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I need some good bets for the tourney today.

Posted on 3/22/24 at 8:36 am
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
47716 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 8:36 am
I went 0fer yesterday on my bets (frick Nevada and BYU). Got any locks for today.
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
5254 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 8:41 am to
UConn -26.5
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6687 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 8:51 am to
Thinking about Colorado +1.5 after how the SEC looked yesterday
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
8166 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:01 am to
quote:

Thinking about Colorado +1.5 after how the SEC looked yesterday


This type of logic has never made any sense to me.

So Florida is going to lose today, because other SEC teams lost yesterday? Explain this line of thinking to me please
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6687 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:04 am to
The SEC is overall weaker than previously thought. But that’s not the only reason. Secondly, Florida suffered the injury to the big guy in their last game. Thirdly, if you look at the last few seasons, a team that wins a play-in game lots of times wins another.

Florida may win but I like Colorado
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32655 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:07 am to
I know nothing but I'd check out FAU. I watched them play a few weeks back and they looked like the same team that made the final four last year. Very dangerous 8 seed.
Posted by theLSUdon17
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Nov 2023
87 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:12 am to
RE: The SEC is overall weaker than previously thought. But that’s not the only reason. Secondly, Florida suffered the injury to the big guy in their last game. Thirdly, if you look at the last few seasons, a team that wins a play-in game lots of times wins another.
---------------------------------------------------
Solid points. I had florida picked in my brackets but was thinking the same thing and bet small unit on Colorado to hedge my bracket lol.

My real favorite bet for the day is a +270 3 team parlay
NM ML
FAU ML
SDSU ML
+270
Posted by theLSUdon17
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Nov 2023
87 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:16 am to
RE:I know nothing but I'd check out FAU.....Very dangerous 8 seed."
----------------------------------------------------

I am all in on FAU as well i wish they didnt play uconn in R2 if they get out of R1.
I think Auburn, Uconn, and Illinois was the hardest region to draw---I feel like those 3 teams are half of the real championship contenders.
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6687 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:18 am to
I’m a little scared of New Mexico. Seems like the one everybody is on sometimes doesn’t work out. See McNeese yesterday. And that conference has historically underperformed.
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
6555 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:23 am to
Yale team total under 63.5
Posted by migui8618
Member since Nov 2023
132 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Explain this line of thinking to me please


SEC sucks. It's remarkable you couldn't make that connection yourself.
Posted by theLSUdon17
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Nov 2023
87 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:28 am to
RE: "SEC sucks. It's remarkable you couldn't make that connection yourself."
---------------------------------------------------------
Tough guy eh?
Posted by theLSUdon17
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Nov 2023
87 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:30 am to
LMAO facts. I was a lot more hyped on NM before I heard everyone else taking it.

Will say #11 seeds are 22-17 since 2014 (including 3-0 this tourney) in the 1st round.

Seems like the 6-11 matchup is hard to get right for the bracketmasters
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17406 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Florida may win but I like Colorado
I had already picked whoever came out that play in game to beat Florida too well before any games were played yesterday
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25456 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:45 am to
16 games yesterday
12 of them had higher 2nd halfs totals than 1st.
2 of them had the same totals in each half.
2 of them had higher 1st halfs, one by just 2 points, the other by 9 (creighton/Akron).

early games are notorious for the first half being an under.

You can take a 3 leg parlay for the first 3 games to have higher 2nd halfs, and it'll get you to + money.



That being said, i said 1st halfs are notoriousfor being under in the first round. It's been around 55-60% that last few years in favor of the unders.
Yesterday 10 games went over in the first half, and 6 went under.
I think that makes it highly likely you're going to see a want to get back to the mean, and we should see a bunch of under results today in the first half.
But who the frick knows.




I'm taking Colgate for my no sweat double digit upset on DK at +675
took Oakland yesterday.



I think everyone is so high on James Madison, just like McNeese, that Wisconsin comes out and kicks their arse, just like Gonzaga did. If the public really likes something in March Madness, it usually goes the other way.
I think Colgate and Vermont have potential for upsets, and I could see Clemson kicking New Mexico's arse as everyone seems to be high on the 11 seed New Mexico. They are actually the favorite now. CLemson kicked Boise States arse earlier in the year, and New Mexico played no one outside of conference except St. Mary's, who kicked their arse. The MWC is overrated with their 6 teams making the tourney. They are 0-3 so far, and their teams have been terrible offensively. Boise State scored 53, Nevade scored 60, and let Dayton go on a 24-4 run for the last 7 minutes of the game, and Colorado St scored a meager 44, the lowest in the tourney thus far.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25456 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:48 am to
quote:

I know nothing but I'd check out FAU. I watched them play a few weeks back and they looked like the same team that made the final four last year. Very dangerous 8 seed.




Took them on FD to make the final four. They had a 25% boost so its at +4500. I think that's the toughest bracket hands down, as i could see SDSU, Auburn, Illinois, ISU and obviously Uconn all making it. You can easily make a case for all of them. But FAU returned a lot of guys from their Final Four team, as did SDSU.
Posted by TheWalrus
Member since Dec 2012
40437 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:50 am to
FAU has some really bad losses, they are hot and cold. I could see them getting blown out by Northwestern.
Posted by migui8618
Member since Nov 2023
132 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Tough guy eh?


Smarmy more like it. But that sounds way over your pay grade.
Posted by lsugerberbaby
baton rouge
Member since Mar 2008
2759 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:52 am to
I'm taking Charleston (+9.5) today against Bama. I think the Croatian, Ante Brzovic gives the exposed SEC fits.

I'll also be hitting the ML at +360.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25456 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 10:00 am to
not a bad pick going with Charleston.

Bama is like Kentucky. They could lose to Charleston, or beat them by 25, and neither result would be surprising.
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