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re: NFL Wildcard Betting thread

Posted on 1/5/17 at 8:10 am to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45883 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 8:10 am to
Haven't looked at the lines yet.

Any excel gurus down to create some betting models?
Posted by reggo75
Iowa, LA
Member since Jan 2016
1433 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 12:35 pm to
Raiders +4 at Texans - Texans win and cover
Lions +8 at Seahawks - Seahawks win and cover
Dolphins +10 at Steelers - Steelers win but will not cover
Giants +4.5 at Packers - Staying off this one
Posted by Broken Ear Glen
Baton Roog
Member since Mar 2010
1320 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Green Bay's offensive line will struggle


Not nearly as much as NYGs o-line will struggle. GB has a top 10 offensive line.
This post was edited on 1/5/17 at 1:22 pm
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33196 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Against playoff teams, the Lions were 0-5, losing by an average of 10.6 points in those games.
This post was edited on 1/5/17 at 2:12 pm
Posted by NWLA Tiguh12
Member since Jul 2015
2410 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 3:01 pm to
Big on the Giants
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 3:04 pm to
Does Matt Ryan -265 for MVP seem really low?
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
48341 posts
Posted on 1/5/17 at 3:10 pm to
Raiders and Giants win outright. I like the Lions to pull a late backdoor cover and Pittsburgh will demolish Miami.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45883 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 10:44 am to
Lions +9

Let's ride boys
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18146 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 11:28 am to
reg season
114-99

props 23-30

M/L
9-11, +9.4 units

Pending
Pitt to win SB 10/1

Adding Hou/Oak U 18 1H
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66904 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 11:58 am to
Raiders +4 and I feel shitty about it.

Not sure either team can scor more than 17 pts
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66904 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 12:08 pm to
quote:


warm weather team going up north in January with a back up QB?


Granted buffalo was tanking but Miami beat buffalo in the snow a few weeks ago. Still like Pitt. Dolphins have a terrible run d, leveon bell will eat
Posted by HurricaneDunc
Houston
Member since Nov 2008
10472 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 1:16 pm to
I like Texans money line and under, even at an incredibly low 37. Two terrible offenses playing and two above average defenses. I'd be surprised to see Raiders score more than 10 with rookie QB.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45883 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:24 pm to
Oak +4
Lions +9

Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
116142 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:29 pm to
Miami line moved to 11. frick that's a lot
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45883 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:31 pm to
I think I saw it at 12 this morning. It's Miami or bust in that game -- don't know how you can lay that many in a playoff game.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
116142 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:32 pm to
I'm taking Miami. They are overrating the hell out of Pittsburgh
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12077 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:49 pm to
I bet over 3.5 sacks in the HOU/OAK game at -110 last night and went to add more this morning and it already jumped to -150.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
48341 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:49 pm to
Miami has a shot if Ajayi goes off again
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66904 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:53 pm to
Pittsburgh defense isn't great. Matt Moore has played ok (barely over 200 yds) but he is a veteran player.

Will be interesting game. I think we are in for some close match ups.
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
38063 posts
Posted on 1/7/17 at 2:55 pm to
Texans have moved to -4. I have no idea what to do in this game. My conscious tells me to take the under, but that is not happening.
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