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re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 11/4/12 at 10:32 pm to death valley driver
Posted on 11/4/12 at 10:32 pm to death valley driver
quote:
florida only -26 vs ULL????
My favorite line for sure. ULL has no defense at all.
Florida 56
Ulala 10
0
Posted on 11/4/12 at 10:33 pm to bamafan425
quote:
I mean DAMN. 31.
Yea that's what I thought about Stanford -28 at Colorado. But I got paid on it
If it comes back down a few points I'm on it. Chad Morris does not take his foot off ever. He's into some style points
I ain't scared
Posted on 11/5/12 at 1:35 am to wish i was tebow
quote:
They are a poor mans 2011 LSU. Badass defense shite whole offense. Except LSU rolled everyone that wasn't bama last year
Homeless
Posted on 11/5/12 at 1:57 am to bobbyray21
Robert Raymond Deuce One Leans:
Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.
Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?
La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.
Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?
Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.
San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.
Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.
ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.
Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?
Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.
FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?
You might be alarmed at the number of road teams I'm leaning on. But notice that the home team in those games is probably atrocious. My theory is that HFA doesn't mean a damn thing when a team can't score.
Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.
Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?
La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.
Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?
Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.
San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.
Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.
ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.
Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?
Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.
FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?
You might be alarmed at the number of road teams I'm leaning on. But notice that the home team in those games is probably atrocious. My theory is that HFA doesn't mean a damn thing when a team can't score.
This post was edited on 11/5/12 at 8:49 am
Posted on 11/5/12 at 2:38 am to bobbyray21
FSU has not covered a spread on the road all year... but VT is so bad.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 7:24 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?
Looking closer, an interesting matchup on paper. Syracuse did put 30 on the Trojans early in the year before they were banged up. Back and forth records against common opponents. Real similar offensive numbers. Looks like the Cards just got a few breaks
More at stake for Cuse at home.? Such a small line still makes it hard not to like Charlie Strong tho
Posted on 11/5/12 at 7:46 am to Chef Leppard
Early bets:
Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10
Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10
Posted on 11/5/12 at 7:59 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10
very nice, haven't really liked at ASU.. but first glance it looks good
Posted on 11/5/12 at 8:14 am to Biff Tannen
Man I have a hard time getting behind Bama on that one. Especially after such a brutal win in BR.
I just see another UF type loss for the Aggs (20-17) . Could be wrong of course
I just see another UF type loss for the Aggs (20-17) . Could be wrong of course
Posted on 11/5/12 at 8:17 am to Chef Leppard
Sumlin's offense matches up terribly with Nick's 3-4. Classic sandwich game for Arizona St's opponent which will remain unnamed...
Posted on 11/5/12 at 8:47 am to ChemE in the OP
I'm just a firm believer in Manziel. Dude is gonna make some plays. This is the one game of the season where I believe Bama could lose. They probably won't, but I think they could.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 8:57 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Robert Raymond Deuce One Leans:
Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.
Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?
La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.
Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?
Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.
San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.
Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.
ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.
Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?
Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.
FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?
A couple others I"m thinking about:
UCF-12.5 @ UTEP: UCF just keeps covering for me.
Marshall-3 @ UAB: The C-USA is so bad that it's like Vegas hasn't quite figured out which teams are just kinda bad vs. which teams are atrocious. UAB is atrocious.
My favorite dogs:
Northwestern +11 @ Michigan
Penn State+7 @ Nebraska
Mizzou+3.5 @ Vols
Southern Miss+11.5 @ SMU: cripple fight
Posted on 11/5/12 at 9:02 am to bobbyray21
quote:
ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious
I do like ND here. And I do not bet on them much, but they have a strong advantage in this game as I feel I have as good of read as anyone regarding the Irish. ND had 5 players get the flu last week vs Pitt, so they should be healthy as well.
Also, for whatever reason ND is a better road team than home; they beat MSU in East Lansing at night by 17, Miami in Soldier Field by 38 and Oklahoma in Norman at night by 17.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 9:03 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Southern Miss+11.5 @ SMU: cripple fight
Um, no. SMU will win by 30.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 9:03 am to bobbyray21
Tulane -1.5 is my favorite line so far.
I've bet against USM the last 2 weeks and won. Southern Methodist puts up a good amount of points up at home, and USM's offense is anemic on the road (and everywhere, in general).
I've bet against USM the last 2 weeks and won. Southern Methodist puts up a good amount of points up at home, and USM's offense is anemic on the road (and everywhere, in general).
Posted on 11/5/12 at 9:29 am to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Um, no. SMU will win by 30.
Unless I'm mistaken, their only common opponent is UCF, and USM was much more competitive against UCF than was SMU.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 9:30 am to Billy Mays
quote:
I've bet against USM the last 2 weeks and won. Southern Methodist puts up a good amount of points up at home, and USM's offense is anemic on the road (and everywhere, in general)
I give absolutely zero weight to the Houston game, as that was just the most ridiculously fluky game I've maybe ever witnessed.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 9:30 am to Billy Mays
quote:
Tulane -1.5 is my favorite line so far.
I like it as well. I'm really liking Minny-3, though.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:09 am to bobbyray21
I like MN as well, that is a true cripple fight tho so anything can happen.
My early 5:
Oregon -27.5 at Cal (Cal can't keep up)
Tulane -1.5 at Memphis (Memphis is atrocious)
SMU -10.5 vs USM (see Memphis)
USCw -10 vs. ASU (Barkley + Kiffin should be pissed and ready to pad stats)
LSU -14 vs. MSU (MSU is not good and won't be able to move the ball vs. LSU)
My early 5:
Oregon -27.5 at Cal (Cal can't keep up)
Tulane -1.5 at Memphis (Memphis is atrocious)
SMU -10.5 vs USM (see Memphis)
USCw -10 vs. ASU (Barkley + Kiffin should be pissed and ready to pad stats)
LSU -14 vs. MSU (MSU is not good and won't be able to move the ball vs. LSU)
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