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re: Official College Bowl Bet Thread

Posted on 12/30/15 at 10:45 am to
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41018 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 10:45 am to
quote:

CLV


Closing line value?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 10:51 am to
That's right.
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41018 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 10:54 am to
What would a person look for to try and predict or anticipate that movement?


Is that even possible on a consistent basis?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 11:11 am to
That's the million dollar question. Historically groups like RAS and others that consistently generate CLV are the most consistent winners in the market.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162890 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 11:14 am to
how's this for a close win, friend had TT under 370.5, by not converting on the 1yd line at the end of the game he won
Posted by bloupe2
Member since Apr 2011
2857 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 11:24 am to
Lol wow one yard... Clutch
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41018 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 12:02 pm to
Chem, how do you feel about NC State +4.5?

Still a play or better to just stay away now?
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
68035 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 12:20 pm to
i know you asked chem, but id be comfortable taking them at 4.5. It will likely be a .5U ML play for me.
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
38070 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 12:20 pm to
All of the rain is going to Charlotte. I'm staying away from the Belk Bowl.
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41018 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 12:35 pm to
Still looking at it, just can't pull the trigger yet.


I'm seeing Memphis +3 o/u 28.5 2H line.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 12:36 pm to
Honestly, I like my 6.5 much more than 4.5 but I still think it's a good play.
Posted by Broken Ear Glen
Baton Roog
Member since Mar 2010
1320 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 12:45 pm to
It's 5.5 across the board now
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:05 pm to
So I put in yesterday on
Cal ATS and ML after having an epiphany and realizing that it was so goddamn free that 27 states had it statutorily classified as larceny.

Unfortunately the same epiphany brought doubts with regards to the LSU game and so I cut that existing wager in half.

I'd estimate that I'm roughly 25-1 on plays that I get vaginal on and lower my amount. I'm not proud of that, and I have no idea why I'm apparently at my wisest when doubting my previously confident self.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:12 pm to
Today I'm on:
Aubie-2.5
Clanga-5
Clanga at -215

ESSS EEEEE SEEEEE

No action on the evening games thus far, but I may put in something last minute, and if I do I'll prolly go:
TAMU at +148*
USC-3.5 and/or
USC at -170


*ESSS EEEEE SEEEEE
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Chem, how do you feel about NC State +4.5?

Still a play or better to just stay away now?


I'm not Chem, but I got Cowbell at -5 and would have likely taken it up to -6.5.

For those of you who like the Wolfpack, are you perhaps forgetting the teeny tiny little detail they're focking terrible at the game of football?

But other than that....
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:33 pm to
Because after you've hit an 11 team parlay, a 3 teamer is like tying your shoes, right?

3 Team Parlay
Pending 12/30/15 3:30pm College Football 252 Mississippi State -5½ -117* vs NC State
Pending 12/30/15 7:00pm College Football 254 Texas A&M +165* vs Louisville
Pending 12/30/15 10:30pm College Football 256 USC -3½ -110* vs Wisconsin
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18160 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:41 pm to
72-59
bowl 11-8
M/L -200

Over Clem 65

Adding over NC st 30 1h
Posted by icegator337
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2013
3741 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:52 pm to
any word from dwyer?
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162890 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:52 pm to
I haven't decided on the game yet, but MSU isn't particularly good at football this season either. There's Dak Prescott.....and that's about it.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:58 pm to
Go home Bobbyray, you're drunk.
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