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re: Official Week 7 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 10/16/14 at 10:54 am to
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 10:54 am to
Brady is 6-0 on ThNF but would've covered 10 points in only 2 of those 6 I believe.
This post was edited on 10/16/14 at 10:57 am
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
39501 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:10 am to
Interesting. I just honestly think the Jets are the biggest joke of a franchise in the NFL and I think they get laughed off the field tonight.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:13 am to
That's certainly in the range of probabilistic outcomes...
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:15 am to
I think people will be surprised at how one-dimensional the Pats look though. It's not a great matchup for them with the injuries they have. Jets do a good job of containing TEs and sticking close to shorter routes, which is why Peyton struggled for long periods against the Jets D last week.

If LaFell can get over the top a few times it could change that.
Posted by Duckman13
Tiger Stadium
Member since Dec 2006
3047 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:28 am to
due to the weather, I don't see a lot of downfield passes
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11802 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:53 am to
The under looks good then
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
39501 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:54 am to
Is it supposed to be raining?
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11802 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 12:27 pm to
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
39501 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 1:08 pm to
Damn that changes a bunch of things.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36307 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 1:27 pm to
Adding: 1U MINNESOTA +6 -110

YTD: 4-3 +0.392U

1U KANSAS CITY +4 -110
1U MINNESOTA +6 -110
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:10 pm to
Jets+10

Like that Minny pick. Waiting to see what the line does
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36307 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:14 pm to
Even if it got there, I seriously doubt it would be at 7 long enough for the casual bettor to capitalize.

Looking to add NYJ tonight if I can get it without buying the 0.5 pt. Those who have gotten +10: is that -110 or are you buying the hook?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:16 pm to
I didnt buy but odds were still -117
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11802 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:25 pm to
I can get it +10 at -110
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7220 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:22 pm to
I took Jets +9.5 and under 44.5
Posted by NOFLyZ0ne28
West Florida
Member since Apr 2014
876 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:27 pm to
Jets +10
Under 45


Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:31 pm to
Nice! Go Jets!
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37327 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:34 pm to
I am staying away tonight. On paper the Pats cover this spread 9/10 times. The ONLY thing that concerns me with this game is the fact that the Pats played on Monday 10-6, Sunday 10-12, then play tonight.

That is three NFL games in 10 days. That fact Combined with the weather and 10 point spread, I am staying away.

Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7220 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:45 pm to
The main reason I like the Jets is b/c the Jets front 7 is very good. In dry conditions, I think the Pats cover all day.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:54 pm to
I agree that the Jets are likely the correct side. The total is low enough to presume this a game where NYJ can keep the Pats below 28 points or so.

Rex Ryan is a good divisional dog as well. The Pats are not good big favorites, either.

Still, I can't invest just yet. This game has an eerily similar feel to GB/Minny a few weeks ago.
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