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re: CFB bets week 7

Posted on 10/11/11 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

I like it. only one there I'm iffy about is Pitt, but even then I'd feel good about it. Utah is traveling across the country with a qb that has played 1 game.


This

Pitt probably wins but I have just faded them twice and they screwed me so its more a personally vendetta for me


I honestly 100% believe that LSU Stanford and OkST covers with ease this week

In straight bets I would guarantee that you go at least 2 for 3
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13995 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 2:53 pm to
I am not as high on Stanford as most of you. WSU is much improved and playing there sucks. Stanford has played nobody.
This post was edited on 10/11/11 at 2:54 pm
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

brah I dont know if I can go against


yeah but what Im saying is that you dont even have to like Oregon because when you hit the first three of your parlay the Oregon game wont have kicked yet so you can lay 100 on ASU and make sure you make money on the bet, Called hedging your bet
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:01 pm to
Lol, Tebow you are slowing talking me into this parlay. I want to go Boise(and still might in a straight bet), but you are definitely correct about that hedge potential.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:02 pm to
Oct 15 CFB [120] MARYLAND +14½-105 (B+6)
Oct 15 CFB [147] LSU -9½-105 (B+6)
Oct 15 CFB [173] STANFORD -15-105 (B+6)
Oct 15 CFB [177] OKLAHOMA STATE -1½-105 (B+6)

this ^^?
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:07 pm to
I do not and will never trust Gary Crowton


Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:07 pm to
I don't like Maryland. Tahj is going to play
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:08 pm to
damn it, im just going slowly wait until sunday to play nfl. too risky to play cfb this weekend
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

definitely correct about that hedge potential.



It really is an untapped well that no one really thinks about. I always throw the late game in a parlay just to increase the parlay odds. Either that or some Random arse NFL game that I think the line might move alot to where I hedge before game time but the line has shifted since my parlay bet so there is a 1 or 2 point window where i win both bets
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

damn it, im just going slowly wait until sunday to play nfl. too risky to play cfb this weekend


I actually think there are some favorable lines this week.

The parlay im most likely going to do is

LSU
Stanford
OKST
Oregon (hedge potentional)

or those four and an NFL game and just hedge the shite out of the NFL game
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13995 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:12 pm to
I like Oklahoma State and LSU but after that it's murky. People forget that no one really covers in Pullman. I actually think that WSU could put up points on Stanford and keep it 10-14. I wouldn't touch the Maryland game.
This post was edited on 10/11/11 at 3:13 pm
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:12 pm to
it's a good strategy, 2 buddies and I do it as well. We each pick 5 games and throw in $5. One of us puts in a parlay that could have up to 15 games(if we each like a game then obviously that would reduce the count to 14 games). It's $15 to win $60k(if there's 15 games), but we've said each week that if if comes down to that last game and it's a late game, we will be hedging everything we can
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

we've said each week that if if comes down to that last game and it's a late game, we will be hedging everything we can




You better! might have to take out a loan to do it

That last game would be the most intense 60 minutes of your life
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:18 pm to
quote:



You better! might have to take out a loan to do it

That last game would be the most intense 60 minutes of your life


Oh trust me, the parlay coming down to that last game has been talked about each week. I've already warned my wife that if it comes down to that game she won't want to be around me for it.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:20 pm to
I cant imagine that feeling

I freak out when i got a hundo on the line

I would love to find out that feeling
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41902 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

I freak out when i got a hundo on the line


so last week i hit on my first 3 and needed an a%m cover to win $140 on a $15 bet. how should i have gone about hedging this bet.......
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:26 pm to
You would've bet Texas Tech for like $80. Either way your going to win more than the $15 you put in, you just won't win the full $140. The main thing is that you cannot lose money in that situation
This post was edited on 10/11/11 at 3:27 pm
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

so last week i hit on my first 3 and needed an a%m cover to win $140 on a $15 bet. how should i have gone about hedging this bet.......


got to hedge there if you have the chance, Say you had 150 on the line them lay 70 or 80 on Tx Tech so You are 100% walking away with either 70 or 80

ETA: ^^he explained it better than me


One day you assholes are gonna listen to me when I say A&M is not good and they will not cover for the past 3 weeks.

No one would listen to ole Tebow and I made money fading them while yall lost playing them

The over in their game this week should be money, Neither D can stop a high school Team and both O's are pretty good
This post was edited on 10/11/11 at 3:30 pm
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41902 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

One day you assholes are gonna listen to me when I say A&M is not good and they will not cover



fricking back door cover
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 10/11/11 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

got to hedge there if you have the chance


One day you assholes are gonna listen to me when I say A&M is not good and they will not cover for the past 3 weeks.

No one would listen to ole Tebow and I made money fading them while yall lost playing them

The over in their game this week should be money, Neither D can stop a high school Team and both O's are pretty good



They were a ML special for me last week. I knew they were due to hang on for a win, didn't trust the cover.

Just put in 3 team parlay: Oregon, Ok State, and LSU

Not a fan of the 4 or more parlays
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