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re: Official Week 10 NCAA Bet Thread
Posted on 11/5/15 at 11:31 am to hehatedrew
Posted on 11/5/15 at 11:31 am to hehatedrew
Trying to decide if I want to throw it in here
1
Posted on 11/5/15 at 11:54 am to hehatedrew
quote:
I have all of those teased down some in a couple parlays as well, except I didn't buy any points on buffalo. What's y'all's thoughts on Nevada -4 at Fresno? Took that as well in a parlay, and it's the only part of the bet I didn't feel pretty good about, but just went with it because I have seen firsthand how bad Fresno is
Nevada is just as bad.
Posted on 11/5/15 at 12:10 pm to accnodefense
I'll take my chances then. I didn't think it could get worse than Fresno
Posted on 11/5/15 at 12:39 pm to Louie T
2015: 25-22-1 +2.42u
Already placed:
1) Clemson wins NC +1200 1u
2) Arizona St -1 -110 1u
3) Old Dominion +12.5 -110 1u
4) LSU +7 -105 1u
5) Texas Tech +8 -110 1u
6) Florida St +12 -110 1u
Adding:
7) Florida wins NC +4000 1u
Already placed:
1) Clemson wins NC +1200 1u
2) Arizona St -1 -110 1u
3) Old Dominion +12.5 -110 1u
4) LSU +7 -105 1u
5) Texas Tech +8 -110 1u
6) Florida St +12 -110 1u
Adding:
7) Florida wins NC +4000 1u
Posted on 11/5/15 at 2:08 pm to accnodefense
6 game parlay, what do you guys think?
Florida -21
Penn St. +3
Utah +1
Ok. St. +4
A&M -7
Mich. St. -4
Florida -21
Penn St. +3
Utah +1
Ok. St. +4
A&M -7
Mich. St. -4
Posted on 11/5/15 at 2:10 pm to Prominentwon
quote:
Florida -21 Penn St. +3 Utah +1 Ok. St. +4 A&M -7 Mich. St. -4
Florida, Utah, Oklahoma State will lose.
Posted on 11/5/15 at 2:28 pm to accnodefense
Acc, why bet iowa, usf, and arky with your relatively low cover percentages? Just gut feelings, or am I missing something? Thanks
This post was edited on 11/5/15 at 2:29 pm
Posted on 11/5/15 at 3:45 pm to Louie T
You realize Corso picked LSU to win the National Title right? So he basically has to pick LSU by default. Herbie picked LSU to play in the title game so the same with him.
Posted on 11/5/15 at 4:04 pm to lil tiger22
quote:You realize I addressed that?
Corso picked LSU to make the playoff in preseason but it's still worth a shot IMO.
This post was edited on 11/5/15 at 4:05 pm
Posted on 11/5/15 at 4:09 pm to Nate Bracey
quote:
Acc, why bet iowa, usf, and arky with your relatively low cover percentages? Just gut feelings, or am I missing something? Thanks
There is a number I calculate that I need to put on the sheets that I call the "Rating", which is dividing the average ATS value number by the ATS Value standard deviation. The higher the "Rating", the more likely I am to make a play.
For example, with Iowa, they have an ATS Value Average of 9.53, and a ATS Value Standard Deviation of 2.73. 9.53 / 2.73 = 3.49, which was one of the higher "ratings" of the week.
I don't really have a set number to where if the rating is higher than that number, its an auto play, I just stack them all up for the week and lean toward the higher "ratings". One thing is certain - If the number is below 1, meaning the standard deviation is higher than the ATS value, I will not play it.
This goes for totals also.
Edit: Also, South Florida was +4.5 when I ran the sheet the first time and made the bet. Arkansas was +11
This post was edited on 11/5/15 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 11/5/15 at 4:15 pm to PeteRose
quote:
30-34-1(almost back to even)
LSU+7.5
Under Fla/Van 38
adding
Miss St -.5 1Q
Posted on 11/5/15 at 4:15 pm to PeteRose
Over UK 58.5
Posted on 11/5/15 at 4:27 pm to PeteRose
Does Bovada not have the FSU/Clem line up or am I taking crazy pills?
Posted on 11/5/15 at 4:32 pm to gatorhata9
Why has the App St total dropped five points today? The weather seems to be fine.
Posted on 11/5/15 at 5:08 pm to PeteRose
thinking I like the miss st-mizzou under
Posted on 11/5/15 at 5:19 pm to BilJ
No offense… But I'm on the over 42.5....Second thought lots of offense
Posted on 11/5/15 at 5:20 pm to cuyahoga tiger
quote:
No offense… But I'm on the over 42.5....Second thought lots of offense
under in mizzou game is 8-0 this year.
Posted on 11/5/15 at 5:23 pm to PeteRose
quote:
Nov 05
CFB
[307] BAYLOR -11-110 (B+6) Nov 05
CFB
[315] MISSISSIPPI ST -2-110 (B+6)
Risking 165.00 USD To Win 150.00 USD
Posted on 11/5/15 at 5:39 pm to PeteRose
quote:
under in mizzou game is 8-0 this year.
Going to be Cold and rainy.
Looks like only break in rain will be around kick off to the 2nd Q, then its supposed to pour.
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