re: OFFICIAL Week 13 CFB Betting Thread

Bowling Green or Toledo?


Toledo -6.5 55

Maybe not, I just read a different article saying Woodside the starting QB will play

Regarding OM/ Ark, Bobby. From a pure football analysis, the same thing LSU did to beat the Rebs, Arky will do with a more efficient passing attack taboot. Then you throw in potential look ahead spot for OM.

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When some of you fella's are saying your doing research, what is it that you are researching?? New to sports betting and just looking for all the help I can get

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You're in the same boat I was in a a few weeks ago. I watch a ton of college football, and wanted to start betting it(just for fun). I didn't really have a reliable system to base my bets on though. I decided I'd come up with things that I thought were impactful in games(run D vs run O), and study each matchup I wanted to bet to see who I thought had the edge. I'm not as knowledgeable as most in this thread, or serious gamblers, but it has worked very well for me.

Since I started a few weeks ago, I'm 29-14(67.4%) and up 19 units.

I started doing this for fun, and refuse to get greedy or up my bets just because I'm doing well. I, and others in this thread, will tell you that there's no way I can keep this up. Guys like Chem, who seem to really know what they're doing, could easily run circles around me when it comes to capping games. I don't even think I "cap" games...

If you wanna get into it with no knowledge, pick lines that stick out to you and study the teams.

And post your plays! I'm about to get shite on for this post, because I'm too scared to post my plays :/

Test

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Regarding OM/ Ark, Bobby. From a pure football analysis, the same thing LSU did to beat the Rebs, Arky will do with a more efficient passing attack taboot. Then you throw in potential look ahead spot for OM.

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I have no idea who Bobby is but since you referenced OM/Arky I'll respond.

I don't buy into the look ahead spot at all. I mentioned that in a previous post: I just see them trying to run the ball right at a salty D that won't allow it. And the Treadwell thing hurts, but I don't see it wrecking their offense. I think piss gets a double digit win.

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I don't have strong opinions on either game, and may take the unprecedented step of not betting on a weeknight game.

If I change my mind, it would prolly be on Toledo-6.*

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*Though i don't know why that line was so late to post, and I would certainly want to look into seeing if there was a major injury or something before I did that.

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For the record, I changed my mind about 15 minutes after posting this. It could be that I just don't have the ability to completely lay off a weeknight of CFB.

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For the record, I changed my mind about 15 minutes after posting this. It could be that I just don't have the ability to completely lay off a weeknight of CFB.

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Toledo-6 (w)
Ole Miss-3
Western Michigan+1
Northwestern PK
FSU-19.5
Arkansas State-5.5


Leans and the like:
I'm having second thoughts about Notre Dame. I'm gonna look into that one more before I decide to the pull the trigger.

There are several big underdogs I'm leaning towards, but I need to trim the list and figure out which ones I like the most:
- Rutgers+22
- Minny+10.5
- Kansas+25
- Wake+15
- New mexico+21.5
- Wash St+16.5
- Colorado+32.5
- UNLV+10

Big underdogs have not historically been my strong point. I'll consider any advice the fine crowd here has to offer on the above.


I also have to settle on a Stupid Underdog play. I hit last week on Hawaii, which puts me about 15 points off the lead (and the winner will get 3K+ this year...I won last year, fwiw). But last week I had a clear favorite pick, and this week I don't. Leaning either Minny or UNLV at this point.

anyone else like the over 58.5 tonight in k state game?