can pressure the flats against our less than great corners and open up some big passing plays early on, it will force the D to back off of the line and open an interior running game.

TCU is one of the worst teams in the nation as far as giving up big plays. For the most part though, offenses, even high powered ones like Bosise, have difficutly consistently moving the ball on the frogs. Third down conversions will be key.


As far as Tech keeping the Frogs out of the endzone they will need to be able to defend laterally with speed and maintain deep coverage as Pachall is ceratinly better than average at ball placement. The fact that both he and the second string QB are a threat to run the ball is an added dimension that many teams have struggeld with.

Posted by T1
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2006
3060 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Is there any reason to think La Tech can keep this game within 10 points?


Yes.

The Vegas line is around 10 pts.
Sagarin Predicter is 10 pts.

BYU is ranked #43 by Sagarin
Tech is ranked #42 by Sagarin

TCU beat BYU 38-28 at home (Cowboys Stadium).

10 points sounds about right if they both bring their "A game."
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
81737 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:47 am to
Looks like a no-bet for me then
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140522 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:49 am to
I took TCU on ML with CBB game. If it goes to +10 or 11 I'll throw La Tech
Posted by T1
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2006
3060 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:55 am to
quote:

Looks like a no-bet for me then


I think that's wise. Tech is 10-1 vs the Sagarin Predictor this year. If TCU is uninspired, I think Tech wins this one outright.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
81737 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 11:59 am to
quote:

I took TCU on ML with CBB game
What is the point of betting a -300 ML? You are risking too much to win very little
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
70666 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:09 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/13/23 at 10:47 am
Posted by Bleeding purple
Athens, Texas
Member since Sep 2007
25326 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:16 pm to
I know you are only an 18 yr old kid but, weren't you one of the guys that was so certain TCU would get killed by Wisky and then again Boise this season?
Posted by NYTETYME
Ruston
Member since Sep 2008
288 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:21 pm to
Even though our D has 20+ takeaways on the year, we're still ranked in the bottom third in pass defense. If our DLine can't get to Pachall we will get beat deep as well.
This post was edited on 12/21/11 at 12:22 pm
Posted by T1
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2006
3060 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

we will get beat deep as well.


We play mostly Cover 2 right? I am more concerned with the crossing patterns over the middle. I've seen TCU throw a lot of those!
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
70666 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:31 pm to
Uhh no
Posted by Bleeding purple
Athens, Texas
Member since Sep 2007
25326 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:34 pm to
k, my mistake. I wasnt going to go searching the history
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
70666 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:39 pm to
Now that you've told us about the secondary issues I'm excited to see what Patton is gonna do. Hopefully Lee will be able to provide a balanced attack with a solid run game.
Posted by Bleeding purple
Athens, Texas
Member since Sep 2007
25326 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:52 pm to
Don't get too excited. The Heisman trophy winning QB was only able to win by 2 points in OT at their house.
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
70666 posts
Posted on 12/21/11 at 12:53 pm to
Gonna be a close game no doubt. I just love being a homer in case you havent noticed.
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