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re: CFB bets week 4

Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:35 pm to
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
138499 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:35 pm to
i'm getting FSU and Clemson as a pick 'em
Posted by FootballNostradamus
Member since Nov 2009
20509 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

i'm getting FSU and Clemson as a pick 'em


It’s actually Clemson -1 from my guy, makes me think Vegas doubts Manuel plays.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290669 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:36 pm to
Rouge, do you wager $5 and $10 on games too?
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
138499 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

Rouge, do you wager $5 and $10 on games too?


nope

why?

who poor?
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:42 pm to
Lester is poor.
Posted by LSUSOBEAST1
Member since Aug 2008
28621 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

It’s actually Clemson -1 from my guy, makes me think Vegas doubts Manuel plays.



pk on 5dimes.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

makes me think Vegas doubts Manuel plays


or that everybody is jumping on clemson hard knowing the noles coming off a loss and clemson riding high
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290669 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Lester is poor.



you poor
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
138499 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:45 pm to
Rouge's stupid parlay of the week

Georgia -9.5 @ Ole Miss
LSU -6 @ WVU
Oregon -15 @ Arizona
SMU -21.5 @ Menphis
Tulsa +32.5 @ Boise
Tulsa-Boise OVER 62.5
Posted by Hullabaloo
LA
Member since Sep 2009
15296 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Half the juice


Wtf does that mean?
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9039 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:47 pm to
Juice is the fee.

As in when I bet, I actually bet 22 to win 20 or 110 to win 100. Usually it is 10% but not always. So half the juice probably meant 5%.

ETA: the reason for this is that a spread is designed to get half the people to bet on one side, not how they think the game will turn out. That way if they get people to bet 50/50, they collect the juice.
This post was edited on 9/20/11 at 4:50 pm
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42388 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:48 pm to
haha

The teaser pays like 115 instead of 130.

In other words, normally $130 bet would win $100 whereas using this promotion, a $115 bet would win $100.
Posted by Hullabaloo
LA
Member since Sep 2009
15296 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:49 pm to
I dont frick with teasers yet, only parlays and straight bets. until I feel confident in that I will just do that
This post was edited on 9/20/11 at 4:51 pm
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9039 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

nly parlays and straight bets.


Parlay's always screw you
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82184 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 5:18 pm to
Just checked my lines

I'm getting LSU -6 at +105

Can buy to -5.5 at -105


ETA: shite, jumping on a call, Ill be back to discuss at 6:00
This post was edited on 9/20/11 at 5:21 pm
Posted by wegotdatwood
Member since Aug 2009
17094 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 5:21 pm to
How in the hell did the georgia line go down?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

the reason for this is that a spread is designed to get half the people to bet on one side


no, it is not.

vegas wants to rake maximum profit each game. so if they can influence the public to bet on the wrong side of the line - they do so.

to illustrate, last week in the notre dame vs MSU game: vegas kept on raising the line further in NDs favor which led to more people betting on MSU to cover (over 80%). vegas felt that notre dame was far superior while the public (squares) would take the bait and pick MSU to cover the spread.

at the end of the game, vegas had made huge profit since ND covered easily; it would have been silly to get half the people on one side and half on the other when they could have made hundreds of thousands more by encouraging more money on the MSU side.

This post was edited on 9/20/11 at 5:29 pm
Posted by wegotdatwood
Member since Aug 2009
17094 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 5:29 pm to
What do yall think of this teaser parlay? 7 points

Florida -11 playing Kentucky
Georgia -3.5 Ole Miss
LSU +1.5 WVU
Miss St -11 La Tech
Nebraska -15.5 Wyoming
Texas Tech -13.5 Nevada
Baylor -11.5 Baylor


Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9039 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 5:33 pm to
Then they would be gambling. Bookies will take that 10% all day long.
The line changes to balance out the money. They aren't interested in trying to tell which side is better. They will take that 10% guaranteed rather than risk losing a lot.
This post was edited on 9/20/11 at 5:34 pm
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/20/11 at 5:37 pm to
quote:


no, it is not



Yes it is

1) thats why lines move
2) vegas doesnt gamble. they wouldnt have the profitable business that they do if they "picked" winners.

all they want to do is collect juice. if there is 50/50 betting on both sides they guarantee themselves a nice profit
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