re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

quote:

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Alabama Wisc o48 1*
ASU aTm u70 1*

Teaser 1*

TCU -5.5
Ohio State -1
Tenn -10.5

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Added Alabama -13

Gonna sit week 1 out. I'll get busy next week

ODU-5
NIU-24
Texas+10.5
BGSU+21.5
AZ ST+3.5

quote:

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Lines moving like crazy.

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I know.i can't decide if I want to get in now or wait

alli have today is
nd+10
penn state -6.5
ULM +35.5

need to win at least 2 of them! Been bad start for me. Win all 3 im back in the positive i started off bad last year down $250 in the first 2 weeks and went on a roll the next 3 to get up $700... its a rollercoaster ride

How my model has done so far..

Friday

ATS Sides

Prediction Method #1: 2-1 (66%)
Prediction Method #2: 3-0 (100%)
Prediction Method #3: 2-1 (66%)
Prediction Method #4: 2-1 (66%)
Prediction Method #5: 2-1 (66%)

Totals

Prediction Method #1: 1-2 (33%)
Prediction Method #2: 1-2 (33%)
Prediction Method #3: 0-3 (0%)
Prediction Method #4: 1-2 (33%)
Prediction Method #5: 1-2 (33%)


Season to Date

ATS Sides

Prediction Method #1: 9-3-1 (75%)
Prediction Method #2: 12-0-1 (100%)
Prediction Method #3: 11-1-1 (92%)
Prediction Method #4: 11-1-1 (92%)
Prediction Method #5: 11-1-1 (92%)

Totals

Prediction Method #1: 5-8 (38%)
Prediction Method #2: 5-8 (38%)
Prediction Method #3: 5-8 (38%)
Prediction Method #4: 4-9 (31%)
Prediction Method #5: 4-9 (31%)

I took the BYU ML

If your ATS is hitting like that you need to increase your wager to a minimum of a 100 per play

South Dakota St just went from (+4.5) to (-1.5) in about 30 minutes

WTF just happened???

I'd be worried of a regression to the mean to a more reasonable percentage.