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re: CFB Gambling Thread: Week 1

Posted on 8/28/18 at 11:29 am to
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32480 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Anyone have any comments?


quote:

Moneyline parlay as follows, 1 Unit
a) Wisconsin
b) Oklahoma
c) Ohio State
d) Alabama


yeah, its nice ur book lets ml wagers on 30pt favs
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 12:36 pm to
Possibly. Navy definitely burns clock, but they usually score touchdowns on those long drives, which i’m fine with. They’ll be running through hawaii like swiss cheese by the 4th. The returning O production for Navy vs the returning D production for Hawaii is a big mismatch. I’ll take 35-28
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
81916 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 12:38 pm to
of course you are in a gambling thread, degenerate
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:00 pm to
No doubt. Gotta make some extra coin during the Fall. You still living the dream?
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
81916 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:11 pm to
yep, one parlay at a time
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1487 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:48 pm to
Trying to set bias aside but I'm somewhat surprised to see so many people on Texas at double digits.

Is most everyone of the mindset that Maryland is a disaster with the Durkin fallout?

They mudholed Texas in Austin last year with a backup true freshman playing QB in the second half.

I think Texas wins, but double digits, on the road, NFL stadium environment, with a lot of the questions they have on offense? Maybe a little high?
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
27698 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 1:59 pm to
Isn’t Texas’ defense supposed to be good this season?

What questions do they have on O, outside of the QB situation.

Maryland returns 8 on offense, including the QB, and 5 on defense. Texas returns 7 on both sides of the ball. Texas won 4 of their last 6, and lost a bunch of close games. Maryland lost their last 4, albeit to some stiff competition, and got whooped in their season finale.

The talent on Texas’ roster is far superior to Maryland’s.
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1487 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

What questions do they have on O, outside of the QB situation.


From what I've read, it sounds like most of it centers around the QB, o-line and run game. I was a little surprised it looks like the line has only moved 3-3.5 from opening to today, even after all the Maryland fallout.

Not arguing any of the other points and like I said, I'm trying to not let my bias be the reason I miss an obvious play on opening weekend.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
27698 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 2:21 pm to
I’m not arguing either.

I just want to make sure I’m making the right play.
Posted by Faceplant
Member since Jul 2017
1016 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 2:52 pm to
My play is 90% a fade on maryland and the fact that canada just had that cesspool program dumped in his lap a couple weeks ago. pretty hard to imagine theyve kept their focus and intensity up for a Herman grudge match week 1

That said, I only liked it for half a unit since I didnt get in at -10 like it seems most did
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
27698 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 2:59 pm to
Yup.

Canada has only been with MD for a few months too.

I’m thinking maybe put 2 units on Texas. This seems like a strong play.

How do y’all feel about Minnesota and UCLA?
Posted by Faceplant
Member since Jul 2017
1016 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 3:29 pm to
I jumped on the gophers -17 during the NMST game the other night

I thought about a ucla 1st half play until all those suspensions came down. probably a stay away for me
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Minnesota

If this were in the middle of the season I'd be contrarian and be all over NMSU and Col St. this week. Since it's so early, I'm just going to do a small parlay with those two.

Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80277 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 7:59 pm to
Early bets:
Wake forest -6 tulane is bad defensively
New mex st +21
Oregon st +39 just on principle
Notre dame / mich under 47.5
Lsu miami under 47.5
Posted by kjntgr
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
8719 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 10:22 pm to
Is anyone betting the BAMA GAME?
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6897 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

Is anyone betting the BAMA GAME?

Bama first half or nothing for me. Probably nothing.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6897 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 11:06 pm to
quote:

Sharps are on the (Miami/LSU) over per someone I follow on Twitter, which is wild to me. I just don't see it.

This total is intriguing as hell to me. It opened around 45 and actually hit 49 for a bit, and now it’s sitting at 48. There’s literally nothing about these teams or this matchup that says Over. It makes me wonder if some syndicate bet it up when the limits were low, and they are planning to come in huge on the Under at some point.
Posted by Faceplant
Member since Jul 2017
1016 posts
Posted on 8/29/18 at 6:42 am to
quote:

There’s literally nothing about these teams or this matchup that says Over


This all day. the under was the first bet I locked this yr I think. I just cant envision either team putting many sustained drives together. It has 17-10 written all over it to me. but who knows
Posted by bstew3006
318
Member since Dec 2007
12763 posts
Posted on 8/29/18 at 6:48 am to
quote:


Is anyone betting the BAMA GAME?


Louisville +26

I see Petrino getting 17-21 pts in the first game against a green secondary.
Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 8/29/18 at 7:43 am to
I’m on Bama/Louisville over. I think Petrino gets some points, as well.
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