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Started By
Message
re: Official Week 10 NCAA Bet Thread
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:17 am to tigerbaittrick
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:17 am to tigerbaittrick
Duke & ND for the morning card
adding: NC St, Texas Tech
adding: NC St, Texas Tech
This post was edited on 11/7/15 at 10:29 am
1
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:30 am to BilJ
LSU +3.5 1st half 550 win 500
Parlay on Navy +8/ Arky +11
Best of luck
Parlay on Navy +8/ Arky +11
Best of luck
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:36 am to JG77056
Bama -7
Purdue +3.5
Florida 20.5
Purdue +3.5
Florida 20.5
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:40 am to TT9
UF I keep wanting to play, but then I keep thinking this is too easy. The only thing I can think of is a let down spot, but Vandy is horrid on offense
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:42 am to SDVTiger
frick ESPN and their non-predicative bullshite
"Team A has lost their last 4 ATS when coming off a win"
"Team B has won their last 5 ATS when favored by 14 or more"
"Team C has lost their last 8 ATS when coming off a road loss as an underdog and throwing 20 completions or less"
frick that shite. It's non predicative and/or small sample size bullshite that you find on garbage sites like Pregame and on tout twitter feeds. Yet people will go bet based on that shitty info like lambs to the slaughter
"Team A has lost their last 4 ATS when coming off a win"
"Team B has won their last 5 ATS when favored by 14 or more"
"Team C has lost their last 8 ATS when coming off a road loss as an underdog and throwing 20 completions or less"
frick that shite. It's non predicative and/or small sample size bullshite that you find on garbage sites like Pregame and on tout twitter feeds. Yet people will go bet based on that shitty info like lambs to the slaughter
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:45 am to accnodefense
quote:
frick ESPN and their non-predicative bullshite
I think it's great when sites publish stuff like that. That's like saying you hate when poker players jam 72o pre-flop.
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:46 am to BilJ
I took the over at 32. I think it takes 1 Vandy score or 2 FG's to get there. I see a big # on the board for the Gators.
On a side note, why don't football fields out a tarp over the grass before games? Lot of sloppy fields on the east coast for today's slate.
On a side note, why don't football fields out a tarp over the grass before games? Lot of sloppy fields on the east coast for today's slate.
This post was edited on 11/7/15 at 10:47 am
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:46 am to TheOcean
Anyone else like Taco tech?
I bet them good, and put a little on the Money line.(probably the kiss of death to all Tech bettors)
I bet them good, and put a little on the Money line.(probably the kiss of death to all Tech bettors)
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:48 am to TheOcean
quote:
I think it's great when sites publish stuff like that.
But it is not predicative in any way, shape, or form. It's meaningless. So why even bother?
I know for a fact the Pregame touts use this shite in their pick writeups.
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:51 am to accnodefense
quote:
But it is not predicative in any way, shape, or form. It's meaningless. So why even bother?
I know for a fact the Pregame touts use this shite in their pick writeups.
To totally discredit those trends is stupid
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:55 am to SDVTiger
quote:
To totally discredit those trends is stupid
You discredit it because its short term small sample size garbage.
Besides, what does having 20 or less completions have to do with capping the team's next game?
I saw an ESPN hack tweet out "The Colts have gone under 7 straight games following a home win in which they had a completion of 40 or more yards"
WTF is this garbage? Could you imagine Pagano's pre game locker room talk?
"C'mon, let's go beat the piss out of those guys. But make SURE to keep your receptions to 39 yards or less AT ALL COSTS. We want to give ourselves a good chance to score plenty of points next week."
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:55 am to accnodefense
quote:
So why even bother?
People buy into those trends. Use it for betting. And help create value for the rest of us.
Posted on 11/7/15 at 10:59 am to accnodefense
Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:02 am to TheOcean
quote:
People buy into those trends. Use it for betting. And help create value for the rest of us.
These blog posts by Vegas Watch pretty much dismantle the usefulness of these trends.
LINK
LINK
Sorry but if you are risking your money based on these trends you are making -EV bets. I am just trying to help
Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:09 am to SDVTiger
Those trends are meaningless truly. So taking them into consideration is "stupid"
Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:11 am to rocket31
i know right. Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:11 am to BilJ
quote:this is what I was banking on.
Vandy is horrid on offense
They'll be lucky to score.
Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:11 am to rocket31
UF just went for it on 4th and goal and got owned
Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:12 am to TheOcean
Vandy +21
LSU +250
LSU +7
All I got so far
LSU +250
LSU +7
All I got so far
Posted on 11/7/15 at 11:12 am to TheOcean
Should have kicked
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