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Posted on 10/10/14 at 9:55 am to jac1280
My plays tonight:
New Mexico +4 I am pretty much fading Bob Toledo and the true freshman QB on the road. Bob Toledo is a moron.
Wazoo +17 Stanford hasn't faced a passing offense yet, and Halliday is tearing it up this year. Shaw is an ultra conservative coach too, so I see this game being close. As long as Wazoo doesn't shoot themselves in the foot too many times they will be competitive.
New Mexico +4 I am pretty much fading Bob Toledo and the true freshman QB on the road. Bob Toledo is a moron.
Wazoo +17 Stanford hasn't faced a passing offense yet, and Halliday is tearing it up this year. Shaw is an ultra conservative coach too, so I see this game being close. As long as Wazoo doesn't shoot themselves in the foot too many times they will be competitive.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 10:31 am to Zipfer2022
I think I'm gonna go with the New Mexico ML at +160 vs. New Mexico +4 at -110. I'm saving $70 at risk $$$ and losing only 3 points.
I'm new to this betting thing though, so is my logic decent? Lol
I'm new to this betting thing though, so is my logic decent? Lol
Posted on 10/10/14 at 10:32 am to jac1280
3 points is huge in the betting world bro 
Posted on 10/10/14 at 10:34 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
Wazoo +17 Stanford hasn't faced a passing offense yet, and Halliday is tearing it up this year. Shaw is an ultra conservative coach too, so I see this game being close. As long as Wazoo doesn't shoot themselves in the foot too many times they will be competitive.
I wanted to take Wazzu, but Stanford is a poor matchup for their finesse offense.
Stanford beat them 55-17 last year in Seattle... they should be pissed off, too. Personally, I suppose I would take the Cougs gun-to-head but I wouldn't be bullish about it.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 10:42 am to Billy Mays
Adding 1* Washington State +17
Posted on 10/10/14 at 10:46 am to rocket31
So having my money (- juice) covered if New Mexico loses by 1, 2, 3, 4 points is worth taking the +4 @ -110.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 10:48 am to jac1280
Your play is more risky but I don't think it's necessarily -EV.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 11:15 am to jac1280
Get in the habit of taking the points. The lines are spot on the majority of the time, but if you feel that confident in a NM straight up win go for it.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 11:47 am to rocket31
quote:
Adding 1* Washington State +17
Think I am playing this. Also tend to think if they keep it within the spread that it will go over 53.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 11:56 am to Zipfer2022
Not necessarily. I read an article a while back that over the last couple decades in betting the NFL, it's been more profitable to bet underdog MLs than underdog spreads because of how rare it is for an underdog to cover a spread but not win the game straight up.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 12:41 pm to Louie T
Especially when the spread is 1-3 points
Posted on 10/10/14 at 1:00 pm to jac1280
But in your case it's 4. I'd take the points.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:01 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Also tend to think if they keep it within the spread that it will go over 53.
No doubt in my mind that I am playing the over.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:10 pm to 4LSU2
not sure if anyone noticed, but Wash st/stan line just dropped to 15.5 on 5dimes.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:10 pm to Louie T
NFL lines are so much tighter though. Rarely do you see two or more double digit dogs in the NFL in a weekend.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:10 pm to TigahFan4Life
quote:
not sure if anyone noticed, but Wash st/stan line just dropped to 15.5 on 5dimes.
It's actually 14.5 on SportsBook
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:11 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Think I am playing this. Also tend to think if they keep it within the spread that it will go over 53.
Actually you should be thinking the opposite of this. If they DONT keep it within the spread that it should go over.
Posted on 10/10/14 at 2:12 pm to JG77056
quote:
If they DONT keep it within the spread that it should go over.
And how is that?
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