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re: 2013 NFL over/under win totals
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:27 pm to St Augustine
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:27 pm to St Augustine
I think the Broncos have an easy schedule if I remember right. I bet they win 13+ and have the best chance to do so.
One of the Patriots, Packers, Falcons, or 49ers will also get it. I would be a little surprised if 12 wins is the best.
One of the Patriots, Packers, Falcons, or 49ers will also get it. I would be a little surprised if 12 wins is the best.
1
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:28 pm to biglil3
quote:
yeah, you just showed how little you know about football
Romo has shown he can't win a big game. What's so hard to understand about that?
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:30 pm to tzimme4
Under for Seattle.
Saints should be over.
Saints should be over.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:30 pm to kywildcatfanone
Romo is about as good as any qb not in the top 4 qbs.
Do you actually watch him play? He is a stud.
Do you actually watch him play? He is a stud.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:31 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
The Cowboys would be a disaster without Romo.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:31 pm to kywildcatfanone
Yes big games, but week 17 isn't really a big game if they have the division wrapped up by week 15-16. Although its the NFC East so we all know its coming down to week 17.
This post was edited on 5/20/13 at 8:33 pm
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:35 pm to St Augustine
quote:
I'd bet nobody wins 13 this year. I think the pats get 12 and nobody else gets more than 11.
I don't know, I could see a few teams getting 13 wins. But its just so hard to guess this early, a lot can happen before opening day kicks off.
stuff like player suspensions, injuries, and what have you.
and remember, the last two world champions finished the regular season at 10-6. And before that the world champion Giants had a 9-7 record. The game has really changed.
I'm not sure how long this trend will last but since its happened three years in a row, its kind of hard to ignore.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:52 pm to tzimme4
Take the Vikings and the over, Saints for the under.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 8:59 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Simmons podcast with cousin sal on NFL win O/U is usually good
This podcast, like most dealing with football, would be much better without Simmons in it
Posted on 5/20/13 at 9:05 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Like the under on Seattle 10.5
10 seems right for them
I believe Seattle is favored in 13 games according to the early lines.
Lots of 10am road games on the east coast though which will definitely be a challenge.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 9:17 pm to TDawg1313
Seattle has all the makings for the annual "what the hell happened, they were supposed to be unbeatable!?" Team
But Dont shoot me TDawg, its just my opinion
But Dont shoot me TDawg, its just my opinion
Posted on 5/20/13 at 9:49 pm to wildtigercat93
Some ones that stand out to me.
Overs:
ATL
DEN
MIN
CIN
Under:
SEA
ARZ
KC
DET
Overs:
ATL
DEN
MIN
CIN
Under:
SEA
ARZ
KC
DET
Posted on 5/20/13 at 9:55 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
quote:
One of the Patriots, Packers, Falcons, or 49ers will also get it. I would be a little surprised if 12 wins is the best.
you can pretty much take the falcons out (NOT A FLAME ATTEMPT). It is EXTREMELY rare that a team repeats 13 wins (I believe less than 10% of the teams who have won 13 games have ever repeated that feat)...I'll try to find the statistics. 9ers also have a pretty tough schedule so I highly doubt they get it. Packers have lost a few of their weapons and did they really do anything to upgrade their Oline? Rodgers will get them 10-11 but I don't see 13. I fully expect NE to make a run at it.
Honestly kind of forgot about Denver. I could see them and NE beating up on a down AFC.
ETA: from a failed article last season predicting a SF collapse prior to the season
quote:
That decline doesn't happen because of the math, of course; it happens because there are simply too many things that have to go right for a team to repeatedly put up 13-3 seasons. Independent of their track record in previous years, the average 13-3 team has won an average of just 9.3 games the following year, with just three of the 32 examples maintaining their 13-win record from the previous year.
This is since the 16 game season started. Add last year's saints, 9ers, packers, and pats to teams who did not repeat 13 or more wins the following year....so now 3 for 36 or just over 8% repeating.
This post was edited on 5/20/13 at 10:05 pm
Posted on 5/20/13 at 9:59 pm to St Augustine
In my biased opinion, im thinking 12 wins for the Pats but im not confident enough in it that i would put money on that line
Posted on 5/20/13 at 10:28 pm to wildtigercat93
quote:
Seattle has all the makings for the annual "what the hell happened, they were supposed to be unbeatable!?" Team
But Dont shoot me TDawg, its just my opinion
Eh, I don't care
Personally I think they'll be around 12 wins. Same defense that was #1 in the league in scoring by 2 points, but Cliff Avril, Michael Bennett, and Antoine Winfield were added.
On offense it's the same guys too but with Percy Harvin added and a Russell Wilson without training wheels for the first 1/3 of the season.
I'm optimistic, but I realize that I'm biased too. On paper it looks good for this year.
Posted on 5/20/13 at 10:35 pm to kywildcatfanone
quote:
I didn't realize they released Romo? If not, then
Romo had a crazy stretch that put the Cowboys back in it last year. I hate the cowboys, but you Romo is a good QB
Posted on 5/21/13 at 6:53 am to TigerBait1127
quote:
I hate the cowboys, but yeah Romo is a good QB
I have this same argument every year with Cowboy fans I work with.
Nevermind the fact that his o-line sucks, the running game has been abysmal and the secondary gives up points in bunches. All Romo's fault.
Sure he has bad games sometimes that the media blows completely out of portion. Every QB has those games every now and then.
Posted on 5/21/13 at 7:12 am to tzimme4
7.5 for the Bucs?
I may be a homer, but still. I'd take the over.
I may be a homer, but still. I'd take the over.
Posted on 5/21/13 at 8:00 am to alabamabuckeye
quote:
7.5 for the Bucs?
I may be a homer, but still. I'd take the over.
So would I.
But I'm on record saying that 10, maybe 11 games win the NFC South this year. I also think that the champ will go at best 4-2 in the division, plus at least two losses to San Fran, Seattle, and New England. So that leaves their NFC North and East opponents, both of which are toss up games.
So I see 11-5 or 10-6 winning the NFC South, possibly with two teams at 10+ wins with the other two at or around 8 wins. Strong division this year with tough out of division matchups.
Posted on 5/21/13 at 11:16 am to tzimme4
At first glance, I really like Arizona over 5.5, Cinci over 8.5 and Washington under 8.
Arizona will be better coached, play good defense and it will be impossible to not be better at QB. Hopefully add in a couple PP and TM7 special team TDs.
Carolina under 7, SF under 11.5, and Seattle under 10.5 don't look bad either.
Arizona will be better coached, play good defense and it will be impossible to not be better at QB. Hopefully add in a couple PP and TM7 special team TDs.
Carolina under 7, SF under 11.5, and Seattle under 10.5 don't look bad either.
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