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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL NCAA FB Bet thread (Bowl Games Edition)
Posted on 12/31/14 at 5:17 am to LooseCannon22282
Posted on 12/31/14 at 5:17 am to LooseCannon22282
quote:
Ole Miss is 10-1 straight up and ATS in its last 11 bowl games, including 6-0 straight up and ATS its last six.
Useful information about laundry (A.k.a., meaningless random noise).
I saw your subsequent explanation that this 10-1 number is meaningful because of the way Ole Miss fans travel. Yeah, that's silly. They don't even crack the top 20 of fanbases that travel well. So, in the absence of another explanation as to why this 10-1 ATS record has predictive value, I'll kindly suggest not assigning it a heavy weight in your analysis.
5
Posted on 12/31/14 at 6:18 am to SystemsGo
Hey! Bobbys back
Posted on 12/31/14 at 7:33 am to SystemsGo
10-1 against the spread is pretty dam good. It shows that ole miss is always a team that comes to the bowl games to play... and to win. Not just for a vacation like some teams. Ole miss will have more fans in atlanta, by a large margin also. Now ole miss may lose, but all of that information is useful, dont be that guy
Posted on 12/31/14 at 7:55 am to SystemsGo
quote:
They don't even crack the top 20 of fanbases that travel well. So, in the absence of another explanation as to why this 10-1 ATS record has predictive value, I'll kindly suggest not assigning it a heavy weight in your analysis
Ole Miss fans travel well for bowls. The key word is "bowl".
Posted on 12/31/14 at 7:58 am to oleyeller
quote:
10-1 against the spread is pretty dam good. It shows that ole miss is always a team that comes to the bowl games to play... and to win. Not just for a vacation like some teams. Ole miss will have more fans in atlanta, by a large margin also.
Agreed. Ole Miss is always a great bowl bet. Their fanbase loves to road trip if the team is good, and this team is good.
Intangibles also working against TCU heavily in this game.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:12 am to colston12
On Ole Miss as well. Miss +3.5 and State -7 likely my last plays of the year 
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:20 am to maclauer
quote:
On Ole Miss as well. Miss +3.5 and State -7 likely my last plays of the year
i have same two plays today, as well as zona -3.5
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:33 am to SystemsGo
yeah right.
I've really missed your half arse analysis as well.
I've really missed your half arse analysis as well.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:35 am to SystemsGo
Ole Miss is traveling well to this bowl. You're an idiot to think otherwise.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:57 am to LooseCannon22282
quote:
yeah right.
I've really missed your half arse analysis as well.
TCU-3
Because they're about 9 orders of magnitude better offensively, and winning requires scoring.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:00 am to SystemsGo
quote:
quote:
yeah right.
I've really missed your half arse analysis as well.
TCU-3
Because they're about 9 orders of magnitude better offensively, and winning requires scoring.
oh.. we forgot about tcu and their dominate defense that will shut out ole miss... our bad
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:00 am to oleyeller
quote:
10-1 against the spread is pretty dam good. It shows that ole miss is always a team that comes to the bowl games to play... and to win. Not just for a vacation like some teams. Ole miss will have more fans in atlanta, by a large margin also. Now ole miss may lose, but all of that information is useful, dont be that guy
This would be a fine analysis if we were talking Novak Djokovic v. Roger Federer, but we're not. And the "Ole Miss" that covered the first of those 10 spreads* is the same as this "Ole Miss" in jersey color only.
Listen, I don't even think Ole Miss is necessarily a bad play. I'm on the other side, but Ole Miss is a defensible play. But just not for the reasons you're relying on.
*Who was coach, Cutcliffe?
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:03 am to SystemsGo
okay.
Fine.
you talked me off the ledge.
almost pulled the trigger on LSU yesterday too.
i'll just stick with them in my bowl pool and take another loss. The thing is still way up for grabs.
I still think Ole Miss pulls the upset though
Fine.
you talked me off the ledge.
almost pulled the trigger on LSU yesterday too.
i'll just stick with them in my bowl pool and take another loss. The thing is still way up for grabs.
I still think Ole Miss pulls the upset though
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:04 am to oleyeller
quote:
oh.. we forgot about tcu and their dominate defense that will shut out ole miss... our bad
Oh, TCU's defense sucks? Okie dokie.
But why even consider such a factor when you can base your bet on who covered a spread in a bowl game during the Reagan administration?
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:04 am to SystemsGo
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:04 am to LooseCannon22282
quote:
okay.
Fine.
you talked me off the ledge.
almost pulled the trigger on LSU yesterday too.
i'll just stick with them in my bowl pool and take another loss. The thing is still way up for grabs.
I still think Ole Miss pulls the upset though
I am not trying to persuade anybody. Just opining.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:05 am to SystemsGo
there are reason that we pick a particular team. Obviously your reason is tcu can score. But i can counter that and say they have not played a defense with a pulse this year and that they have not played a defense even remotely as good as ole miss. See we can argue any reasons for someone picking a particular side. If your on the tcu side, great good luck. You could have just came in and said that and why, and not come in downing someone elses reasons like they are irrelevant.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:06 am to oleyeller
Would you expect anything less? Bobbys a douche.
ETA: The guy knows everything. You have seen all the wagers he has won this year since he gives you all his plays before hand.
ETA: The guy knows everything. You have seen all the wagers he has won this year since he gives you all his plays before hand.
This post was edited on 12/31/14 at 9:08 am
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:06 am to bamafan425
quote:
Ole Miss is traveling well to this bowl. You're an idiot to think otherwise.
I'm sure no one from TCU will show up and it will be a de facto home game for the Rebs. Totes.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:07 am to LooseCannon22282
Ole Miss going for their 7th straight bowl win with one of the better teams they've fielded in years.
going against the magical Horn Frogs who played a list of powerhouses.
going against the magical Horn Frogs who played a list of powerhouses.
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