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re: Sports Betting AI Algorithm Prediction

Posted on 11/15/25 at 10:16 am to
Posted by LSUTIGERS74
Houston
Member since Oct 2007
278 posts
Posted on 11/15/25 at 10:16 am to
quote:

LSU999

The Tier C Fade on Troy at my lunch as well, these are just bonus bets to try so I only play 1U if I play at all, last week I should have played because they went 5-1 (63.4% WR on 2025)

For reference last week I didn't play any of the Tier C Fades, I only played Tier A (went 4-2, betting 2U as these are higher prob.) and Elite (went 2-2, betting 1U). I would post my results but can't figure out how to post a image without twitter/X link (tried google drive url but that didn't work).

What's interesting is the Troy vs OD game flipped to a Tier A at last minute with closing line movement and covered with OD pick (I wish I had seen it in time as I had already taken the Troy fade). This is one of the nuances of the system with betting earlier with lines that are still moving.
Posted by LSURoss
Dragon Believer
Member since Dec 2007
16485 posts
Posted on 11/15/25 at 10:48 am to
I figured not but I like low risk high reward plays.
Posted by LSUTIGERS74
Houston
Member since Oct 2007
278 posts
Posted on 11/15/25 at 11:12 am to
I don't disagree, the action plays are fun! If I was parlay today, I would take a top two probabiilty tier A for home team picks (highest historical win rate) and top one or two tier B picks (they are always home favorites as that is part of filter).
Posted by LSUTIGERS74
Houston
Member since Oct 2007
278 posts
Posted on 11/15/25 at 12:05 pm to
actually just ran a parlay analysis from backtest using 3 game strategy and elite was a better historical win rate with 38% using just elite. The probability games from 57-59% performed better than large prob games.
Posted by ks_nola
Bozeman
Member since Sep 2015
736 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 5:45 pm to
Is win rate based on moneyline or actual spread? If spread and this is hitting 70% you’d be rich or already limited to making $10 bets

What are the results this week for all 27 picks shown on the site. Can you add a results column with either final score or simple W or L
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
11222 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 8:46 am to
Anyone who bet all A tier picks, how’d it pan out?
Posted by Zendog
Santa Barbara
Member since Feb 2019
6376 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 10:40 am to
I think it was 2-4, something like that
Posted by Zendog
Santa Barbara
Member since Feb 2019
6376 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 10:43 am to
4-3
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
11222 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 12:46 pm to
Posted by LSUTIGERS74
Houston
Member since Oct 2007
278 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 3:31 pm to
Depending on the update time it went 5-4 or 5-3 on Tier A, it threw out the San Jose State game at last minute on spread change (and they got smoked) I was 5-4 because I had already taken pick. Elite went 3-2 and tier c fades only 3-3
Posted by non nobis solum
Member since Aug 2024
25 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 7:34 pm to
Need one more trial week to see if it’s worth paying.
Posted by bleedpurplengold
Member since Feb 2007
1405 posts
Posted on 11/18/25 at 12:00 pm to
I agree with this
Posted by LSUTIGERS74
Houston
Member since Oct 2007
278 posts
Posted on 11/18/25 at 3:17 pm to
quote:


I agree with this


It is still free trial for now, haven't decided when i will pull it back but really appreciate everyone that has taken a look at it, shame I got anchored on this thread and you have to go to page 4 to find it. this week I will lock in the tiers on Saturday morning around 10am to prevent it throwing any games out last minute due to updating spreads from Vegas last minute. This changed a few picks way to late to readjust. Also my twitter feed has the free CBB picks until I get the algo on the site.It is even more picky on the games, maybe 1 a day if not at all.
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