re: CFB bets week 9

quote:

---

Ohh okay. I'm still not sure how to use that information in an analysis of a line. Should I lean to bet lines that have the odds lower than 1.952?

---

That's the theory. Pinnacle juices the side they don't want you to take. You can't use carte blanche, but it is another tool to evaluate a game....especially when your book's line is different from theirs.

Read my subsequent post a few below that one. They are there, but must be mined. Google 'Pinny Lean' and read, it is somewhat complicated, and has multiple folks with varying perspectives on just what is, and/or how good. AS mentioned by Lee, can't be followed blindly. Is not as wildly static as formerly, but still the strongest opinion in the world on average.

Especially for Halftimes of Football & Hoops, where time is limited, and no need for 'theatrics', 'tricks', and 'phonies', by the BMs nor wiseguys like Billy Walters, Billy Baxter, etc..to manipulate the numbers/marketplace. A more honest betting market due to being condensed in timeframe, per se.

P.S. The 1.901 etc..numbers you are seeing is in Decimal pricing(for Euros/Asians/etc..), go to the box at the top left, switch it to North American pricing. During Halftimes or nearing Gametime, hit your refresh button often, it will show the drifts.

To answer the original question, unfortunately, the pinny lean can no longer be counted on to make any player thousands of dollars while asking nothing in return. For anyone new(ish) to online sports, what's referred to as the 'pinny lean' is simply the tilt established toward one side or the other at pinnaclesports.com. Before the passage of the UIGEA and the cancellation of pinnacle's North American accounts, the brilliance of their sports staff, combined with careful attention to select sharp players' accounts basically turned the pinnacle lean into a free-to-anybody professional picking service that consistently won greater than 52.4% of its leans. Since pinnacle had excellent limits, sharps could play without any obfuscation and it was therefore easy for pinny to tag those accts. Unfortunately, many of those folks were playing under US facing accounts, and so in the post UIEGA world, their expertise (and their impact on the lean) was lost. Around that time, the Pinnacle ownership group was also expanding into brick and mortar casinos and didn't want to attract any governmental attention, so they've strictly enforced the ban. That lack of 'early warning indicator' players led to a less effective lean. After Pinny lost its North American business, much of that very talented management team left for greener pastures, so in pretty short order the Pinny lean lost both the sharp players and sharp managers that so effectively set the lean 'back in the day'. That said, the current management team is also quite bright, so I still note the lean on every play I make. It may not be the goose laying the golden eggs anymore, but the lean can still be used as a tool to aid your profitability...

ETA - These aren't my words, but the words of someone I respect on the topic.

I want to make a lot of money

just dropped my whole balance on okie st

Troy crowd lookin' good.

ALMOST threw down on them but I'm a wee bit gun shy after the arse raping I took last weekend.

I'm calling it boys, this is the week we let the MSB down

what the frick rickie, you tell me after i put $100 on okie st?

RICKIE.

W
T
F

DUDE

Don't speak to soon chemE that over may hit after a few OT sessions