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Message
re: CFB bets week 7
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:24 pm to TigerTatorTots
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:24 pm to TigerTatorTots
i m 15-3 in all nfl games, hit 2 straight 4 team parlays before to win over $570. if giants hit, i would've won two of my teasers and my card. i always lost one team out of 4 
3
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:29 pm to tigerNation09
15-3 on NFL is insanely amazing.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:35 pm to TigerTatorTots
tots, why you no talk in my nfl bet thread last week? btw, you have made me some good money in college football. last year in cfb, i was like 14 for 23 hahaha
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:37 pm to tigerNation09
quote:I don't bet NFL
tots, why you no talk in my nfl bet thread last week?
quote:
btw, you have made me some good money in college football.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:48 pm to tigerNation09
quote:
15-3 in all nfl games
Posted on 10/11/11 at 6:53 pm to LSUJuice
I've got
Ok St -8
K St +3
Iowa St +15
Fla St -13.5
UCF +3.5
Oregon -16
Alabama -25.5
6 pt teaser, Auburn now +8 and Georgia -5
Ok St -8
K St +3
Iowa St +15
Fla St -13.5
UCF +3.5
Oregon -16
Alabama -25.5
6 pt teaser, Auburn now +8 and Georgia -5
Posted on 10/11/11 at 7:28 pm to LSUJuice
i got GT -1 at uva! letssdooeeitt
ok st -1
lsu - 9.5
straight moneyy!
money money money.
who are they playing?
i don't know how good duke is, but ill prob take fl st also
i m on the other side,SMU mustangss
risky here, i would go either way
Alabama -25.5
hopefully they don't call off the dogs early.
ok st -1
lsu - 9.5
quote:
Ok St -8
straight moneyy!
quote:
K St +3
money money money.
quote:
Iowa St +15
who are they playing?
quote:
Fla St -13.5
i don't know how good duke is, but ill prob take fl st also
quote:
UCF +3.5
i m on the other side,SMU mustangss
quote:
Oregon -16
risky here, i would go either way
Alabama -25.5
quote:
Alabama -25.5
hopefully they don't call off the dogs early.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 7:45 pm to tigerNation09
Iowa State is at Missouri.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 9:07 pm to tigerNation09
quote:
15-3 in all nfl games, hit 2 straight 4 team parlays before to win over $570. if giants hit, i would've won two of my teasers and my card. i always lost one team out of 4
I do much better on the NFL games too...I don't know enough about all these college teams, so I bet on the few I know about and take ya'lls advice on the rest...OVerall this year, I've probably been less that 50% on my college games, but luckily I have won most all of my big games including the night I mopped up on the Bama/Fl game.....
I've done amazingly well on NFL this year...Not sure my record, and I don't feel like taking the time to look it up but I'm probably hitting around 75%. Not this past Sunday, but Sunday before I went 9-0, although 6 of those were on a tease, I still won them.
I know my luck isn't going to continue, so I've been pulling money out the last 2 weeks to keep a modest balance in my account and don't get greedy and lose big one weekend.
My initial deposit was $100, and I've pulled out withdrawals of $180 and $150, and I have $190 in my account. Not a bad month of betting.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 9:50 pm to supadave3
nothing like wandering over to the 5dimes blackjack table, telling yourself you are done once you spend $8 ($1 hands) and walk away with an extra $12 in your account
Posted on 10/11/11 at 9:53 pm to CE Tiger
quote:You, Vol, and tebow need to read my post on the last page regarding adding an extra game in a parlay just to hedge. Ill copy/paste
CE Tiger
quote:
It really is an untapped well that no one really thinks about. I always throw the late game in a parlay just to increase the parlay odds. Either that or some Random arse NFL game that I think the line might move alot to where I hedge before game time but the line has shifted since my parlay bet so there is a 1 or 2 point window where i win both bets
Okay, after much discussion with betting 'gurus' who know a shitload more that us, this is a terrible strategy. Reason being, if you leave the last game off, and your parlay hits, you win more money than if you hedge.
I'll do a new example since the other one I had was for 5dimes odds.
3 team parlay bet of $10 wins you $60.
