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Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:01 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
Not saying Arky wont come out and roll but dont bet it because they played liked shite against ole miss.
I have Arky in a teaser at 2.5. and yes Vandy's secondary is very good. I believe they lead the nation in picks(if not they did, and are probably pretty close to the top).
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:03 pm to DovaVol
Yeah i think Arky will win obviously and like the tease you got.
all i was getting at is betting on teams to come out firing/pissed after a lose or close win to a shitty team is not smart to me, at least the times ive bet that it just doesnt seem to matter
all i was getting at is betting on teams to come out firing/pissed after a lose or close win to a shitty team is not smart to me, at least the times ive bet that it just doesnt seem to matter
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:09 pm to wish i was tebow
That's why I'm staying away from the Oklahoma game...
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:10 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
That's why I'm staying away from the Oklahoma game...
I agree. My dad played at OU so they are my second favorite team after LSU but No way id bet them in this game. K-State is a solid football team and OU/Landry Jones does not play well on the road. I think OU will get a win i just dont see it being by 14+
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:15 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
all i was getting at is betting on teams to come out firing/pissed after a lose or close win to a shitty team is not smart to me, at least the times ive bet that it just doesnt seem to matter
I see what you're saying
. I think Wisconsin is a better team than OSU though. I believe it was on here that I read someone say that if MSU and Wisky played 10 times that Wisconsin would win 6 or 7 of them. Personally I think that number is more 8 or 9. WVU is more of a bet that their offense will get back on track and Rutgers won't be able to keep up. I'm with yall on OU. That line coupled with the fact that they are playing a good K-State team has me staying away. I haven't seen much out of OU at all in the past two weeks.
This post was edited on 10/25/11 at 4:17 pm
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:17 pm to DovaVol
i like arky because, vandy is still a terrible team. yeah, i know that they did bad last week. they will be prepared this week, and i bet everyone will be jumping on vandy.
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:17 pm to DovaVol
quote:
I think Wisconsin is a better team than OSU though.
I agree with you on that. Wisconsin just shite their pants Mich St played a really good game and deserved to win but Wisconsin would beat them more often than not
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:27 pm to wish i was tebow
Anybody getting some action on this Troy FIU game? I watched the Panthers last week and they looked so-so, thinking of taking Troy and the 7 points
Posted on 10/25/11 at 4:50 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
We discussed this one page back...
Posted on 10/25/11 at 5:18 pm to Hullabaloo
quote:
as someone who used to parlay alot, stop.
you're essentially doing this
If anyone takes anything away from this thread, this has got to be the single most important post. NO ONE SHOULD DO PARLAYS ON A CONSISTENT BASIS!
Posted on 10/25/11 at 5:20 pm to ChemE in the OP
3 game parlay
Cal -4
Stanford -7
Wisconsin -3.5
Cal -4
Stanford -7
Wisconsin -3.5
Posted on 10/25/11 at 5:22 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
If anyone takes anything away from this thread, this has got to be the single most important post. NO ONE SHOULD DO PARLAYS ON A CONSISTENT BASIS!
I think a parlay a week with money you can lose is fine. I mean think about it, you bet 20 bucks a week on parlays you will prb come out close to even. The price of entertainment.
Posted on 10/25/11 at 5:22 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:Why stop only halfway through the season? Put some money on 5dimes.
Im retired so i wouldnt listen to me much anymore I havent studied a single game this week.
Posted on 10/25/11 at 5:26 pm to reb13
quote:You are mistaken there. 9 times out of 10, you won't come out even. This is especially true now that the season is 8 weeks in, lines are extremely sharp and there is no wiggle room like earlier in the season
I think a parlay a week with money you can lose is fine. I mean think about it, you bet 20 bucks a week on parlays you will prb come out close to even.
Posted on 10/25/11 at 5:28 pm to TheRoarRestoredInBR
quote:
And Pinnaclesports for their 'Pinny Leans', can't stress it enough, is the sharpest free info, that the majority of folks, will ever get their hands on.
I'm not seeing anything on 'Pinny Leans'
LINK
This post was edited on 10/25/11 at 5:29 pm
Posted on 10/25/11 at 6:21 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:Depends on your win %. If you can find something that works 55% to 60% of the time, then you're coming out ahead - considering 3 team max parlay.
You are mistaken there. 9 times out of 10, you won't come out even
Even better if you have a bookie that doesn't understand correlated parlays.
For the average Joe, parlays are -EV.
This post was edited on 10/25/11 at 6:33 pm
Posted on 10/25/11 at 6:28 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:Look where Pinnacle leans to 1 side of the line with their pricing. Ex: anything less than 1.952 on 1 side of the line. When looking at this it also helps to know what line other books have the game at as well.
I'm not seeing anything on 'Pinny Leans'
Posted on 10/25/11 at 6:28 pm to GeauxTigersLee
quote:I rarely see anyone doing 2 team parlays. Pretty much all 3 teams +
considering 2 team max parlay.
Posted on 10/25/11 at 6:30 pm to GeauxTigersLee
quote:Ohh okay. I'm still not sure how to use that information in an analysis of a line. Should I lean to bet lines that have the odds lower than 1.952?
Look where Pinnacle leans to 1 side of the line with their pricing. Ex: anything less than 1.952 on 1 side of the line. When looking at this it also helps to know what line other books have the game at as well.
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