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Sports betting 3/4
Posted on 3/4/23 at 6:44 am
Posted on 3/4/23 at 6:44 am
College baseball
Maryland +170
Miss st -110
Lsu/florida ml parlay
Cal/east carolina ml parlay
San diego +120
Miami/florida u13.5
Texas st/grand canyon u13
Arizona st +125
Cal st full +3.5 and sprinkle moneyline
East car -1.5
Minnesota +5.5
College hoops
Seton hall/providence u139.5
Csb/uc irvine u134.5
Mid tenn/utep u134.5
Maryland +170
Miss st -110
Lsu/florida ml parlay
Cal/east carolina ml parlay
San diego +120
Miami/florida u13.5
Texas st/grand canyon u13
Arizona st +125
Cal st full +3.5 and sprinkle moneyline
East car -1.5
Minnesota +5.5
College hoops
Seton hall/providence u139.5
Csb/uc irvine u134.5
Mid tenn/utep u134.5
This post was edited on 3/4/23 at 12:27 pm
5
Posted on 3/4/23 at 8:31 am to josh336
College Basketball
UNC basketball ML (-160)
Kansas State +4.5
College Baseball
Arkansas, Florida, LSU Parlay (+142)
UNC basketball ML (-160)
Kansas State +4.5
College Baseball
Arkansas, Florida, LSU Parlay (+142)
This post was edited on 3/4/23 at 8:32 am
Posted on 3/4/23 at 8:50 am to josh336
College Baseball
San Diego +120
UC Irvine -130
Charlotte +130
Michigan +145
Maryland +170
Iowa +100
Cal/Texas A&M ML Parlay
San Diego +120
UC Irvine -130
Charlotte +130
Michigan +145
Maryland +170
Iowa +100
Cal/Texas A&M ML Parlay
This post was edited on 3/4/23 at 9:20 am
Posted on 3/4/23 at 10:31 am to josh336
Gonna share this basic math equation and y'all are welcome to use if you like or not.
Started doing this couple years ago, and got too lazy to keep doing it.
Haven't been doing it again at all till High C inspired me the other day.
It's honestly kinda crazy how close the numbers come out to the Vegas lines often times, but it is a bit of a slow process.
Go to team rankings, find OE, DE, Total Rebounds, Turnovers Per Game and Possessions. look at home/away year average and last 3 and find a balanced number for each that makes sense. Use the difference in TOs and Rebounds to adjust number of possessions can also adjust if you feel a pace style wins out.
Then Add team A's OE plus Team Bs DE and divide by 2. Multiply that by number of adjusted possessions and you get points expected for game. Repeat for team 2.
It's cool math and a good way to check yourself for basketball if you wanna do the work on it.
The games I looked into early and did it for today were
Baylor/Iowa st
WVU/Kstate
BC/ GT
Baylor game, I get Baylor 76 Iowa St 64.
WVU game I get WVU 75 KState 72
BC game I get a 70 to 70 tie in expected points.
Curious to see how they shake.
obviously it can't account for spot, etc, but it can be a way to have a solid idea of how teams matchup numbers wise.
Started doing this couple years ago, and got too lazy to keep doing it.
Haven't been doing it again at all till High C inspired me the other day.
It's honestly kinda crazy how close the numbers come out to the Vegas lines often times, but it is a bit of a slow process.
Go to team rankings, find OE, DE, Total Rebounds, Turnovers Per Game and Possessions. look at home/away year average and last 3 and find a balanced number for each that makes sense. Use the difference in TOs and Rebounds to adjust number of possessions can also adjust if you feel a pace style wins out.
Then Add team A's OE plus Team Bs DE and divide by 2. Multiply that by number of adjusted possessions and you get points expected for game. Repeat for team 2.
It's cool math and a good way to check yourself for basketball if you wanna do the work on it.
The games I looked into early and did it for today were
Baylor/Iowa st
WVU/Kstate
BC/ GT
Baylor game, I get Baylor 76 Iowa St 64.
WVU game I get WVU 75 KState 72
BC game I get a 70 to 70 tie in expected points.
Curious to see how they shake.
obviously it can't account for spot, etc, but it can be a way to have a solid idea of how teams matchup numbers wise.
Posted on 3/4/23 at 10:34 am to adamau
Texas A&M ML
Michigan St. 1H -0.5
North Carolina ML
Villanova +2.5
Arizona +4.5
+1578
Michigan St. 1H -0.5
North Carolina ML
Villanova +2.5
Arizona +4.5
+1578
This post was edited on 3/4/23 at 10:35 am
Posted on 3/4/23 at 10:38 am to saintlunatic
also like
W.Virginia ML
Arkansas -4.5
Notre Dame +10.5
NBA
Toronto/Washington O 222.5
Miami ML
SAS ML
Philadelphia/Milwaukee U 231.5
Sacramento -5
W.Virginia ML
Arkansas -4.5
Notre Dame +10.5
NBA
Toronto/Washington O 222.5
Miami ML
SAS ML
Philadelphia/Milwaukee U 231.5
Sacramento -5
Posted on 3/4/23 at 10:51 am to saintlunatic
College baseball (all ML)
+649
Mississippi St.
East Carolina
Cal
Texas Tech
+649
Mississippi St.
East Carolina
Cal
Texas Tech
Posted on 3/4/23 at 2:01 pm to High C
Posted on 3/4/23 at 2:03 pm to LSUguy2023
frick yeah man, nice
Posted on 3/4/23 at 2:22 pm to LSUguy2023
Sweeeet!!
Posted on 3/4/23 at 5:12 pm to Ed Osteen
+463
James Wiseman U13.5 points
Tobias Harris O 4.5 rebounds
Alperen Sengun O4.5 assists
James Wiseman U13.5 points
Tobias Harris O 4.5 rebounds
Alperen Sengun O4.5 assists
Posted on 3/4/23 at 7:43 pm to High C
Holy shite! Im going to lose every baseball bet, thats impressive
Posted on 3/4/23 at 9:23 pm to lsunatchamp
Not great. Went 3/7. All my dawg bets failed to deliver. Lost a little but not much. Lesson learned, never bet on southern team playing in cold weather up north. San Diego looked downright uncomfortable today
That being said
ML Parlay for tomorrow +199
Oregon -155
LSU -750
Louisville -165
That being said
ML Parlay for tomorrow +199
Oregon -155
LSU -750
Louisville -165
This post was edited on 3/4/23 at 9:35 pm
Posted on 3/4/23 at 10:08 pm to josh336
Real talk frick Milwaukee. All I had left was Mil ML to top off a nice day and they get outscored by fricking 18 in the 4th on their home floor
Posted on 3/4/23 at 10:14 pm to josh336
4-10 day, woof
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