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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 1
Posted on 8/30/13 at 11:37 am to Flatt2Flowers04
Posted on 8/30/13 at 11:37 am to Flatt2Flowers04
Just a note for anyone considering A&M -27 tomorrow.
Manziel missing the first half is obviously the biggest name missing from a starting lineup, but Rice will also be without starters LB Cameron Nwosu and CB Phillip Gaines for the entire game. Top 2 defenders on the team and both were pre-season C-USA all conference. Gaines was the conference defensive POY last year as well. FWIW
Manziel missing the first half is obviously the biggest name missing from a starting lineup, but Rice will also be without starters LB Cameron Nwosu and CB Phillip Gaines for the entire game. Top 2 defenders on the team and both were pre-season C-USA all conference. Gaines was the conference defensive POY last year as well. FWIW
2
Posted on 8/30/13 at 11:53 am to DFWAggie09
Obviously you're biased but do you think your guys cover the 28?
This post was edited on 8/30/13 at 11:54 am
Posted on 8/30/13 at 11:55 am to DFWAggie09
After researching this SMU-TT matchup I'd have to lean SMU and the points. Too much uncertainty with the Red Raiders. Name and reputation is the only reason they are favored in this game. They'll be fortunate to come out of Dallas with a win.
New Coach and essentially a revamped offensive system
5th DC in the last 5 years
Walk on Freshman QB
Questions at OL and secondary
New Coach and essentially a revamped offensive system
5th DC in the last 5 years
Walk on Freshman QB
Questions at OL and secondary
Posted on 8/30/13 at 11:57 am to Jwodie
Isn't Tech starting a walk on true freshman QB tonight?
I am looking at NDSU +14 against KSU
FWIW, I follow Baylor closely. We struggle against teams that control the ball and keep it away from our offense. We should be able to score at will, despite starting a new QB this season,the question is will we be able to stop their long time consuming drives.
I am looking at NDSU +14 against KSU
FWIW, I follow Baylor closely. We struggle against teams that control the ball and keep it away from our offense. We should be able to score at will, despite starting a new QB this season,the question is will we be able to stop their long time consuming drives.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 11:58 am to BeYou
quote:
Isn't Tech starting a walk on true freshman QB tonight?
Just saw that, didn't realize Michael Brewer was out.
Staying away. May play the over 60 but that's it.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:00 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
By the same token you could say-
SMU lost a lot of important defensive players while Ward and the other playmakers on offense are back
Kliff will breathe fresh life into a program that Tubs had let get stale
And my favorite thing about this game...
Tech returns every starter from a pretty good front 7 last year. SMU returns only 2 starters on the O-Line along with the loss of their best offensive player (RB Zach Line).
I look for Tech to control the LOS and put a lot of pressure on Gilbert. And we all know Gilbert is prone to making his share of bad decisions. Add in a road environment that is about as intimidating as my grandma's poodle, and I like Tech laying less than a TD.
SMU lost a lot of important defensive players while Ward and the other playmakers on offense are back
Kliff will breathe fresh life into a program that Tubs had let get stale
And my favorite thing about this game...
Tech returns every starter from a pretty good front 7 last year. SMU returns only 2 starters on the O-Line along with the loss of their best offensive player (RB Zach Line).
I look for Tech to control the LOS and put a lot of pressure on Gilbert. And we all know Gilbert is prone to making his share of bad decisions. Add in a road environment that is about as intimidating as my grandma's poodle, and I like Tech laying less than a TD.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:03 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Your view of LSU's prospects is much more optimistic than mine evidently. Hope you're right!
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:04 pm to Memphis
got my teaser idea almost locked in 
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:10 pm to Jwodie
quote:
Obviously you're biased but do you think your guys cover the 28?
I honestly have no idea with this game. I feel confident enough that the 2 backup QB's can move the offense well enough to score plenty on Rice. I also don't think it's going to be the JFF second half arse pummeling everyone is expecting to see.
Sumlin is very good friends with Rice's head coach and has been for a long time. I don't see him intentionally running up the score if he doesn't have to. Also, there's no way Manziel plays with the 2nd stringers on offense and I only expect the first team to be out there for a series or two in the second half.
My game prediction is something like 24-7 at halftime, 41-14 at the end of the 3rd when Manziel gets pulled, and 48-24 final. Backups on defense playing most of the second half allow the backdoor cover.
I'm probably full of shite though so don't hold me to it.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:12 pm to DallasTiger45
Good information ..Just too much uncertainty for me to bet on this game. It'll be a no play
..Just too much uncertainty for me to bet on this game. It'll be a no play
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:12 pm to DFWAggie09
quote:
I'm probably full of shite though so don't hold me to it.
Fair enough. Your prediction of a backdoor cover does make sense.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:22 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
quote:
Good information ..Just too much uncertainty for me to bet on this game. It'll be a no play
In the interest of full disclosure, I locked in it before I knew Brewer was out...but I love all this discussion, keeps me sharp
Let's get it this weekend and start it off right!
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:41 pm to DallasTiger45
SMU is returning a lot and has Garrett Gilbert (former 5*) in his senior year.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:52 pm to Ford Frenzy
i like miami and fau over 54
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:54 pm to redfieldk717
I'm feeling some over action on Tech - 61.5
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:55 pm to redfieldk717
Miami may cover that number on their own
Posted on 8/30/13 at 12:55 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Only 9 people participating in the wagering pool on covers? come on peeps.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 1:02 pm to PurpleAndGold86
ETA: NVM - not touching the Tech game with a true freshman walk on QB playing
Posted on 8/30/13 at 1:06 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
ETA: NVM - not touching the Tech game with a true freshman walk on QB playing
To be fair, the kid did have a few D1 offers but decided to walk on at Tech instead.
Still doesn't change my mind of no play though.
Posted on 8/30/13 at 1:07 pm to BeYou
quote:
the kid did have a few D1 offers but decided to walk on at Tech instead
Where were the offers from though if he ended up having to walk on at Texas Tech?
That isn't what scares me, its more the true freshman thing that scares me away from thinking they will put up 35-40 points.
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