re: Mike Postle "Cheating Allegations" in Poker

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How much has he won?

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About $250K over the course of a year and a half, I believe.

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About $250K over the course of a year and a half, I believe.

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When they included mix game streams including Pot Limit Omaha and Pot Limit Omaha Hi Lo and a couple of missed Holdem streams it was up to +$326,000 with 77 of 87 winning session in 2018 and 2019

Playing $1-$3 and $5-$5

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This guy is a greedy fricking moron for thinking he could make this win rate look legit.

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Probably has 1 or 2 guys he's splitting it with helping on the inside to feed him the cards so he just kept pushing the envelope.

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people making him out to be poker Jesus.

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I hear that may of been part of a PR stunt so players can come and play against a poker god.

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That's not even close to possible.

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Wait, are you saying a win percentage of 89% isn’t possible in poker?

The win rate combined with the way in which he wins the hands. He makes nearly flawless moves over these sessions, especially on the river. Go watch some of the hands on YouTube; it's insane!

LINK

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But Duncan Palamourdas, a math professor and UCLA extension instructor with specialization in poker education and author of the forthcoming book, Why Alex beats Bobbie?“, told Casino.org that, according to reports from analyst Doug Polk, Postle “never lost a game in something like 11 sessions, booking around $60k. From a purely mathematical standpoint, this is already unlikely.”

Palamourdas explained that “a very winning poker player has, at best, a 70 percent chance of booking a win in these kind of games. Even then, a player of that caliber would only have less than a 2 percent chance of booking 11 wins in a row. Much less, if we take into account that all [of] Postle’s wins were pretty significant for the stakes he was playing.”

The allegations have charged Postle somehow knew “the hole-cards of his opponents,” Palamourdas said. “Apparently, there has been no formal proof, but only substantial circumstantial evidence.”

Palamourdas noted, too, how analyst Joey Ingram claimed Postle “pretty much played each river nearly perfectly, and only lost when he failed to bluff a weak hand out of the pot.”

“There are way more rivers than there are sessions, so even a player who can play, say, 90 percent of those rivers correctly — already a huge stretch, but let’s pretend it is the case, for the sake of the argument — has less than a 0.003 percent chance of playing perfectly over 100 different rivers. That’s 33,333 to 1 against,” Palamourdas said.

“Let’s also not forget that this calculation assumes a player who can make the right river decision 9/10 times,” he added. “If Mike’s skill is more pragmatic, these odds drop substantially.”

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VPIP tracks the percentage of hands in which a particular player voluntarily puts money into the pot preflop. VPIP increases when a player could fold but instead commits money to the pot preflop. This includes limping (merely calling the big blind), calling, and raising.

Posting the small and big blinds does not influence the VPIP statistic. These actions are involuntary and therefore give no useful information on player tendencies.

BB/100 = The number of big blinds you win per 100 hands.

The higher your VPIP is the lower your BB/100 should be...generally. But wouldn't you play more hands if you knew what everyone was holding?

Yeah but it looks like what really screwed him and finally flipped the switch for everybody else were the hands where he had the clear advantage but always knew to fold because his opponent pulled a rabbit out of their arse.

Saw a video by gumpenstein or something like that, who pinpointed the transition from phone on the rail to phone in the lap on July 18, 2018 at the 2:01 mark. His win rate exponentially increased after that time.

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Mike Postle, Stones Parties Hit With $10M Lawsuit

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Stones Gambling Hall, Stones Tournament Director Justin Kuraitis (lead photo right) and a number of other unnamed defendants have been hit with a $10 million lawsuit, according to a publicly posted court document from Mac VerStandig, attorney for the plaintiffs.

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LINK

i posted teh complaint on the previous page

poker player Kelly Minkin is one of the attorneys