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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB Betting Thread - dcrews taking us to the promised land
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:15 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:15 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
It's actually 14.5 on SportsBook
damn! thats a big drop in the last hour.
0
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:18 pm to bamafan425
Yeah, I'm not talking betting the ML on a 32 point dog as opposed to the spread for a college game. It's not an absolute that spread is the better bet than the ML; there can be inconsistencies where ML provides more value or vice versa. It's not an exact science that a 7.5 point favorite will always be -XYZ on the ML.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:19 pm to Louie T
Oh. No doubt. Didn't mean to contradict. Just figured if that new guy was following along it'd be helpful information for him. 
Always enjoy your insight.
Always enjoy your insight.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:22 pm to bamafan425
Not a ton of use in novice bettors worrying about things like that though. It would only result in minute differences over time; given how little I and most people on here are betting $-wise, we will never have to be overly concerned about it.
I usually throw 1/3 or so of my bet size on reasonably sized underdogs where I'm betting the spread, especially in the NFL.
This post was edited on 10/10/14 at 2:26 pm
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:54 pm to Louie T
Thanks for all the information. I was really just talking about betting the underdog ML if the spread was +1 to +3 or +4, not anything larger than that.
I'm still deciding on tonight but I think I am going to go with the following:
Washington St. +15.5 @ -110
New Mexico ML @ +148
Fresno St. -9.5 @ -110
I'm still deciding on tonight but I think I am going to go with the following:
Washington St. +15.5 @ -110
New Mexico ML @ +148
Fresno St. -9.5 @ -110
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:58 pm to jac1280
Wish I hit NM +6 at open. I still like it at +3.5 but I don't know if I will play it towards my TD record, which have been my 0.5U or higher plays.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 3:05 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Getting good lines this week
Posted on 10/10/14 at 3:12 pm to rocket31
I have a good number of double-digit, hold-your-nose dogs this week, starting with UNLV +10 tonight.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 3:27 pm to maclauer
Weren't you the poster who used to bet NBA quarters pretty extensively?
Posted on 10/10/14 at 3:31 pm to Louie T
quote:
Weren't you the poster who used to bet NBA quarters pretty extensively?
Yep. Been a little while
Posted on 10/10/14 at 3:40 pm to maclauer
quote:
hold-your-nose dogs this week, starting with UNLV +10 tonight.
Fresno looks like a classic trap tonight.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 3:40 pm to Louie T
Adding: 0.8U NEW MEXICO +3.5 -110
I think it gets to 3 at all books.
YTD pregame: 14-8 +4.39U
YTD in-game: 1-0 +0.6U
1U LSU -2 -110
1U USC -2.5 -110
0.8U NEW MEXICO +3.5 -110
I think it gets to 3 at all books.
YTD pregame: 14-8 +4.39U
YTD in-game: 1-0 +0.6U
1U LSU -2 -110
1U USC -2.5 -110
0.8U NEW MEXICO +3.5 -110
Posted on 10/10/14 at 4:16 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
And how is that?
Because if Stanford covers for it to not go over Wazzou could score a max 17 points. Wazzou could cover 28-24, 31-21.... A myriad of different ways without it going over. It's the same reason you can't parlay large favorites with the over in that same game at most places.
This post was edited on 10/10/14 at 4:24 pm
Posted on 10/10/14 at 4:31 pm to JG77056
Not really understanding the Wazzu love. Stanford has a strong team this year that is undervalued IMO. I'll be laying the points tonight.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 4:33 pm to DallasTiger45
People still remember them covering against Oregon.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 5:00 pm to DallasTiger45
Fail to see how Stanford has a strong team this year..? They've done literally nothing to prove so unless I'm missing something..?
Good but not great team. Mundane offense. One playmaker. Solid D, but certainly not worth the 17 and the market has proven as much
Good but not great team. Mundane offense. One playmaker. Solid D, but certainly not worth the 17 and the market has proven as much
Posted on 10/10/14 at 5:02 pm to JG77056
They've played Oregon...?
Posted on 10/10/14 at 5:13 pm to rocket31
Yeah they lost 38-31 on Sept 20th
Posted on 10/10/14 at 5:16 pm to JG77056
Oh,. You're talking about Wazzu. My bad
Posted on 10/10/14 at 5:19 pm to rocket31
Winner! Hammer over Bowling green/Ohio.. $$$$$$
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