- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Official College Bowl Bet Thread
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:27 pm to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:27 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
No
Ok, Billy Walters. Explain to us minions the real reason for the line move.
2
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:28 pm to bayoucracka
It wasn't because of the weather.
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:28 pm to ChemE in the OP
Bowling green just throws up a prayer or turns it over
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:30 pm to ChemE in the OP
That's still not an answer.
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:31 pm to SumterCoDawg
quote:
0-3 on the day, I was like a 60-65% college bettor this year but I'm struggling early in these bowl games.
I lost my 'roll in like week 4 of the season (didn't practice sound bankroll management
), but needless to say I wasn't doing well. I'm off to a 4-1 start for bowl season, but I advise no one to tail me. If anything, fade me. That being said, I've locked in Western Mich -4 (-120) for tomorrow's early afternoon game.
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 10:35 pm
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:34 pm to bayoucracka
it could be that the public has just gotten smarter?
I mean there are a frick ton of bowls and even the casual bettor has to get one right.
I mean there are a frick ton of bowls and even the casual bettor has to get one right.
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:41 pm to LooseCannon22282
Could be, but posting "No" provides nothing. Especially when the poster has no more knowledge than anyone else.
Posted on 12/23/15 at 10:44 pm to Jon Ham
1-1 today and 8-2 so far this bowl season.
NIU -10 L
BGSU/GSU O64.5 W
Tomorrow I'm only on MTSU/WMU O63.5. Two good offenses, two bad defenses.
NIU -10 L
BGSU/GSU O64.5 W
Tomorrow I'm only on MTSU/WMU O63.5. Two good offenses, two bad defenses.
This post was edited on 12/23/15 at 10:45 pm
Posted on 12/23/15 at 11:11 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
That's still not an answer.
no one knows why they got steamed man. Its just one of those things. If any of us knew why, we would be ahead of the steam and not chasing it
Posted on 12/23/15 at 11:15 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
People taking the running team in bad weather
No
Give us the breakdown on what side the public was on then.
Posted on 12/24/15 at 12:05 am to oleyeller
Pretty much my point. No one really knows. $$ move the line... not betting percentages. Considering the line was over 7 for two weeks, and all of a sudden dropped 3 points on gameday... chances are that the weather was at least partly a factor.
Posted on 12/24/15 at 7:30 am to bayoucracka
BG was clearly the public side all week, the weather didn't change that. Some big money movers hit Ga Southern late and it's as simple as that. Most of the public tickets remained on BG even as the line was dropping, as a matter of fact the late public tickets were the only thing that kept the books liability down at all.
Posted on 12/24/15 at 7:33 am to SumterCoDawg
quote:
I was like a 60-65% college bettor this year
Posted on 12/24/15 at 7:37 am to rocket31
You have something to say?
Posted on 12/24/15 at 8:19 am to SumterCoDawg
On WMU -4 and the over for the 12 o'clock game. Probably not a bad idea to fade me at this point.
Posted on 12/24/15 at 8:25 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Some big money movers hit Ga Southern late and it's as simple as that.
I wonder why they would do such a thing.
And what's your professional insight as to why the total went from 66 to 63 on the day of the game without moving for two weeks?
Posted on 12/24/15 at 9:09 am to bayoucracka
Limits go up as you get closer to gameday, so many professionals wait until then so they can get as much money down as possible. This is why line movement on gameday is the biggest indicator of where professional money is & generally the only time you'll see true professional steam, not throughout the week.
This post was edited on 12/24/15 at 9:13 am
Posted on 12/24/15 at 9:26 am to Louie T
quote:
generally the only time you'll see true professional steam, not throughout the week.
sometimes they move early in the week. It doesn't mean they'd win, but lines do move. I can give you some example of this bowl season where steam moved before the game date.
But that's with football. On basketball, it usually moves on same day.
Posted on 12/24/15 at 9:27 am to PeteRose
65-54
bowl 4-3
Over clem 65
miami+3
Miami ML
Adding Which -4
bowl 4-3
Over clem 65
miami+3
Miami ML
Adding Which -4
Posted on 12/24/15 at 9:49 am to PeteRose
quote:
sometimes they move early in the week. It doesn't mean they'd win, but lines do move. I can give you some example of this bowl season where steam moved before the game date.
This.
Plus a steam move doesnt last 10-12 hours, and it usually doesn't move in unison with the total.
This is like someone asking, "Why did Apple stock jump 17 points today?", and people replying... "Big money movers". Great insight.
Page 11 of 49
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News