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re: Cfb week 8 bet thread

Posted on 10/15/18 at 6:58 pm to
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82860 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 6:58 pm to
So 11 hits more than 12. Thanks for confirming its more of a key number, not as important as 3,4, or 7 obviously, but still more key.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

confirming its more of a key number,


its not more of a key number.. actually totally the opposite, a dead number.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

its not more of a key number.. actually totally the opposite, a dead number.


What a weird hill to die on...


But you are a retard so I'm not that surprised
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

What a weird hill to die on...


But you are a retard so I'm not that surprised


yet i gave every single statistical fact behind it, and here you are calling someone a retard with absolutely zero data other than (11 is more key than 12)... i understand if this is your first year betting. You have to learn somewhere.
Posted by RandySavage
9 Time Natty Winner
Member since May 2012
35466 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 9:41 pm to
LSU - 6.5?
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

oleyeller


Ya know, this is why we created that group chat a couple years back.

Oddly enough, I will be in Vegas again the first weekend in November. Ah the good ole days.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Ya know, this is why we created that group chat a couple years back.


lol still in the betting groupme.. for like 4 yrs now. cant deal with some of these idiots dude. i come here from time to time for some fb talk, but geez man, cant fix stupid
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Oddly enough, I will be in Vegas again the first weekend in November. Ah the good ole days.



i remember wen u died there
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 10/15/18 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

lol still in the betting groupme.. for like 4 yrs now. cant deal with some of these idiots dude. i come here from time to time for some fb talk, but geez man, cant fix stupid




You're such a shark. Share you're secrets from bum frick Tennessee while working your mechanic job
Posted by TheRoarRestoredInBR
Member since Dec 2004
31120 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 12:11 am to
Barry, it depends on College vs NFL(greater in value than NCAA), and though I'm not familiar with recent data. Years ago, WizardofOdds website, and Stanford Wong's book 'Sharp Sports Betting' had good Teaser charts, and info. Google them.

WizardofOdds.com still has the charts available. And though getting older..Wong's book still is a must read.

Scroll to Pages 23 to 33.. Killersports Teaser Strategy and Charts

Listen to VSiN, Mitch Moss and Gil Alexander usually mention the weekly updated NFL Teaser stats, which as of a week ago, were crushing it, as either side be it Dog or Chalk..were hitting at an alarming rate.

This post was edited on 10/16/18 at 12:19 am
Posted by Pocket Kingz
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2013
1762 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 2:00 am to
Season 15-7 / 0-3 (3 pick parlays) +5.7 units


Vanderbilt +11
Mizzou -9.5

2 pick parlay (+257) (4.6 units)


This post was edited on 10/16/18 at 2:04 am
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 5:09 am to
quote:

Like I said, twice as many as a 12 point difference, so yes, that point is important.


Do you have data on that?
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 5:13 am to
quote:

Out of 23,768 games from 1980-2015... a grand total of 577 games landed at 11, and 434 landed at 12.

compare that to a real key number in 10 where 1007 games hit, or 14 977games hit.. which is double or almost double the rate of anything 11,12,1



I'm interested in where you get this data.

Not because I don't believe you, but because that's useful information and I would like access to it.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 5:37 am to
Just took a first glance at the lines. A couple of them look quite interesting.

Army-8 against Hipster Miami
Cal-6.5 against Dogshhit Oregon State
Ga So-12 against puretrash NMSU.
Arky-6 against Tulsa
Fresno-14 at New Mex
Utah St-15 at wyoming
Penn State-14 at Indiana
La Tech +23.5 v. Utep
Temple-3.5
Buffalo+1.5

Off the top of my head
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 7:25 am to
quote:

I'm interested in where you get this data.


again this is just up to 2015... you can dig more if you like. But 35yrs worth the data gives you a good idea

LINK
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97646 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:27 am to
quote:

lol still in the betting groupme


miss that group. Got SDV in big trouble

Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:47 am to
quote:

miss that group. Got SDV in big trouble





lmao..those data limits though
Posted by TexasSinger
Front Row
Member since Feb 2006
4538 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Utah State ATS: 6-0 Utah State Over: 6-0


Barry I’ve been riding USU heavy all year.

Utah St is -15.5 against an awful Wyoming offensive team. Very surprised it’s that low. Really thought it would be closer to -21. Jumping on it unless I’m missing something. Anybody have extra intel on this one?

Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
9316 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:42 am to
Oregon-Wash. St. line is all over the place. Swapped sides a couple of times
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/17/18 at 3:28 am to
quote:

again this is just up to 2015... you can dig more if you like. But 35yrs worth the data gives you a good idea

LINK



Thanks
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