- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Sports Betting AI Algorithm Prediction
Posted on 11/15/25 at 10:16 am to LSU999
Posted on 11/15/25 at 10:16 am to LSU999
quote:
LSU999
The Tier C Fade on Troy at my lunch as well, these are just bonus bets to try so I only play 1U if I play at all, last week I should have played because they went 5-1 (63.4% WR on 2025)
For reference last week I didn't play any of the Tier C Fades, I only played Tier A (went 4-2, betting 2U as these are higher prob.) and Elite (went 2-2, betting 1U). I would post my results but can't figure out how to post a image without twitter/X link (tried google drive url but that didn't work).
What's interesting is the Troy vs OD game flipped to a Tier A at last minute with closing line movement and covered with OD pick (I wish I had seen it in time as I had already taken the Troy fade). This is one of the nuances of the system with betting earlier with lines that are still moving.
0
Posted on 11/15/25 at 10:48 am to LSUTIGERS74
I figured not but I like low risk high reward plays. 
Posted on 11/15/25 at 11:12 am to LSURoss
I don't disagree, the action plays are fun! If I was parlay today, I would take a top two probabiilty tier A for home team picks (highest historical win rate) and top one or two tier B picks (they are always home favorites as that is part of filter).
Posted on 11/15/25 at 12:05 pm to LSUTIGERS74
actually just ran a parlay analysis from backtest using 3 game strategy and elite was a better historical win rate with 38% using just elite. The probability games from 57-59% performed better than large prob games.
Posted on 11/16/25 at 5:45 pm to LSUTIGERS74
Is win rate based on moneyline or actual spread? If spread and this is hitting 70% you’d be rich or already limited to making $10 bets
What are the results this week for all 27 picks shown on the site. Can you add a results column with either final score or simple W or L
What are the results this week for all 27 picks shown on the site. Can you add a results column with either final score or simple W or L
Page 4 of 4
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News