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Started By
Message
Sports betting 3/1
Posted on 3/1/23 at 5:32 am
Posted on 3/1/23 at 5:32 am
College baseball
Portland/zona st parlay
Uno +135
Sacramento st +110
Texas st/sam houston o9.5
College hoops
Uconn/depaul u147.5
Xavier/providence u154.5
Portland/zona st parlay
Uno +135
Sacramento st +110
Texas st/sam houston o9.5
College hoops
Uconn/depaul u147.5
Xavier/providence u154.5
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 7:32 am
11
Posted on 3/1/23 at 5:58 am to josh336
TCU over UT
Posted on 3/1/23 at 7:38 am to josh336
+264
Charleston Southern/High Point U154.5
UMass/Duquesne U148.5
+250
Wagner/Sacred Heart O128.5
Tulsa/USF U147.5
+272
Sam Houston/SFA O132.5
SELU/Houston Christian U162.5
Charleston Southern/High Point U154.5
UMass/Duquesne U148.5
+250
Wagner/Sacred Heart O128.5
Tulsa/USF U147.5
+272
Sam Houston/SFA O132.5
SELU/Houston Christian U162.5
Posted on 3/1/23 at 7:58 am to josh336
Mizzou -4.5
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 7:59 am
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:25 am to josh336
Northwestern +3.5 or ML?
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:26 am to Magnus
I would go spread to be safe. It’s always the smart move. Real “sharps” don’t bet dog MLs only spreads.
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 8:28 am
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:31 am to Magnus
Oh it would be northwestern -3.5.
In that case either one.
ML is less risky but it will eat more juice
In that case either one.
ML is less risky but it will eat more juice
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:31 am to justaniceguy
my bad, it's actually northwestern -3.5. Playing Penn St. But thanks for that tidbit on the sharps
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:37 am to Magnus
Might sound weird, but after somebody told me that I’m almost afraid to take dog ML
(In basketball) just always feel like I’m losing points on the table.
(In basketball) just always feel like I’m losing points on the table.
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:38 am to justaniceguy
i'll take them if it's pretty close to a pick e'm,
+100/125. Usually won't go any higher than that unless i'm feeling froggy. Hit the Coyotes one time when it was +325.
+100/125. Usually won't go any higher than that unless i'm feeling froggy. Hit the Coyotes one time when it was +325.
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:40 am to Magnus
Personally in the case of northwestern or tcu I might take ML today. But if they were +2 I would probably take the points to be safe
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:44 am to justaniceguy
19-10 on my 29 game sheet that I posted yesterday. My three parlays above are based on the same model. Certainly not encouraging anyone to tail.
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:45 am to justaniceguy
I wanna play LSU +4.5, just don’t know if I can hold my nose long enough
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:55 am to Magnus
The best longterm path to follow when betting dpgs, from what ive heard and read, is to take the spread, and throw about 5-10% of your spread bet on the moneyline, assuming there is a possibility they can win. I wouldnt do it with a team who is a dog by 20 points or anything
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:06 am to josh336
Cittadella AS ML over Brescia in Italian Serie B. +125
Cittadella at home, have won 3 of their last 4. Brescia has lost 9 of their last 10, and has scored 2 goals in those 10 games.
Not a bad bet as a single if you don't like parlay's.
Frosinone draw no bet at SPAL -240
Frosinone 1st place in Serie B, SPAL 19th and has the least amount of wins in the league. This one's -105 for Frosinone ML, also not a bad single bet. I only did the draw no bet b/c it's on the road.
Bari Draw no bet over Venezia -150
3rd place team at home against the 16th place team. Bari beat them earlier in the season at their place 2-1.
Also not a bad ML single bet at +140.
3 leg parlay at +431
Rapid Bucharest Draw no bet at Botosani (Rapid haven't lost to them in last 5 matches, won 3)
Universitatea Craiova ML over Arges (Arges sucks)
2 leg parlay at +126
Cittadella at home, have won 3 of their last 4. Brescia has lost 9 of their last 10, and has scored 2 goals in those 10 games.
Not a bad bet as a single if you don't like parlay's.
Frosinone draw no bet at SPAL -240
Frosinone 1st place in Serie B, SPAL 19th and has the least amount of wins in the league. This one's -105 for Frosinone ML, also not a bad single bet. I only did the draw no bet b/c it's on the road.
Bari Draw no bet over Venezia -150
3rd place team at home against the 16th place team. Bari beat them earlier in the season at their place 2-1.
Also not a bad ML single bet at +140.
