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re: Will the Dow go below 5000?

Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:40 am to
Posted by Martavius
Member since Nov 2005
16019 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:40 am to
Jim Cramer says the bottom is 5,320 so all of you can relax now.
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15197 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Jim Cramer says the bottom is 5,320 so all of you can relax now.
Did he actually say this? Specifically 5,320; not 5,330 or 5,310?
Posted by Martavius
Member since Nov 2005
16019 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:54 am to
Yes, 5320..... LINK
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
16396 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 12:01 pm to
i think 5000 will happen. a lot of big bounces on the there.
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
19013 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 12:25 pm to
his worst case scenario for the Dow back in Nov/Dev was 8400. then 7400. Cramer's a hack.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32542 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:09 pm to
Cramer also thought that Bear Sterns was a good purchase when it fell from $52 to $25 in two days. Of course, the stock went down to $3 a couple of days after that.

However, I think all of the doomsday scenarios with the Dow going down to 3000 are pretty implausible. At some point, the money sitting on the sidelines will decide that stocks are trading at a discount. My guess is that will occur in the next 1000 to 1500 points.
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26654 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

At some point, the money sitting on the sidelines will decide that stocks are trading at a discount. My guess is that will occur in the next 1000 to 1500 points.


If macroeconomic indicators keep getting worse, which I firmly believe they will for the next few years, then generally it won't matter because firms will keep contracting and earnings will continue to diminish.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:19 pm to
7000 didn't surprise me, and I think a break below 6000 is pretty much inevitable (going out on a limb, I know). As bearish as everyone on this board has been for the past year+, myself included, a DOW or S&P getting a 4-handle would actually start to scare me.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:22 pm to
Of course, as I type that I read a story about the UK potentially getting a ratings downgrade as early as next week, which I would have to believe is good for several percentage points of loss globally.
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26654 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:24 pm to
I've been out the loop for a week. Did any other countries' debt ratings drop?
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
11901 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:25 pm to
quote:

Of course, as I type that I read a story about the UK potentially getting a ratings downgrade as early as next week, which I would have to believe is good for several percentage points of loss globally.


Sweet mercy... do you have a link... that would be a nice big haircut
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 3/9/09 at 6:32 pm to
Casually mentioned in this post (this has quickly become one of my favorite blogs, dude does some serious diligence), but I don't recall seeing it anywhere else, so he might just be speculating based on RBS, Barclays, and now LLoyds + QE being enacted. I won't be surprised if it happens at all, but I would be shocked if it happened this week or next week since they haven't even been put on watch yet (at least that I can remember, and that's kind of a big thing).
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
130923 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 10:51 am to
Bump for some chuckles....
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15197 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 10:58 am to
holy shite this thread was taking place as the Dow was at its absolute bottom......



so far....
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 11:04 am to
Interesting to say the least. Some downright prophetic stuff in there.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
130923 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 11:05 am to
Yep.

Here's my favorite quote in this thread by General Lee:
quote:

10,000 is almost a 40% rally from here. Not gonna happen anytime soon.


Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 11:09 am to
Well I can't fault him for that, it's a rally of absolutely epic proportions. I don't remember the thread, but I do remember the comment about the DOW "going to zero."
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15197 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 11:14 am to
Well everyone was convinced on March 6 that the market was doomed. And it shot up.

Now it appears that everyone is convinced that the market is unstoppable. The moment we get a "when will the Dow hit 20,000" thread I'm going all short.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
130923 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Well everyone was convinced on March 6 that the market was doomed.
Not so fast my friend! -Lee Corso

I was buying stocks like crazy then. I actually started buying after the middle of February after I started a thread on here (Feb. 12) saying it would be time to go 'all in' into the stock market by the end of March. I grabbed my 'nads and went in heavy!

I put my money where my mouth was, too. Yay!!
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15197 posts
Posted on 10/14/09 at 11:35 am to
Yes we're all well aware of how right you were. I think that point has been made to death.
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