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re: 2021 Louisiana College Baseball Thread | Regional Finals

Posted on 5/18/21 at 5:33 pm to
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 5:33 pm to
Okay. I was looking at a week old projection. I still don't even agree with them even being considered.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76656 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

Goodness

Congrats on hosting your first regional. Here’s Florida State and LSU. Oh and if you win that here’s a team nobody has won a series against all season.

Talk about earning your way to Omaha



They don't want Tech winning a regional baw. You know they want LSU/FSU at Arkansas for interest. The guys at d1baseball totally get that, too.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76656 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

Okay. I was looking at a week old projection. I still don't even agree with them even being considered.


They always try to pigeon hole those northern and western regionals. I totally disagree with Stanford and Gonzaga both still getting to host since there aren't even enough Western teams in their projected field to justify that many regionals out there.
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69604 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 6:20 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/10/23 at 4:19 pm
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76656 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 6:27 pm to
I think Tech is in the driver's seat to host. The 2 and 3 seeds you get were not going to be easy when you're talking the last couple of teams picked to host.
This post was edited on 5/18/21 at 6:29 pm
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 6:49 pm to
If Tech can run beat OD twice and run the table in the conference tournament, I don't see how they don't get at least a 13th seed. That's a big IF though. It'd be tough for anyone to beat five ranked Q1 teams and 1 Q2 team in 10 days, which is what Tech will be attempting to do.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160104 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 7:18 pm to
I think CUSA is only getting 1 host, especially if Gonzaga finishes strong. Also look out for a power conference team finishing hot like SCar or Florida State.

Tech vs ODU in those two games and Charlotte's last weekend series are going to be huge for this. Then it's whichever of the top 3 go the farthest.

I'd have:

1. La Tech
2. Charlotte
3. Southern Miss




Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 8:45 pm to
I think two CUSA hosts is possible, but I don't see it, though I feel it's BS. CUSA deserves two hosts.

Tech is going to have to win the tournament without suffering one loss. Their bullpen is so bad that they absolutely cannot afford to be forced to play any extra games. With that said, they have the starting staff to do it.
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69604 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 8:49 pm to
We aren’t built for this format. Our only chance of winning the championship is to win four straight. I think the most critical games are the first two. Win those and we’ve got Whorff and then Gibson in a semi-final if-necessary game against Southern Miss.

C-USA will probably get two if Charlotte wins the conference championship against Tech. Outside of that, I don’t see it.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160104 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:05 pm to
Here's a map of D1Baseball's current projections




That big concentration of regionals in the Southeast US leads me to believe that if Gonzaga has a solid finish to the season, they're pretty close to a lock to host. Gonzaga is currently tied 3-3 with Oregon in the 3rd inning. It's streaming free if you want to watch, ( Pac-12 Network). Tech should be rooting for Oregon because Gonzaga is making a strong case due to their out of conference schedule and wins.

Stanford and Oregon play this weekend. If Stanford gets swept, that may put them on that hosting bubble.

Ole Miss taking the series from Vandy put them pretty squarely in as a host, barring a meltdown to end the season.

As of now there's one regional in the state of Florida. It is possible that FSU could get hot and make a run in the ACC tournament to host.

Also, LSU and Tulane are currently in the last 5 in group. If they both flame out of their tournaments, La Tech could be the only Louisiana team in regionals. Might hurt Ruston if there's other Louisiana team to send.
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

We aren’t built for this format. Our only chance of winning the championship is to win four straight. I think the most critical games are the first two. Win those and we’ve got Whorff and then Gibson in a semi-final if-necessary game against Southern Miss.
I'd strongly consider using Jennings vs UTSA in round 1. He pitched very well against them, and it'd leave our two big dogs for Southern Miss. And yes, winning the first 2 are absolutely critical. If you win those, then you could toy around with Gibson to win the 3rd game, allowing us to save someone strong for the championship. If Gibson loses, so be it. We then use our #3 or higher guy to face Southern Miss going into their 5th game. I have confidence in Gibson vs SM though. I believe he went the distance against them in Hattiesburg.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160104 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:09 pm to
With Ole Miss's recent surge and with Gonzaga's emergence, I'm having trouble seeing two CUSA host sites. Not that I agree with it, but I think CUSA really needs to either have juggernauts or have the SEC have a down year to get more than one host. Just the way they operate when pickign this shite.
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:11 pm to
Agreed. I've been saying all year that the magic number for Tech is 40 wins. They're currently at 36. I think 40 will still do it. Maybe 41. 42 is a shoe in.
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69604 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:14 pm to
This year is such a crapshoot, I don’t know what to expect. Despite just 10 or so days of baseball left there is still an incredible amount up in the air. Just gotta win what you can and let things play out. Nothing to stress over. We should have a decent idea going into the weekend what will need to be accomplished.

I can see your point and I think there is a strong argument to be made for winning the tournament is the only way we host.
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

I can see your point and I think there is a strong argument to be made for winning the tournament is the only way we host.

I can see this argument, but I don't necessarily believe winning the whole thing is necessary. Obviously that would do it, but if Tech beats OD twice this week and SM twice next week, goes on to lose in the Championship game, it'd be very difficult to argue against Tech's resumé. That'd be four wins over Q1 or ranked teams to close the season. And to be honest with you, I think ESPN really loves talking about the tornado in Ruston story. In the end, ratings can be a deciding factor.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160104 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:24 pm to
I would think making it to the finals would be a pretty good bet to host, depending on who they would lose to in the final
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
10897 posts
Posted on 5/18/21 at 9:29 pm to
I'll be pulling for Old Dominion or FAU in the other bracket. Middle Tennessee don't have a chance in Hell.
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69604 posts
Posted on 5/19/21 at 10:58 am to
NCAA going to 100% attendance for postseason if the state allows it. Have to think that hurts the west coast schools

This is from Gonzaga's website:
quote:

As part of Phase 3 of Washington’s reopening plan, a maximum of 400 total spectators are now allowed at Patterson Baseball Complex – Coach Steve Hertz Field. Gonzaga University will now be able to sell tickets in socially distanced groups of 1-8. Spectators groups should come from no more than two different households.


Oh and they also got smacked by Oregon last night.
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69604 posts
Posted on 5/19/21 at 11:47 am to
SWAC Tournament gets started today. They don't know how to post a bracket that isn't a pdf so I'm just going to post todays schedule:

Wednesday, May 19
West #2 Grambling State vs. #3 East Alabama A&M- 9:00 a.m.
East #2 Alabama State vs. West #3 Southern- 12:00 p.m.
East #1 Jackson State vs. West #4 Texas Southern- 3:00 p.m.
West #1 Prairie View A&M vs. East #4 Alcorn State- 6:00 p.m.


ETA: Grambling won their opening game 8-1
This post was edited on 5/19/21 at 11:51 am
Posted by D011ahbi11
Member since Jun 2007
13618 posts
Posted on 5/20/21 at 7:36 pm to
Tulane loses both in a Double header with Cincinnati

Likely played itself out of the tournament
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