Big week for the SEC, betting thread

I got LSU -4.5

I'm thinking Arch Manning finally shows up and have a big week. Anyone with me Texas -2.5??

quote:

---

That Bama vs LSU line is surprising to me. 2-pt surprise. I'd have thought 4-4.5

So I'd say the play there is LSU -6.5

---

And that makes absolutely no sense to me. You thought LSU should be favored by no more than -4 to 4.5 pts. but decided to back them at -6.5



Am I missing something here?

quote:

---

And that makes absolutely no sense to me. You thought LSU should be favored by no more than -4 to 4.5 pts. but decided to back them at -6.5



Am I missing something here?

---

general rule of thumb is that if a line makes no sense, go the other way.

quote:

---

Am I missing something here?[

---

Precisely. Me thinking it's 2-pts off means I am missing something. Not the market.

That line is begging you take Bama. Vegas will rake if LSU covers. LSU is more likely to cover because Vegas prefers to make money than lose it.

quote:

---

That line is begging you take Bama. Vegas will rake if LSU covers. LSU is more likely to cover because Vegas prefers to make money than lose it.

---

Back in the late 70's I was out of town in Dallas and back then I did a good bit of betting on football games.

Before I left N.O. I had a $110 bet here in N.O. with a bookie I knew on Team A at -3 and found out the same game in Dallas had Team A at -5. So I called my bookie in N.O. and upped the bet to $1100 and kept it on Team A and through a guy in Dallas I took Team B +5 for $1100.

The game ended with Team A winning by 4 points, so I won both bets. In betting terms, that is called "Middling the bet". It doesn't happen often.