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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:13 pm to accnodefense
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:13 pm to accnodefense
i have nd by 2tds
0
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:23 pm to oleyeller
Disgusting first week of the season in my eyes. Might only post one or two plays, three at the most.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:24 pm to ChemE in the OP
lets hear itPosted on 8/31/15 at 3:30 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Disgusting first week of the season in my eyes. Might only post one or two plays, three at the most.
This.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:36 pm to accnodefense
Notre Dame is very talented and Texas is still a shiteshow and I doubt they can keep up with ND offensively.
Texas cannot play from behind at all- it is definitely a team I don't plan on wagering on much this year because they are a very frustrating side to have stake in.
Texas cannot play from behind at all- it is definitely a team I don't plan on wagering on much this year because they are a very frustrating side to have stake in.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 4:01 pm to oleyeller
Probably going to end up on Minnesota and Va Tech with Tulane and Louisville just missing the cut. So, yea, two "hold your nose" plays for Week 1, woohoo!
Posted on 8/31/15 at 4:10 pm to ChemE in the OP
Join the MSB CFB Capper Challenge and get your arse handed to you, ChemE..
Posted on 8/31/15 at 4:27 pm to LSUAlum2001
I've been kicking yall up and down the curb in the MSB challenge for 4-5 years now... Don't see that changing, lol.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 4:28 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 4:29 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Probably going to end up on Minnesota
whyyyyyyyyyy
Posted on 8/31/15 at 5:16 pm to oleyeller
I think the Minnesota-TCU line is razor sharp as well
I think the hook gives Minnesota SLIGHT edge... but it's a no play - coin flip at best.
I think the hook gives Minnesota SLIGHT edge... but it's a no play - coin flip at best.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:23 pm to accnodefense
Last year TCU was up 24-0 at the half and won 30-7 after giving up a garbage time TD late and forcing 5 TOs. They're pretty much the same teams this year so even if TCU scores one less TD in the first half and allows one more they would be up by 10 and the line will prob be 8 or 8.5. So I'm playing TCU first half.
I'll probably play a lot of first half lines early.
What do you guys think of BYU +6 against Nebraska? They've been almost unbeatable the last 2 years with Taysom Hill at QB but lost games after he got hurt so I feel like they come in underrated. Nebraska opened with ULL at home last year and almost lost and now they don't have Abdullah to bail them out. I think BYU wins straight up.
I'll probably play a lot of first half lines early.
What do you guys think of BYU +6 against Nebraska? They've been almost unbeatable the last 2 years with Taysom Hill at QB but lost games after he got hurt so I feel like they come in underrated. Nebraska opened with ULL at home last year and almost lost and now they don't have Abdullah to bail them out. I think BYU wins straight up.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 6:23 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:28 pm to JG77056
quote:
Last year TCU was up 24-0 at the half and won 30-7 after giving up a garbage time TD late and forcing 5 TOs. They're pretty much the same teams this year so even if TCU scores one less TD in the first half and allows one more they would be up by 10 and the line will prob be 8 or 8.5. So I'm playing TCU first half.
Agree... I think TCU should win by about 17, but I want to see how their new linebackers do until I bet on them. The offense should be good enough to overcome the linebackers inexperience early in the year.
quote:
What do you guys think of BYU +6 against Nebraska? They've been almost unbeatable the last 2 years with Taysom Hill at QB but lost games after he got hurt so I feel like they come in underrated. Nebraska opened with ULL at home last year and almost lost and now they don't have Abdullah to bail them out. I think BYU wins straight up.
Nebraska -6 is one of my bigger plays of the week. I want BYU to win, but their defense doesn't show up when they play competent offensive teams.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:33 pm to JG77056
It's crazy the line isn't skyrocketing with TCU taking wagers at an 80% clip... Wonder what's up with that?
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:40 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
It's crazy the line isn't skyrocketing with TCU taking wagers at an 80% clip... Wonder what's up with that?
Thursday Night bias IMO... oddsmakers rolling the dice by betting that Minnesota covers due to Thursday Night Dogs usually covering
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:45 pm to accnodefense
And does that apply to the Monday night game as well?
ETA - The day of the week has nothing to do with books balancing the ledger or taking a position...
ETA - The day of the week has nothing to do with books balancing the ledger or taking a position...
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 6:49 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:49 pm to ChemE in the OP
What is the next key number? 17?
Why would Vegas not let that line creep up to 16.5 if people will still load up on TCU?
80% of the wagers may be on TCU, but I bet 80% of the money is not.
Why would Vegas not let that line creep up to 16.5 if people will still load up on TCU?
80% of the wagers may be on TCU, but I bet 80% of the money is not.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 6:51 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:51 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Why would Vegas not let that line creep up to 16.5 if people will still load up on TCU?
80% of the wagers may be on TCU, but I bet 80% of the money is not.
Exactly.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:53 pm to LSUAlum2001
The Supercontest weekend was this past weekend and most of the guys I talked to liked TCU and I'd imagine those guys bet pretty decent money.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:54 pm to JG77056
Then why isn't the line moving?
Posted on 8/31/15 at 6:58 pm to ChemE in the OP
It will. There just aren't many large bets coming in yet and with the game being on Thursday a lot of the out of town money won't be there. Plus a lot of system bettors automatically bet home dogs on Thursday nights which keeps the money from getting out of whack.
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