4 team parlay bet of $10 wins you $100
Why even through that last game on there, knowing you will hedge because AT BEST, you walk away with $50 from whatever side wins MINUS the juice you used to bet the losing side. You are losing a lot of money by employing this strategy.
quote:
This is actually with 5dimes odds of 12/1 on a 4 team teaser which is different than the industry standard of 10/1. I didn't realize it until I was checking out odds on another site other than 5dimes and realized 10/1 is the typical 4 team parlay payout
I'll use some number as an example.
Say you bet a 3 team parlay for $10...if all three hit, you win $60.
If you use the 'throw on another later game to hedge' approach, you will bet $10 to win $122.83
Initially it may look like you have more of a return by hedging the last game, win a $61.42 guaranteed profit. However, that is not the case. Factor in the 10% juice that you lose on your losing bet ($6 in this example), you are actually giving yourself a lower return on the same exact bet if you would have just gone with the 3 team parlay.
I hope that clears things up a little, and I hope that made sense.
This post was edited on 10/11/11 at 9:53 pm
Posted on 10/11/11 at 9:53 pm to CE Tiger
quote:
wandering over to the 5dimes blackjack table
I've done this before and lost a good chunk of the money I've won over the weekend. I'm committed to not making that mistake again.....Good luck!
Posted on 10/11/11 at 10:00 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
You, Vol, and tebow need to read my post on the last page regarding adding an extra game in a parlay just to hedge.
id only throw a late night parlay in if i like the line and think i have a good shot. however in last weeks scenario where i needed a&m to win to hit the rest of my 4 teamer i probably should have thrown a little money down on tech so i would come out winning something.... but yea im not just going to throw a 4th team in because its a late night game.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 10:02 pm to CE Tiger
Yea, only throw that 4th game on if you plan on going fully through with the parlay. No point in throwing the 4th game on knowing in advance you will be hedging the last game
Posted on 10/11/11 at 10:55 pm to TigerTatorTots
I'm on
Pitt-7
OK ST-8
BAMA- 25.5
Then a bunch of parlays and teasers
Pitt-7
OK ST-8
BAMA- 25.5
Then a bunch of parlays and teasers
Posted on 10/11/11 at 11:02 pm to wegotdatwood
Yeah Utah sucks, and Pitt should have won @Utah last year. I think Okie St.-Texas is one of those too good to be true deals, but i still might tap that if i do alright on Thursday.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 11:11 pm to Esarhaddon
I have $140 on bama. I think Ole Miss is just too shitty and bama is amazing. Yall really think Ole Miss will hold them off? I'm sure I'll get backdoored though late like the last two weeks on my biggest bets. (Lost a couple hundy on teams that didn't keep a cover a combined 50 or so seconds.
50ish on Ok St. 35 on pitt.
50 on LSU -16. See bama. They are just flat out in a different class
50 dollar parlay to win 390 on bama, boise, ok st. Worried most about Ok St. I hate betting on teams that don't play defense. But I think they will edge them out enough to cover.
50ish on Ok St. 35 on pitt.
50 on LSU -16. See bama. They are just flat out in a different class
50 dollar parlay to win 390 on bama, boise, ok st. Worried most about Ok St. I hate betting on teams that don't play defense. But I think they will edge them out enough to cover.
Posted on 10/11/11 at 11:35 pm to wegotdatwood
99% chance we lose, but im gonna laugh at all of you for saying that okie state is a lock IF WE WIN..
(DONT THINK WE WILL THOUGH)
(DONT THINK WE WILL THOUGH)
Posted on 10/11/11 at 11:43 pm to Hook Em Horns
quote:
but im gonna laugh at all of you for saying that okie state is a lock IF WE WIN..
I said I was worried about OK St. Obviously me betting 90 dollars more on Bama shows I think that's the lock and not ok st.
Texas WILL play better this week and have success moving the ball. I have no doubt about that. Ok St though I think will play a close game but just above the 8 I'm giving, hence the bet I placed on them.
Posted on 10/12/11 at 8:29 am to wegotdatwood
added these this morning before line on A&M moved to 9.5
2 team teaser
Tex A&M -3 vs Bay
Va Tech -1 vs WF
LSU -16 straight bet
made this one yesterday
4 team teaser
clemson -1
Ga Tech -2
Mich +9
OK ST -1.5
2 team teaser
Tex A&M -3 vs Bay
Va Tech -1 vs WF
LSU -16 straight bet
made this one yesterday
4 team teaser
clemson -1
Ga Tech -2
Mich +9
OK ST -1.5
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