3 leg parlay at +431
Rapid Bucharest Draw no bet at Botosani (Rapid haven't lost to them in last 5 matches, won 3)
Universitatea Craiova ML over Arges (Arges sucks)
2 leg parlay at +126
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:07 am to josh336
What a difference a day makes. So nice to see a card where every thought isn't meh. Y'all remind me next time that I say a card looks like doo doo to just take the day off instead attempting to hunt for gems in a pile of shite. lol
Number of things I like and will play today, I'm sure I'll miss a few, but being able to lay it down confidently is a much, much better feeling.
Love:
Maryland -2 @ Ohio State....I don't believe that a win over an Illinois team that is complete dog water right now means the lukyeyes have it together, and yes Maryland has been crappy on the road, but who hasn't this year. Ohio St is a mess, Maryland is a good team, I shall fade Ohio St.
Pitt -4 @ ND...Again ranked on the road, I know, I know. Pitt is a very underrated team by the public and that has led to some quality lines for the Panthers, they should be -6+ here, especially with an ACC title in their grasp. No reason to overlook a crappy ND squad, who has played a bit better lately.
NWestern -3.5 @ home over State Peen ($1 to Sandusky). Another public underrated team catching good lines all year. Love the Cats in this spot against a Penn State team that stinks on the road.
Like:
UK -10 Robbins is soft and Big O will eat his lunch and have him in foul trouble quickly tonight. Cats guards are also better when playing well and they sure are RN. Cats big. Vandy could shoot lights out from 3, why it's like not love.
Bama -10 Auburn ain't built for this. They just aren't. It will hurt to watch, but the Tigers finna get worked.
I guess a magic fairy could appear and AU shoot over 20% from three and keep it reasonable, why like not love.
TCU -2 @ home vs Tsip...Frogs gotta have it, play well at home, ticket to Take split looks strong for the froggys as well.
PS...if you wanna tack it on to a ML parlay or even lay the -7 or buy it down, Presbyterian College, losers of 18 straight are on the road at the Campbell Camels...They gonna take the L, by how much is the only question.
Good luck boyz, y'all go kill it today
Number of things I like and will play today, I'm sure I'll miss a few, but being able to lay it down confidently is a much, much better feeling.
Love:
Maryland -2 @ Ohio State....I don't believe that a win over an Illinois team that is complete dog water right now means the lukyeyes have it together, and yes Maryland has been crappy on the road, but who hasn't this year. Ohio St is a mess, Maryland is a good team, I shall fade Ohio St.
Pitt -4 @ ND...Again ranked on the road, I know, I know. Pitt is a very underrated team by the public and that has led to some quality lines for the Panthers, they should be -6+ here, especially with an ACC title in their grasp. No reason to overlook a crappy ND squad, who has played a bit better lately.
NWestern -3.5 @ home over State Peen ($1 to Sandusky). Another public underrated team catching good lines all year. Love the Cats in this spot against a Penn State team that stinks on the road.
Like:
UK -10 Robbins is soft and Big O will eat his lunch and have him in foul trouble quickly tonight. Cats guards are also better when playing well and they sure are RN. Cats big. Vandy could shoot lights out from 3, why it's like not love.
Bama -10 Auburn ain't built for this. They just aren't. It will hurt to watch, but the Tigers finna get worked.
I guess a magic fairy could appear and AU shoot over 20% from three and keep it reasonable, why like not love.
TCU -2 @ home vs Tsip...Frogs gotta have it, play well at home, ticket to Take split looks strong for the froggys as well.
PS...if you wanna tack it on to a ML parlay or even lay the -7 or buy it down, Presbyterian College, losers of 18 straight are on the road at the Campbell Camels...They gonna take the L, by how much is the only question.
Good luck boyz, y'all go kill it today
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 9:31 am
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:07 am to High C
quote:
19-10 on my 29 game sheet that I posted yesterday.
NICE!
interested to see what it does going forward.
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:14 am to High C
Great stuff...I really love doing the version I do manually sometimes, it just takes forever to dig through team rankings to find the OE, DE, Poss, Reb's Turnovers that I use to try to figure out a balance of possessions then calculate against OE/DE. It really is enjoyable, I did like 6 or 7 games yesterday and then didn't play any but texas st, and they fell apart late and pushed.
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:25 am to DownSouthCrawfish
quote:
Mizzou
man it is hard not to be all over this
+rhode island
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:31 am to DownSouthCrawfish
quote:Thinking of dropping a bag on this one
Mizzou -4.5
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