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re: I quit sportsbetting

Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:20 am to
Posted by The White Lobster
Member since Jul 2009
16764 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:20 am to
Honestly, it sounds like you should pick better.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:21 am to
Part of the reason why I moved away from Las Vegas.
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
30539 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:22 am to
Vegas STAAAAAAAAAAACKED
GHAZI FUUUUUUUUUUCKED
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:24 am to
quote:

Honestly, it sounds like you should pick better.


In all honestly football is unbeatable when it comes to sports betting. There is a lot of research done by some guys that prove this. You can get lucky over the short run, maybe even for a single season, but over time you can't beat it

The value sports were what I made all my money in, just to lose it all in football. If I didn't bet on football, I could have stayed in Las Vegas.

Value Sports:

-Baseball Plus Money. If you only bet plus money in baseball, by finding out money lines, run lines, or totals that are at plus money with good value, you can grind out a profit over the season

-College Basketball. The sheer amount of games every day means there will be some lines that are off and won't be touched by the public. Public betting is also easy to ride as well, bigger than any sport

-WNBA. Easiest sport to win money on. My cash cow this past summer for sure.
Posted by boosiebadazz
Member since Feb 2008
85817 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:27 am to
When you bet WNBA games, you have a problem.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87783 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:28 am to
that duke one is one of the worst beats ever.
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:29 am to
I wanna say mid major college football has soft beatable lines too.

Dunno about all that, I just usually do NFL/NBA/college football.

and I run like frickING shite.

Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:30 am to
quote:

When you bet WNBA games, you have a problem.


I won WNBA sides this past season at a 64% clip and made a lot of money

It is seriously the easiest sport to bet on, and a lot of the sharps/pros in Las Vegas zeroed in on the WNBA. It was actually pretty fun sitting in the LVH getting excited with others about a late night WNBA game.

I didn't get ruined by betting on sports in Las Vegas, I left because it was too much of a distraction. I was always checking scores and such at work to where I couldn't focus on my job, would be pissed and mopy at work when I lost a bet, and was spending too much time at the books.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:32 am to
quote:

I wanna say mid major college football has soft beatable lines too.


In the past, yes, but they have gotten a lot better at these lines. It was mid major football that did me in this year, more so than other years.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:35 am to
quote:

In all honestly football is unbeatable when it comes to sports betting.


maybe NFL, but i know several who bank yearly on cfb
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:39 am to
quote:

maybe NFL, but i know several who bank yearly on cfb


NFL is the worst sport to bet on, which is why it has the highest limits and why books run all the promotions to draw people in on Sundays.

Someone did a study of all the winners of the LVH super contest, and how in the end its all pretty much flipping a coin.

I have never placed a bet on a single NFL game.

I saw a guy destroy a wooden cubby at the LVH to shreds during the Saints/Redskins Week 1 game this year. It's what you get for betting on the NFL
Posted by boosiebadazz
Member since Feb 2008
85817 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 1:40 am to
GHAZI could beat those odds. I mean he's good at poker for Allah's sake!
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 2:19 am to
starting to feel NBA isn't beatable either... if fricking Ghazstrodamus can't beat it nobody can.
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
41214 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 3:54 am to
quote:

It was actually pretty fun sitting in the LVH getting excited with others about a late night WNBA game.


Good God man.
Posted by 20MuleTeam
West Hartford
Member since Sep 2012
3862 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 6:40 am to
Degenerate gambler
Posted by TotesMcGotes
New York, New York
Member since Mar 2009
27900 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 6:50 am to
But you had that great system. It was in that thread you started that no one posted in.
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 6:51 am to
all i all. as I tally it up. it turns out Im probably running 7K below expected value.

Which means I should be a slight winner sportbetting in my brief career.

Ive made a lot of bad picks ... I'll admit it... but as it turns out it seems like I'm on a lot of right side loser picks and very rarely on wrong side winner picks.
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 6:52 am to
that wasn't a system.

That was a great thread though. surprised nobody commented on it.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 6:53 am to
quote:

How do you think the house stays in business? In the long run, most lose. They prey on your self-perceived exceptionalism.


My bookie handed me an envelope last week with 70 one hundred dollar bills. I don't know what y'all bitches talking about. Sports gambling is easy.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 12/28/12 at 6:54 am to
quote:

In all honestly football is unbeatable when it comes to sports betting. There is a lot of research done by some guys that prove this. You can get lucky over the short run, maybe even for a single season, but over time you can't beat it


College football is very very beatable.
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