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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:19 am to accnodefense
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:19 am to accnodefense
The QB for CMU is legit. Rush threw 7 TDs in their bowl loss to WKU last year.
So is WMU's QB.
The chances of back door covers are much greater when you have a very good QB playing for the underdog.
So is WMU's QB.
The chances of back door covers are much greater when you have a very good QB playing for the underdog.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 11:23 am
2
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:45 am to LSUAlum2001
quote:
The chances of back door covers are much greater when you have a very good QB playing for the underdog.
Agree
I also don't think people are using the "CMU's coach has cancer" angle enough. I could see Mike Gundy taking his foot off the gas early out of respect, but instead I still think CMU is a formidable opponent that simply won't be blown out at home on a Thursday Night, so it won't come to that.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:46 am to accnodefense
i liked central mich when it was at 23.5 but i looked this morn and my book had them at 24.5... so i went ahead and put a unit on them
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:56 am to LSUAlum2001
WMU is at home with 15 returning starters or so
Sparty has a big look ahead game with the. Ducks the following weekend
Would have liked to grab that 23 it started at
Sparty has a big look ahead game with the. Ducks the following weekend
Would have liked to grab that 23 it started at
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:59 am to oleyeller
quote:
i liked central mich when it was at 23.5 but i looked this morn and my book had them at 24.5... so i went ahead and put a unit on them
24.5? Damn
I still do not see why people are willing to lay so much on an unproven OKST team, on the road on a Thursday Night against a somewhat decent CMU team.
Even without my model or anything I would be on CMU on principle alone.
I can't find any angle that favors OKST. None.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 12:04 pm to accnodefense
Tulane now at + 7.5 
Posted on 8/31/15 at 12:15 pm to accnodefense
quote:
quote:
i liked central mich when it was at 23.5 but i looked this morn and my book had them at 24.5... so i went ahead and put a unit on them
24.5? Damn
I still do not see why people are willing to lay so much on an unproven OKST team, on the road on a Thursday Night against a somewhat decent CMU team.
Even without my model or anything I would be on CMU on principle alone.
I can't find any angle that favors OKST. None.
yeah thur night games are crazy lol. I had to jump on the 24.5, had to
Posted on 8/31/15 at 1:02 pm to oleyeller
and now its at 25 
Posted on 8/31/15 at 1:23 pm to accnodefense
Dan LeFevour and CMU were a covering machine when he was QB, but Dan had elite mobility which Rush doesn't have.
LeFevour ran for nearly 3,000 yards and 47 TDs and threw for 12,905 and 102 TDs while at CMU. He was another Tebow.
He even caught a TD in college.
LeFevour ran for nearly 3,000 yards and 47 TDs and threw for 12,905 and 102 TDs while at CMU. He was another Tebow.
He even caught a TD in college.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 1:24 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 1:59 pm to LSUAlum2001
Asu +3 vs atm
Michigan +5.5 vs Utah
Tcu -14.5 vs Minnesota
Baylor -35 vs smu
Auburn -10.5 vs Louisville
Byu +7 vs Nebraska
Notre dame -9 vs texas
Ohio state -11 vs va tech
Penn state -6
Michigan +5.5 vs Utah
Tcu -14.5 vs Minnesota
Baylor -35 vs smu
Auburn -10.5 vs Louisville
Byu +7 vs Nebraska
Notre dame -9 vs texas
Ohio state -11 vs va tech
Penn state -6
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:02 pm to redfieldk717
quote:
Asu +3 vs atm
Michigan +5.5 vs Utah
Tcu -14.5 vs Minnesota
Baylor -35 vs smu
Auburn -10.5 vs Louisville
Byu +7 vs Nebraska
Notre dame -9 vs texas
Ohio state -11 vs va tech
Penn state -6
are these your picks after glancing and just going on what you think, or do you have some type of system or evaluation with line movement/bet percentages to base this on?
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:05 pm to icegator337
These are games that caught my eye on first glance. I don't use a system, just go off of what I think and research on each team...which is why it's mostly big name schools 
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:09 pm to redfieldk717
quote:
These are games that caught my eye on first glance. I don't use a system, just go off of what I think and research on each team...which is why it's mostly big name schools
Where did you get 7 for BYU and 6 for Penn State?
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:11 pm to accnodefense
5 dimes
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:12 pm to accnodefense
i have 7 for byu also... lowest i got penn state was 6.5
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:17 pm to oleyeller
I put big emphasis on retuning QBs with experience...
However, with graduate transfers happening yearly, how do you rate:
Golson at FSU
Adams at Oregon
Driskel at La Tech
Lambert at Georgia
I know the first 3 will be starters, but nothing yet on Lambert at Georgia.
However, with graduate transfers happening yearly, how do you rate:
Golson at FSU
Adams at Oregon
Driskel at La Tech
Lambert at Georgia
I know the first 3 will be starters, but nothing yet on Lambert at Georgia.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 2:18 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:25 pm to LSUAlum2001
i really like golson at fsu.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 2:58 pm to oleyeller
Curious to hear the board's thoughts on ND -9.5 versus Texas. Trying to put my bias against Texas aside, but it looks like they're going to roll with 2 true freshman on O-line(one at LT) and Swoopes at QB. Apparently Texas had a press conference and released the two-deep today and it includes 25 players(7 starters) who've never played a college snap.
Having said all that, what am I missing here on why that line shouldn't be up over 10+?
Having said all that, what am I missing here on why that line shouldn't be up over 10+?
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:02 pm to DFWAggie09
i already had money on nd +10 and happy with that. obviously wish i would have waited for a better mark, but i think nd is going to be really good this year.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 3:11 pm to DFWAggie09
quote:
Curious to hear the board's thoughts on ND -9.5 versus Texas. Trying to put my bias against Texas aside, but it looks like they're going to roll with 2 true freshman on O-line(one at LT) and Swoopes at QB. Apparently Texas had a press conference and released the two-deep today and it includes 25 players(7 starters) who've never played a college snap.
Having said all that, what am I missing here on why that line shouldn't be up over 10+?
I think the line at -9.5 is razor sharp and see no value in either side
Texas's defense should be good enough to keep them in the game regardless of their offense.
Also I am not sold on Notre Dame. If they don't beat LSU in their bowl last year no one is talking about them. Let's not forget that they lost 4 straight to end the year and 5 of their last 6. Blown out in 2 games, lost 2 home games to a bad team(NW) and average team(LOU).
Notre Dame's shite defense from last year should improve but I am not sold on them offensively.
If anything this game will go under.
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