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re: OFFICIAL Week 8 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/16/14 at 12:45 am to
Posted by EastBankTiger
A little west of Hoover Dam
Member since Dec 2003
21617 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 12:45 am to
Riding the Hokie train tomorrow night.
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45838 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 12:48 am to
That Hokie train is fricked up, but best of luck.
Posted by Sandkhan
Hells and Wilderness, Northeast MS
Member since Jun 2009
7182 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 1:48 am to
I assure you it is not more fricked up than Pitt. I'm not saying Pitt won't squeek out some cripple fight victory, just that I think they are more flawed than V Tech overall.
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45838 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:24 am to
Cripple fight is an excellent way to describe this game.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 7:30 am to
Really like the Under in the Utah - Oregon State game tonight, will be playing that and the Pitt - VA Tech as well, not for a flat amount, lol.

In seriousness you have to have consistency in your betting patterns, you are going to have streaks both cold and hot, it's the consistent bet patterns that keep you out of trouble. I rarely ever double my average bet.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 7:32 am to
CFB STRAIGHT BET
[402] LSU -9½-110

220 / 200

Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45838 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 7:43 am to
Damn. And I swore I was done with LSU
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:04 am to
Good week to be on the Tigers... The Auburn game left a bad taste in people's mouths with 76% taking the points. The Florida game was sloppy. Now well over 70% taking UK and the points. Got a feeling LSU turns out a solid ground and pound victory to the tune of 34-17 or so...

Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36603 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:15 am to
I want to see if I can get LSU to fall through the 7.5-9.5 point no man's land, so I can tease it. I like us this weekend also. Rarely bet on LSU, but we fell too far in perception after MSU + AU games.

If I can start a 5 point tease from 7.5 to 2.5 and I'm starting a 2U 2 team open tease.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:16 am to
Man, i dont get how yall bet on LSU games; such a debacle.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86684 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:24 am to
This week I can of see it, Kentucky will hang in there for a while but I think LSU tires their DL, pulls out late and wins by DD. But yeah last week, I just don't see how people were betting on LSU or Florida
This post was edited on 10/16/14 at 8:25 am
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:26 am to
True, the numbers do support an LSU play. Id still be holding my breath extra hard though
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:33 am to
YTD: 14-10-3; +4*

Gotta roll with Va Tech here after a bye week with the more talented team and more experienced coach. Dont see any other way to roll bros. Hoping to continue my undefeated Thurs steak (5-0)


1* Virgina Tech pick
2* Washington +21
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:33 am to
Already locked in Temple +7 but what is up with the 7.5 spread now? I know the sharps are on Houston to get the # like that but why? Both defenses are pretty good, and Temple has a nice QB in PJ.

Houston's QB on the other hand is a WR converted QB, and all he does is stare down a primary receiver then run if he's not open. He's fast, but he sucks. Strange, strange line.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36603 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:34 am to
Hey, man. LSU is great. Maybe I'll just close out this tease if LSU gets to 7.5 lulz

Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4297 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:35 am to
Never really know what your gonna get with Houston. May get a good Houston or a terrible Houston. Not to mention, i was reading a breakdown on Temple and their box scores are very misleading. It was sonething like they only outgained opponents by 15 yards but the scoreboard showed it as a blowout, making the perception on Temple high
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:44 am to
quote:

The Houston defense, which is allowing 322.7 yards and 19.2 points, lost junior cornerback Lee Hightower (leg) and senior linebacker Derrick Mathews (knee) to season-ending injuries in last week's win at Memphis



Biggest play ATS this year: Temple +7.5



This post was edited on 10/16/14 at 9:49 am
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8735 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:44 am to
Their turnover margin is probably unsustainable, and they don't run the ball particularly well.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8735 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 8:58 am to
Added MSU/Indiana Under 59 and Va Tech/Pitt Under 45.

Updated card:

NC State +17
OSU +9
Florida +6
MSU/Indiana Under 59
Va Tech/Pitt Under 45
Posted by Broken Ear Glen
Baton Roog
Member since Mar 2010
1320 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Flat betting is the only way to wager.


Could not be any further from the truth.

The only way to bet is to make a line, assess it vs the Vegas line, calculate how much value you're getting on the line and bet accordingly. Flat betting is THE WORST way, in fact, to wager.
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